Yuma, AZ - House Price Index (HPI)
Yuma Real Estate Market - Home Price Forecast
100
1000
The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Yuma, AZ single family home prices in logarithmic
scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Updated Friday, July 24, 2015. Real estate forecasts,
analysis, statistics and appreciation rates are provided below.
10
Yuma Real Estate Market: Trend Outlook, Analysis & Statistics
Commentary  18822
3rd Quarter, 2014 Housing Statistics: Yuma, Arizona


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:        UP
Forecast Accuracy:      83%

LittleBigHomes.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Yuma housing market for the 12
months ending with the 3rd Quarter of 2015 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend
Projection for Yuma is 83%. In other words, when tested against historical data,
the forecasting methodology was correct 83% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Yuma is 83% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be higher in the 3rd Quarter of 2015 than they were in the 3rd
Quarter of 2014. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Yuma Real
Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:            UP
Forecast Accuracy:      84%

The forecast for the trend in the Yuma housing market for the 3 years ending
with the 3rd Quarter of 2017 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend Prediction for
Yuma is 84%. In other words, when tested against historical data, the
forecasting methodology was correct 84% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Yuma is 84% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home values will be higher in the 3rd Quarter of 2017 than they were in the 3rd
Quarter of 2014. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Yuma Real
Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
3rd Quarter, 2014 Housing Data: Yuma, Arizona


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                         4.63%
Last Year                              4.7%
Last 5 Years                         -9%
Last 10 Years                       4%
Last 20 Years                       63%
Decline From All Time High   32.33%


Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1984        n/a
1985        n/a
1986        n/a
1987        n/a
1988        n/a
1989        n/a
1990      1.64%
1991      5.39%
1992      1.99%
1993      2.89%
1994      -2.24%
1995      9.55%
1996      -1.11%
1997      3.98%
1998      3.12%
1999      0.87%
2000      2.97%
2001      4.92%
2002      6.61%
2003      5.89%
2004      19.81%
2005      31.86%
2006      9.17%
2007      -4.97%
2008      -11.89%
2009      -11.69%
2010      -10.08%
2011      -7.47%
2012      1.05%
2013      4.69%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              4.63%         Rank: 19 of 381 (95th Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  4.7%           Rank: 152 of 381 (60th Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              -9%             Rank: 353 of 381 (7th Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   4%              Rank: 244 of 381 (36th Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            63%            Rank: 272 of 378 (28th Percentile)
Decline From All Time High        32.33%

The change in home prices for Yuma, AZ are shown above for five time periods.
For example: Yuma appreciated 4.63% in the Last Quarter. At that rate, the
Yuma Real Estate Market was ranked 19th out of 381 metropolitan Real Estate
Markets. Yuma was in the 95th percentile. So Yuma, AZ performed better in the
Last Quarter than 95% of the 381 metropolitan areas covered in
LittleBigHomes.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
3rd Quarter, 2014 Housing Statistics: Yuma, Arizona

The all time high in the Yuma Home Price Index was 237.9 in the 4th Quarter, of
2006. The 3rd Quarter, 2014 index value was 161.0. That's a decline of 76.89
points or 32.33% below the Yuma Home Price Index all time high.  The Home
Price Index indicates that the Yuma Market is up 4% over the last 10 years.
Home prices in the Yuma Real Estate Market have gained 4.74% over the last
12 months.

The 3rd Quarter index value was 7.12 points higher than the 2nd Quarter, 2014
index value of 153.85, resulting in a 4.63% rise in the 3rd Quarter for the Yuma
Market.

The Yuma Home Price Index increased in the last quarter after falling in the
previous quarter. The current record holders for consecutive increases in the
Home Price Index are Phoenix, AZ; Houston, TX and Boise City, ID, with
increases in the last 13 consecutive quarters. The current record holder for
consecutive declines in the Home Price Index is Terre Haute, IN, with declines in
the last 3 consecutive quarters.

The highest annual change in the value of houses in the Yuma Real Estate
Market was 35% in the twelve months ended with the 2nd Quarter of 2005. The
worst annual change in home values  in the Yuma Market was -14% in the
twelve months ended with the 1st Quarter of 2010.

The highest growth in home values in the Yuma Real Estate Market over a
three year period was 77% in the three years ended with the 2nd Quarter of
2006. The worst performance over a three year period in the Yuma Market was
-31% in the three years ended with the 2nd Quarter of 2011.

This page provides a long term graph of the Yuma Home Price Index (above).
For information about Arizona home values, click Real Estate Market Forecasts
in the navigation bar at the top of this page.  You'll see long term charts and
analysis that will provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of
residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then LittleBigHomes.com's
detailed research and statistics about Yuma Home Prices will be at your
fingertips when you need them.

All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for
the Yuma Market. The terms House Price Index and Home Price Index, as used
in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) House Price
Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Yuma Real Estate Market and hundreds of
other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
3rd Quarter, 2014 Housing Data: Yuma, Arizona

The trend of Yuma Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan areas is
detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities. Five
different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period.

Last Quarter:
During the 3rd Quarter of 2014, Yuma Home Prices had a rank of 19, with
appreciation of 4.63%. The top performing real estate market during the 3rd
Quarter was Johnstown, PA, with a rise of 7.10%. The worst market during that
period was Farmington, NM, with appreciation of -4.09%.
The median for all cities during the 3rd Quarter was 1.44%. The average for all
markets during the quarter was 1.49%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Yuma Home Prices had a rank of 152, with
appreciation during the year of 4.74%. The top performing market during the
last year was Madera, CA, with an increase of 19.4%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Jacksonville, NC, with appreciation of -4.5%.
The median for all markets during this period was 3.94%. The average was
4.71%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2014, Yuma Home Prices
ranked 353, with a total appreciation of -9.4%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Merced, CA, with a growth in value of 45%.
The worst market during that period was Ocala, FL, with appreciation of -16%.
The median for all cities during this time period was 1%. The average over the
5 years was 3%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 3rd Quarter of 2014, Yuma Home Prices had
a rank of 244, with appreciation during the decade of 4%. The top performing
market during the period was Midland, TX, with a rise of 129%. The worst real
estate market during the 10 year time period was Las Vegas, NV, with
appreciation of -27%.
The median for all markets during the last 10 years was 10%. The average for
the cities over that time frame was 11%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 3rd Quarter of 2014, Yuma Home Prices had
a rank of 272, with total growth over the 20 year period of 63%. The top
performing real estate market during the period was San Francisco, CA, with an
increase of 229%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Rockford, IL,
with appreciation of 23%.
The median for all cities during the last 20 years was 75%. The average for the
markets over that time frame was 82%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Yuma Real Estate
Market is available back to the 3rd Quarter, of 1989. All calculations are based
on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Yuma. Real estate
appreciation figures represent total net increase or decrease over each time
period. (Unless specifically stated, the figures do not represent annual or
quarterly rates of change.)





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