Oxnard, CA - House Price Index (HPI)
Oxnard Real Estate Market - Home Price Forecast
The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Oxnard-Thousand Oaks-Ventura, CA single family
home prices in
logarithmic scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Real estate forecasts,
analysis, statistics and appreciation rates are provided below.
Oxnard Real Estate Market: Trend Outlook, Analysis & Statistics
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Commentary  2746.56
3rd Quarter, 2018 Housing Statistics: Oxnard, California


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:        UP
Forecast Accuracy:      83%

LittleBigHomes.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Oxnard housing market for the 12
months ending with the 3rd Quarter of 2019 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend
Projection for Oxnard is 83%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 83% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Oxnard is 83% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be higher in the 3rd Quarter of 2019 than they were in the 3rd
Quarter of 2018. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Oxnard Real
Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:            UP
Forecast Accuracy:      77%

The forecast for the trend in the Oxnard housing market for the 3 years ending
with the 3rd Quarter of 2021 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend Prediction for
Oxnard is 77%. In other words, when tested against historical data, the
forecasting methodology was correct 77% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Oxnard is 77% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home values will be higher in the 3rd Quarter of 2021 than they were in the 3rd
Quarter of 2018. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Oxnard Real
Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
3rd Quarter, 2018 Housing Data: Oxnard, California


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                         -0.26%
Last Year                              4.6%
Last 5 Years                         34%
Last 10 Years                       35%
Last 20 Years                       174%
Decline From All Time High   4.14%


Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1988      27.58%
1989      14.97%
1990      -4.96%
1991      -2.85%
1992      -3.96%
1993      -5.37%
1994      -4.55%
1995      2.66%
1996      -0.54%
1997      4.16%
1998      8.75%
1999      10.08%
2000      11.32%
2001      9.25%
2002      15.45%
2003      18.61%
2004      26.42%
2005      17.17%
2006      0.71%
2007      -10.34%
2008      -21.31%
2009      -3.04%
2010      -1.23%
2011      -5.88%
2012      1.60%
2013      16.80%
2014      6.19%
2015      5.54%
2016      5.69%
2017      6.51%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              -0.26%        Rank: 324 of 381 (15th Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  4.6%           Rank: 260 of 381 (31st Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              34%            Rank: 110 of 381 (71st Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   35%            Rank: 63 of 381 (83rd Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            174%          Rank: 24 of 379 (93rd Percentile)
Decline From All Time High        4.14%

The change in home prices for Oxnard-Thousand Oaks-Ventura, CA are shown
above for five time periods. For example: Oxnard appreciated -0.26% in the
Last Quarter. At that rate, the Oxnard Real Estate Market was ranked 324th out
of 381 metropolitan Real Estate Markets. Oxnard was in the 15th percentile. So
Oxnard, CA performed better in the Last Quarter than 15% of the 381
metropolitan areas covered in LittleBigHomes.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
3rd Quarter, 2018 Housing Statistics: Oxnard, California

The data and analysis on this page pertains to Oxnard-Thousand
Oaks-Ventura, CA, hereinafter referred to as "Oxnard". The all time high in the
Oxnard Home Price Index was 325.1 in the 2nd Quarter, of 2006. The 3rd
Quarter, 2018 index value was 311.6. That's a decline of 13.47 points or 4.14%
below the Oxnard Home Price Index all time high.  The Home Price Index
indicates that the Oxnard Market is up 35% over the last 10 years. Home prices
in the Oxnard Real Estate Market have gained 4.58% over the last 12 months.
Over the last thirty years, it is up 209%.

The 3rd Quarter index value was 0.81 points lower than the 2nd Quarter, 2018
index value of 312.41, resulting in a 0.26% decline for the 3rd Quarter in the
Oxnard Market.

The Oxnard Home Price Index declined in the last quarter after increasing in the
previous 24 quarters. The current record holders for consecutive declines in
the Home Price Index are Winchester, VA; Trenton, NJ; Peoria, IL; Great Falls,
MT and Fayetteville, NC, with declines in the last 2 consecutive quarters. The
current record holders for consecutive increases in the Home Price Index are
Phoenix, AZ; Houston, TX and Boise City, ID, with increases in the last 29
consecutive quarters.

The highest annual change in the value of houses in the Oxnard Real Estate
Market was 33% in the twelve months ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2004. The
worst annual change in home values  in the Oxnard Market was -22% in the
twelve months ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2008.

The highest growth in home values in the Oxnard Real Estate Market over a
three year period was 79% in the three years ended with the 2nd Quarter of
1979. The worst performance over a three year period in the Oxnard Market
was -34% in the three years ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2009.

This page provides a long term graph of the Oxnard Home Price Index (above).
For information about California home values, click Real Estate Market
Forecasts in the navigation bar at the top of this page.  You'll see long term
charts and analysis that will provide tremendous insight into the historical trends
of residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then LittleBigHomes.com's
detailed research and statistics about Oxnard Home Prices will be at your
fingertips when you need them.

All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for
the Oxnard Market. The terms House Price Index and Home Price Index, as
used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) House
Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Oxnard Real Estate Market and hundreds of
other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
3rd Quarter, 2018 Housing Data: Oxnard, California

The trend of Oxnard Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan areas is
detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities. Five
different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period. The data and analysis on this page pertains
to Oxnard-Thousand Oaks-Ventura, CA, hereinafter referred to as "Oxnard".

Last Quarter:
During the 3rd Quarter of 2018, Oxnard Home Prices had a rank of 324, with
appreciation of -0.26%. The top performing real estate market during the 3rd
Quarter was Sumter, SC, with a rise of 13.55%. The worst market during that
period was Cumberland, MD, with appreciation of -5.75%.
The median for all cities during the 3rd Quarter was 1.57%. The average for all
markets during the quarter was 1.54%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Oxnard Home Prices had a rank of 260, with
appreciation during the year of 4.58%. The top performing market during the
last year was Las Vegas, NV, with an increase of 18.1%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Cumberland, MD, with appreciation of -5.6%.
The median for all markets during this period was 6.14%. The average was
6.07%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2018, Oxnard Home Prices
ranked 110, with a total appreciation of 34.4%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Reno, NV, with a growth in value of 81%.
The worst market during that period was Jacksonville, NC, with appreciation of
-2%.
The median for all cities during this time period was 24%. The average over the
5 years was 28%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 3rd Quarter of 2018, Oxnard Home Prices
had a rank of 63, with appreciation during the decade of 35%. The top
performing market during the period was Denver, CO, with a rise of 83%. The
worst real estate market during the 10 year time period was Vineland, NJ, with
appreciation of -19%.
The median for all markets during the last 10 years was 18%. The average for
the cities over that time frame was 20%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 3rd Quarter of 2018, Oxnard Home Prices
had a rank of 24, with total growth over the 20 year period of 174%. The top
performing real estate market during the period was San Francisco, CA, with an
increase of 289%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Saginaw, MI,
with appreciation of 21%.
The median for all cities during the last 20 years was 83%. The average for the
markets over that time frame was 92%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Oxnard Real Estate
Market is available back to the 2nd Quarter, of 1976. All calculations are based
on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Oxnard. Real estate
appreciation figures represent total net increase or decrease over each time
period. (Unless specifically stated, the figures do not represent annual or
quarterly rates of change.)



Data Source for Commentary & Charts: Federal Housing Finance Agency
Updated Thursday, January 3, 2019.
SignalTrend  Inc. 2008 - 2019; All rights reserved.





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