Yuba City, CA - House Price Index (HPI)
Yuba City Real Estate Market - Home Price Forecast
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The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Yuba City, CA single family home prices in
logarithmic scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Updated Friday, July 24, 2015. Real
estate forecasts, analysis, statistics and appreciation rates are provided below.
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Yuba City Real Estate Market: Trend Outlook, Analysis & Statistics
Commentary  18821
3rd Quarter, 2014 Housing Statistics: Yuba City, California


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:        UP
Forecast Accuracy:      77%

LittleBigHomes.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Yuba City housing market for the 12
months ending with the 3rd Quarter of 2015 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend
Projection for Yuba City is 77%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 77% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Yuba City is 77% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be higher in the 3rd Quarter of 2015 than they were in the 3rd
Quarter of 2014. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Yuba City
Real Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:            UP
Forecast Accuracy:      72%

The forecast for the trend in the Yuba City housing market for the 3 years
ending with the 3rd Quarter of 2017 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend
Prediction for Yuba City is 72%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 72% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Yuba City is 72% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home values will be higher in the 3rd Quarter of 2017 than they were in the 3rd
Quarter of 2014. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Yuba City
Real Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
3rd Quarter, 2014 Housing Data: Yuba City, California


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                         -0.83%
Last Year                              13.7%
Last 5 Years                         13%
Last 10 Years                       -16%
Last 20 Years                       79%
Decline From All Time High   36.36%


Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1984        n/a
1985        n/a
1986        n/a
1987        n/a
1988      4.13%
1989      15.18%
1990      18.62%
1991      2.90%
1992      -0.41%
1993      -0.24%
1994      -4.16%
1995      0.97%
1996      -2.69%
1997      3.36%
1998      2.19%
1999      2.73%
2000      7.41%
2001      12.53%
2002      16.76%
2003      19.69%
2004      24.39%
2005      24.26%
2006      -5.24%
2007      -14.23%
2008      -27.21%
2009      -8.09%
2010      -3.44%
2011      -11.12%
2012      3.39%
2013      20.91%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              -0.83%        Rank: 350 of 381 (8th Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  13.7%          Rank: 13 of 381 (96th Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              13%            Rank: 50 of 381 (87th Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   -16%           Rank: 365 of 381 (4th Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            79%            Rank: 162 of 378 (57th Percentile)
Decline From All Time High        36.36%

The change in home prices for Yuba City, CA are shown above for five time
periods. For example: Yuba City appreciated -0.83% in the Last Quarter. At that
rate, the Yuba City Real Estate Market was ranked 350th out of 381
metropolitan Real Estate Markets. Yuba City was in the 8th percentile. So Yuba
City, CA performed better in the Last Quarter than 8% of the 381 metropolitan
areas covered in LittleBigHomes.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
3rd Quarter, 2014 Housing Statistics: Yuba City, California

The all time high in the Yuba City Home Price Index was 277.2 in the 4th
Quarter, of 2005. The 3rd Quarter, 2014 index value was 176.4. That's a
decline of 100.78 points or 36.36% below the Yuba City Home Price Index all
time high.  The Home Price Index indicates that the Yuba City Market is down
16% over the last 10 years. Home prices in the Yuba City Real Estate Market
have gained 13.69% over the last 12 months.

The 3rd Quarter index value was 1.47 points lower than the 2nd Quarter, 2014
index value of 177.90, resulting in a 0.83% decline for the 3rd Quarter in the
Yuba City Market.

The Yuba City Home Price Index declined in the last quarter after increasing in
the previous 9 quarters. The current record holder for consecutive declines in
the Home Price Index is Terre Haute, IN, with declines in the last 3 consecutive
quarters. The current record holders for consecutive increases in the Home
Price Index are Phoenix, AZ; Houston, TX and Boise City, ID, with increases in
the last 13 consecutive quarters.

The highest annual change in the value of houses in the Yuba City Real Estate
Market was 30% in the twelve months ended with the 2nd Quarter of 2005. The
worst annual change in home values  in the Yuba City Market was -27% in the
twelve months ended with the 4th Quarter of 2008.

The highest growth in home values in the Yuba City Real Estate Market over a
three year period was 87% in the three years ended with the 2nd Quarter of
2005. The worst performance over a three year period in the Yuba City Market
was -44% in the three years ended with the 1st Quarter of 2010.

This page provides a long term graph of the Yuba City Home Price Index
(above). For information about California home values, click Real Estate Market
Forecasts in the navigation bar at the top of this page.  You'll see long term
charts and analysis that will provide tremendous insight into the historical trends
of residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then LittleBigHomes.com's
detailed research and statistics about Yuba City Home Prices will be at your
fingertips when you need them.

All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for
the Yuba City Market. The terms House Price Index and Home Price Index, as
used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) House
Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Yuba City Real Estate Market and hundreds
of other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
3rd Quarter, 2014 Housing Data: Yuba City, California

The trend of Yuba City Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan areas is
detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities. Five
different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period.

Last Quarter:
During the 3rd Quarter of 2014, Yuba City Home Prices had a rank of 350, with
appreciation of -0.83%. The top performing real estate market during the 3rd
Quarter was Johnstown, PA, with a rise of 7.10%. The worst market during that
period was Farmington, NM, with appreciation of -4.09%.
The median for all cities during the 3rd Quarter was 1.44%. The average for all
markets during the quarter was 1.49%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Yuba City Home Prices had a rank of 13, with
appreciation during the year of 13.69%. The top performing market during the
last year was Madera, CA, with an increase of 19.4%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Jacksonville, NC, with appreciation of -4.5%.
The median for all markets during this period was 3.94%. The average was
4.71%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2014, Yuba City Home Prices
ranked 50, with a total appreciation of 13.4%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Merced, CA, with a growth in value of 45%.
The worst market during that period was Ocala, FL, with appreciation of -16%.
The median for all cities during this time period was 1%. The average over the
5 years was 3%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 3rd Quarter of 2014, Yuba City Home Prices
had a rank of 365, with appreciation during the decade of -16%. The top
performing market during the period was Midland, TX, with a rise of 129%. The
worst real estate market during the 10 year time period was Las Vegas, NV, with
appreciation of -27%.
The median for all markets during the last 10 years was 10%. The average for
the cities over that time frame was 11%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 3rd Quarter of 2014, Yuba City Home Prices
had a rank of 162, with total growth over the 20 year period of 79%. The top
performing real estate market during the period was San Francisco, CA, with an
increase of 229%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Rockford, IL,
with appreciation of 23%.
The median for all cities during the last 20 years was 75%. The average for the
markets over that time frame was 82%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Yuba City Real Estate
Market is available back to the 2nd Quarter, of 1987. All calculations are based
on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Yuba City. Real estate
appreciation figures represent total net increase or decrease over each time
period. (Unless specifically stated, the figures do not represent annual or
quarterly rates of change.)





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