Waterloo, IA - House Price Index (HPI)
Waterloo Real Estate Market - Home Price Forecast
100
1000
The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Waterloo-Cedar Falls, IA single family home prices in
logarithmic scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Real estate forecasts, analysis, statistics
and appreciation rates are provided below.
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Waterloo Real Estate Market: Trend Outlook, Analysis & Statistics
Commentary  564.56
4th Quarter, 2017 Housing Statistics: Waterloo, Iowa


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:      DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      83%

LittleBigHomes.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Waterloo housing market for the 12
months ending with the 4th Quarter of 2018 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the
Trend Projection for Waterloo is 83%. In other words, when tested against
historical data, the forecasting methodology was correct 83% of the time.
Accordingly, LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for falling house
prices in Waterloo is 83% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is
correct, home prices will be lower in the 4th Quarter of 2018 than they were in
the 4th Quarter of 2017. Check this page each quarter for updates to the
Waterloo Real Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:          DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      87%

The forecast for the trend in the Waterloo housing market for the 3 years
ending with the 4th Quarter of 2020 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the Trend
Prediction for Waterloo is 87%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 87% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for falling house prices in
Waterloo is 87% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home values will be lower in the 4th Quarter of 2020 than they were in the 4th
Quarter of 2017. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Waterloo
Real Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
4th Quarter, 2017 Housing Data: Waterloo, Iowa


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                         -0.97%
Last Year                              -0.3%
Last 5 Years                         8%
Last 10 Years                       13%
Last 20 Years                       85%
Decline From All Time High   0.97%


Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1988      12.31%
1989      14.87%
1990      5.24%
1991      6.86%
1992      5.29%
1993      4.84%
1994      1.96%
1995      7.91%
1996      4.89%
1997      7.16%
1998      6.29%
1999      5.79%
2000      8.44%
2001      5.60%
2002      4.75%
2003      4.77%
2004      6.19%
2005      5.33%
2006      2.52%
2007      1.36%
2008      0.30%
2009      0.61%
2010      1.34%
2011      -0.02%
2012      1.96%
2013      2.22%
2014      1.03%
2015      1.54%
2016      3.54%
2017      -0.30%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              -0.97%        Rank: 325 of 381 (14th Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  -0.3%          Rank: 363 of 381 (4th Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              8%              Rank: 324 of 381 (15th Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   13%            Rank: 120 of 381 (68th Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            85%            Rank: 160 of 379 (57th Percentile)
Decline From All Time High        0.97%

The change in home prices for Waterloo-Cedar Falls, IA are shown above for
five time periods. For example: Waterloo appreciated -0.97% in the Last
Quarter. At that rate, the Waterloo Real Estate Market was ranked 325th out of
381 metropolitan Real Estate Markets. Waterloo was in the 14th percentile. So
Waterloo, IA performed better in the Last Quarter than 14% of the 381
metropolitan areas covered in LittleBigHomes.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
4th Quarter, 2017 Housing Statistics: Waterloo, Iowa

The data and analysis on this page pertains to Waterloo-Cedar Falls, IA,
hereinafter referred to as "Waterloo". The all time high in the Waterloo Home
Price Index was 224.1 in the 3rd Quarter, of 2017. The 4th Quarter, 2017 index
value was 221.9. That's a decline of 2.18 points or 0.97% below the Waterloo
Home Price Index all time high.  The Home Price Index indicates that the
Waterloo Market is up 13% over the last 10 years. Home Prices in the Waterloo
Real Estate Market have lost 0.30% over the last 12 months. Over the last thirty
years, it is up 267%.

The 4th Quarter index value was 2.18 points lower than the 3rd Quarter, 2017
index value of 224.12, resulting in a 0.97% decline for the 4th Quarter in the
Waterloo Market.

The Waterloo Home Price Index declined in the last quarter after increasing in
the previous 2 quarters. The current record holders for consecutive declines in
the Home Price Index are Victoria, TX; Topeka, KS; Texarkana, TX-AR;
Springfield, MA and Peoria, IL, with declines in the last 2 consecutive quarters.
The current record holders for consecutive increases in the Home Price Index
are Phoenix, AZ; Houston, TX and Boise City, ID, with increases in the last 26
consecutive quarters.

The highest annual change in the value of houses in the Waterloo Real Estate
Market was 18% in the twelve months ended with the 1st Quarter of 1986. The
worst annual change in home values  in the Waterloo Market was -22% in the
twelve months ended with the 1st Quarter of 1985.

The highest growth in home values in the Waterloo Real Estate Market over a
three year period was 38% in the three years ended with the 1st Quarter of
1991. The worst performance over a three year period in the Waterloo Market
was -24% in the three years ended with the 4th Quarter of 1986.

This page provides a long term graph of the Waterloo Home Price Index
(above). For information about Iowa home values, click Real Estate Market
Forecasts in the navigation bar at the top of this page.  You'll see long term
charts and analysis that will provide tremendous insight into the historical trends
of residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then LittleBigHomes.com's
detailed research and statistics about Waterloo Home Prices will be at your
fingertips when you need them.

All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for
the Waterloo Market. The terms House Price Index and Home Price Index, as
used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) House
Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Waterloo Real Estate Market and hundreds
of other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
4th Quarter, 2017 Housing Data: Waterloo, Iowa

The trend of Waterloo Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan areas is
detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities. Five
different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period. The data and analysis on this page pertains
to Waterloo-Cedar Falls, IA, hereinafter referred to as "Waterloo".

Last Quarter:
During the 4th Quarter of 2017, Waterloo Home Prices had a rank of 325, with
appreciation of -0.97%. The top performing real estate market during the 4th
Quarter was Gadsden, AL, with a rise of 13.11%. The worst market during that
period was Hinesville, GA, with appreciation of -6.79%.
The median for all cities during the 4th Quarter was 0.75%. The average for all
markets during the quarter was 0.69%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Waterloo Home Prices had a rank of 363, with
appreciation during the year of -0.30%. The top performing market during the
last year was Sebastian, FL, with an increase of 16.4%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Goldsboro, NC, with appreciation of -6.9%.
The median for all markets during this period was 5.37%. The average was
5.53%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 4th Quarter of 2017, Waterloo Home Prices
ranked 324, with a total appreciation of 8.2%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Reno, NV, with a growth in value of 94%.
The worst market during that period was Goldsboro, NC, with appreciation of
-5%.
The median for all cities during this time period was 19%. The average over the
5 years was 25%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2017, Waterloo Home Prices
had a rank of 120, with appreciation during the decade of 13%. The top
performing market during the period was Denver, CO, with a rise of 65%. The
worst real estate market during the 10 year time period was Atlantic City, NJ,
with appreciation of -27%.
The median for all markets during the last 10 years was 7%. The average for
the cities over that time frame was 8%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2017, Waterloo Home Prices
had a rank of 160, with total growth over the 20 year period of 85%. The top
performing real estate market during the period was San Francisco, CA, with an
increase of 280%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Saginaw, MI,
with appreciation of 18%.
The median for all cities during the last 20 years was 79%. The average for the
markets over that time frame was 89%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Waterloo Real Estate
Market is available back to the 2nd Quarter, of 1984. All calculations are based
on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Waterloo. Real estate
appreciation figures represent total net increase or decrease over each time
period. (Unless specifically stated, the figures do not represent annual or
quarterly rates of change.)



Data Source for Commentary & Charts: Federal Housing Finance Agency
Updated Thursday, May 3, 2018.
SignalTrend  Inc. 2008 - 2018; All rights reserved.


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