Virginia Beach, VA - House Price Index (HPI)
100
1000
The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC single
family home prices in
logarithmic scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Real estate
forecasts, analysis, statistics and appreciation rates are provided below.
10
Virginia Beach Real Estate Market: Trend Outlook, Analysis & Statistics
Virginia Beach Real Estate Market - Home Price Forecast
Commentary  27942
3rd Quarter, 2017 Housing Statistics: Virginia Beach, Virginia


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:        UP
Forecast Accuracy:      91%

LittleBigHomes.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Virginia Beach housing market for the
12 months ending with the 3rd Quarter of 2018 is UP. The Accuracy of the
Trend Projection for Virginia Beach is 91%. In other words, when tested against
historical data, the forecasting methodology was correct 91% of the time.
Accordingly, LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house
prices in Virginia Beach is 91% during this period. If this Housing Market
Forecast is correct, home prices will be higher in the 3rd Quarter of 2018 than
they were in the 3rd Quarter of 2017. Check this page each quarter for updates
to the Virginia Beach Real Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:            UP
Forecast Accuracy:      87%

The forecast for the trend in the Virginia Beach housing market for the 3 years
ending with the 3rd Quarter of 2020 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend
Prediction for Virginia Beach is 87%. In other words, when tested against
historical data, the forecasting methodology was correct 87% of the time.
Accordingly, LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house
prices in Virginia Beach is 87% during this period. If this Housing Market
Forecast is correct, home values will be higher in the 3rd Quarter of 2020 than
they were in the 3rd Quarter of 2017. Check this page each quarter for updates
to the Virginia Beach Real Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
3rd Quarter, 2017 Housing Data: Virginia Beach, Virginia


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                         0.85%
Last Year                              2.3%
Last 5 Years                         10%
Last 10 Years                       -10%
Last 20 Years                       113%
Decline From All Time High   10.24%


Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1987      4.96%
1988      3.81%
1989      2.77%
1990      0.14%
1991      2.20%
1992      2.33%
1993      1.65%
1994      0.30%
1995      3.35%
1996      1.62%
1997      3.05%
1998      3.11%
1999      3.05%
2000      4.50%
2001      6.32%
2002      7.55%
2003      12.09%
2004      20.99%
2005      22.64%
2006      9.60%
2007      1.28%
2008      -4.47%
2009      -5.82%
2010      -2.60%
2011      -5.27%
2012      -1.35%
2013      -1.25%
2014      4.37%
2015      1.93%
2016      1.94%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              0.85%         Rank: 267 of 381 (30th Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  2.3%           Rank: 310 of 381 (18th Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              10%            Rank: 295 of 381 (22nd Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   -10%           Rank: 335 of 381 (12th Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            113%          Rank: 92 of 379 (75th Percentile)
Decline From All Time High        10.24%

The change in home prices for Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
are shown above for five time periods. For example: Virginia Beach appreciated
0.85% in the Last Quarter. At that rate, the Virginia Beach Real Estate Market
was ranked 267th out of 381 metropolitan Real Estate Markets. Virginia Beach
was in the 30th percentile. So Virginia Beach, VA performed better in the Last
Quarter than 30% of the 381 metropolitan areas covered in LittleBigHomes.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
3rd Quarter, 2017 Housing Statistics: Virginia Beach, Virginia

The data and analysis on this page pertains to Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport
News, VA-NC, hereinafter referred to as "Virginia Beach". The all time high in
the Virginia Beach Home Price Index was 254.4 in the 2nd Quarter, of 2007.
The 3rd Quarter, 2017 index value was 228.4. That's a decline of 26.05 points
or 10.24% below the Virginia Beach Home Price Index all time high.  The Home
Price Index indicates that the Virginia Beach Market is down 10% over the last
10 years. Home prices in the Virginia Beach Real Estate Market have gained
2.26% over the last 12 months. Over the last thirty years, it is up 160%.

The 3rd Quarter index value was 1.93 points higher than the 2nd Quarter, 2017
index value of 226.42, resulting in a 0.85% rise in the 3rd Quarter for the
Virginia Beach Market.

