Austin, TX - House Price Index (HPI)
Austin Real Estate Market Forecast
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The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos, TX single family
home prices in
logarithmic scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Real estate forecasts,
analysis, statistics and appreciation rates are provided below.
10
Austin Real Estate Market: Trend Outlook, Analysis & Statistics
Commentary  2510.56
3rd Quarter, 2018 Housing Statistics: Austin, Texas


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:        UP
Forecast Accuracy:      85%

LittleBigHomes.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Austin housing market for the 12
months ending with the 3rd Quarter of 2019 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend
Projection for Austin is 85%. In other words, when tested against historical data,
the forecasting methodology was correct 85% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Austin is 85% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be higher in the 3rd Quarter of 2019 than they were in the 3rd
Quarter of 2018. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Austin Real
Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:            UP
Forecast Accuracy:      74%

The forecast for the trend in the Austin housing market for the 3 years ending
with the 3rd Quarter of 2021 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend Prediction for
Austin is 74%. In other words, when tested against historical data, the
forecasting methodology was correct 74% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Austin is 74% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home values will be higher in the 3rd Quarter of 2021 than they were in the 3rd
Quarter of 2018. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Austin Real
Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
3rd Quarter, 2018 Housing Data: Austin, Texas


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                                     1.72%
Last Year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  6.6%
Last 5 Years                                     52%
Last 10 Years . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 67%
Last 20 Years                                   193%



Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1988      -9.38%
1989      -1.35%
1990      -0.14%
1991      7.31%
1992      9.51%
1993      10.83%
1994      5.37%
1995      5.04%
1996      2.21%
1997      1.82%
1998      5.27%
1999      10.31%
2000      12.39%
2001      5.90%
2002      1.98%
2003      -0.27%
2004      2.28%
2005      5.95%
2006      8.84%
2007      7.33%
2008      2.36%
2009      -2.04%
2010      -0.46%
2011      0.24%
2012      3.61%
2013      10.14%
2014      10.87%
2015      9.67%
2016      8.16%
2017      7.25%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              1.72%         Rank: 175 of 381 (54th Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  6.6%           Rank: 166 of 381 (56th Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              52%            Rank: 49 of 381 (87th Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   67%            Rank: 8 of 381 (98th Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            193%          Rank: 13 of 379 (96th Percentile)


The change in home prices for Austin-Round Rock, TX are shown above for
five time periods. For example: Austin appreciated 1.72% in the Last Quarter.
At that rate, the Austin Real Estate Market was ranked 175th out of 381
metropolitan Real Estate Markets. Austin was in the 54th percentile. So Austin,
TX performed better in the Last Quarter than 54% of the 381 metropolitan
areas covered in LittleBigHomes.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
3rd Quarter, 2018 Housing Statistics: Austin, Texas

The data and analysis on this page pertains to Austin-Round Rock, TX,
hereinafter referred to as "Austin". The all time high in the Austin Home Price
Index was 332.1 in the 3rd Quarter, of 2018.  The Home Price Index indicates
that the Austin Market is up 67% over the last 10 years. Home prices in the
Austin Real Estate Market have gained 6.61% over the last 12 months. Over
the last thirty years, it is up 339%.

The 3rd Quarter index value was 5.62 points higher than the 2nd Quarter, 2018
index value of 326.51, resulting in a 1.72% rise in the 3rd Quarter for the Austin
Market.

The Austin Home Price Index has increased for the last 26 consecutive
quarters. The current record holders for consecutive increases in the Home
Price Index are Phoenix, AZ; Houston, TX and Boise City, ID, with increases in
the last 29 consecutive quarters. The current record holders for consecutive
declines in the Home Price Index are Winchester, VA; Trenton, NJ; Peoria, IL;
Great Falls, MT and Fayetteville, NC, with declines in the last 2 consecutive
quarters.

The highest annual change in the value of houses in the Austin Real Estate
Market was 21% in the twelve months ended with the 2nd Quarter of 1980. The
worst annual change in home values  in the Austin Market was -20% in the
twelve months ended with the 2nd Quarter of 1989.

The highest growth in home values in the Austin Real Estate Market over a
three year period was 36% in the three years ended with the 3rd Quarter of
1985. The worst performance over a three year period in the Austin Market was
-26% in the three years ended with the 2nd Quarter of 1989.

This page provides a long term graph of the Austin Home Price Index (above).
For information about Texas home values, click Real Estate Market Forecasts
in the navigation bar at the top of this page.  You'll see long term charts and
analysis that will provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of
residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then LittleBigHomes.com's
detailed research and statistics about Austin Home Prices will be at your
fingertips when you need them.

All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for
the Austin Market. The terms House Price Index and Home Price Index, as used
in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) House Price
Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Austin Real Estate Market and hundreds of
other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
3rd Quarter, 2018 Housing Data: Austin, Texas

The trend of Austin Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan areas is
detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities. Five
different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period. The data and analysis on this page pertains
to Austin-Round Rock, TX, hereinafter referred to as "Austin".

Last Quarter:
During the 3rd Quarter of 2018, Austin Home Prices had a rank of 175, with
appreciation of 1.72%. The top performing real estate market during the 3rd
Quarter was Sumter, SC, with a rise of 13.55%. The worst market during that
period was Cumberland, MD, with appreciation of -5.75%.
The median for all cities during the 3rd Quarter was 1.57%. The average for all
markets during the quarter was 1.54%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Austin Home Prices had a rank of 166, with
appreciation during the year of 6.61%. The top performing market during the
last year was Las Vegas, NV, with an increase of 18.1%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Cumberland, MD, with appreciation of -5.6%.
The median for all markets during this period was 6.14%. The average was
6.07%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2018, Austin Home Prices
ranked 49, with a total appreciation of 52.2%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Reno, NV, with a growth in value of 81%.
The worst market during that period was Jacksonville, NC, with appreciation of
-2%.
The median for all cities during this time period was 24%. The average over the
5 years was 28%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 3rd Quarter of 2018, Austin Home Prices had
a rank of 8, with appreciation during the decade of 67%. The top performing
market during the period was Denver, CO, with a rise of 83%. The worst real
estate market during the 10 year time period was Vineland, NJ, with
appreciation of -19%.
The median for all markets during the last 10 years was 18%. The average for
the cities over that time frame was 20%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 3rd Quarter of 2018, Austin Home Prices had
a rank of 13, with total growth over the 20 year period of 193%. The top
performing real estate market during the period was San Francisco, CA, with an
increase of 289%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Saginaw, MI,
with appreciation of 21%.
The median for all cities during the last 20 years was 83%. The average for the
markets over that time frame was 92%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Austin Real Estate
Market is available back to the 3rd Quarter, of 1977. All calculations are based
on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Austin. Real estate
appreciation figures represent total net increase or decrease over each time
period. (Unless specifically stated, the figures do not represent annual or
quarterly rates of change.)



Data Source for Commentary & Charts: Federal Housing Finance Agency
Updated Thursday, December 20, 2018.
SignalTrend  Inc. 2008 - 2018; All rights reserved.





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