The Virginia Beach Home Price Index has increased for the last 2 consecutive
quarters. The current record holders for consecutive increases in the Home
Price Index are Phoenix, AZ; Houston, TX and Boise City, ID, with increases in
the last 25 consecutive quarters. The current record holder for consecutive
declines in the Home Price Index is Carbondale, IL, with declines in the last 3
consecutive quarters.

The highest annual change in the value of houses in the Virginia Beach Real
Estate Market was 25% in the twelve months ended with the 2nd Quarter of
2005. The worst annual change in home values  in the Virginia Beach Market
was -7% in the twelve months ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2011.

The highest growth in home values in the Virginia Beach Real Estate Market
over a three year period was 70% in the three years ended with the 2nd
Quarter of 2006. The worst performance over a three year period in the Virginia
Beach Market was -15% in the three years ended with the 2nd Quarter of 2011.

This page provides a long term graph of the Virginia Beach Home Price Index
(above). For information about Virginia home values, click Real Estate Market
Forecasts in the navigation bar at the top of this page.  You'll see long term
charts and analysis that will provide tremendous insight into the historical trends
of residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then LittleBigHomes.com's
detailed research and statistics about Virginia Beach Home Prices will be at
your fingertips when you need them.

All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for
the Virginia Beach Market. The terms House Price Index and Home Price Index,
as used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA)
House Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Virginia Beach Real Estate Market and
hundreds of other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a
number of months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
3rd Quarter, 2017 Housing Data: Virginia Beach, Virginia

The trend of Virginia Beach Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan
areas is detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities.
Five different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period. The data and analysis on this page pertains
to Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC, hereinafter referred to as
"Virginia Beach".

Last Quarter:
During the 3rd Quarter of 2017, Virginia Beach Home Prices had a rank of 267,
with appreciation of 0.85%. The top performing real estate market during the
3rd Quarter was Pine Bluff, AR, with a rise of 7.86%. The worst market during
that period was Weirton, OH, with appreciation of -9.33%.
The median for all cities during the 3rd Quarter was 1.52%. The average for all
markets during the quarter was 1.39%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Virginia Beach Home Prices had a rank of 310, with
appreciation during the year of 2.26%. The top performing market during the
last year was Seattle, WA, with an increase of 14.2%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Lawton, OK, with appreciation of -7.3%.
The median for all markets during this period was 5.41%. The average was
5.42%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2017, Virginia Beach Home
Prices ranked 295, with a total appreciation of 10.0%. The top performing real
estate market during the 5 year period was Reno, NV, with a growth in value of
95%. The worst market during that period was Lawton, OK, with appreciation of
-7%.
The median for all cities during this time period was 20%. The average over the
5 years was 26%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 3rd Quarter of 2017, Virginia Beach Home
Prices had a rank of 335, with appreciation during the decade of -10%. The top
performing market during the period was Denver, CO, with a rise of 63%. The
worst real estate market during the 10 year time period was Atlantic City, NJ,
with appreciation of -28%.
The median for all markets during the last 10 years was 5%. The average for
the cities over that time frame was 7%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 3rd Quarter of 2017, Virginia Beach Home
Prices had a rank of 92, with total growth over the 20 year period of 113%. The
top performing real estate market during the period was San Francisco, CA,
with an increase of 283%. The worst market during the last 20 years was
Mansfield, OH, with appreciation of 20%.
The median for all cities during the last 20 years was 80%. The average for the
markets over that time frame was 89%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Virginia Beach Real
Estate Market is available back to the 2nd Quarter, of 1977. All calculations are
based on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Virginia Beach. Real
estate appreciation figures represent total net increase or decrease over each
time period. (Unless specifically stated, the figures do not represent annual or
quarterly rates of change.)



Data Source for Commentary & Charts: Federal Housing Finance Agency
Updated Friday, February 9, 2018.
SignalTrend  Inc. 2008 - 2018; All rights reserved.


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