Vineland, NJ - House Price Index (HPI)
Vineland Real Estate Market - Home Price Forecast
100
1000
The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Vineland-Millville-Bridgeton, NJ single family home
prices in
logarithmic scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Real estate forecasts, analysis,
statistics and appreciation rates are provided below.
10
Vineland Real Estate Market: Trend Outlook, Analysis & Statistics
Commentary  557.56
4th Quarter, 2017 Housing Statistics: Vineland, New Jersey


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:        UP
Forecast Accuracy:      68%

LittleBigHomes.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Vineland housing market for the 12
months ending with the 4th Quarter of 2018 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend
Projection for Vineland is 68%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 68% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Vineland is 68% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be higher in the 4th Quarter of 2018 than they were in the 4th
Quarter of 2017. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Vineland
Real Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:            UP
Forecast Accuracy:      70%

The forecast for the trend in the Vineland housing market for the 3 years
ending with the 4th Quarter of 2020 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend
Prediction for Vineland is 70%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 70% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Vineland is 70% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home values will be higher in the 4th Quarter of 2020 than they were in the 4th
Quarter of 2017. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Vineland
Real Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
4th Quarter, 2017 Housing Data: Vineland, New Jersey


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                         1.50%
Last Year                              0.4%
Last 5 Years                         0%
Last 10 Years                       -22%
Last 20 Years                       57%
Decline From All Time High   22.49%


Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1988      22.34%
1989      6.99%
1990      -1.95%
1991      3.52%
1992      -0.49%
1993      5.55%
1994      -3.74%
1995      4.05%
1996      0.53%
1997      2.89%
1998      1.29%
1999      -0.49%
2000      4.69%
2001      5.18%
2002      8.09%
2003      8.64%
2004      16.78%
2005      19.09%
2006      8.66%
2007      1.96%
2008      -7.91%
2009      -6.51%
2010      -1.31%
2011      -4.01%
2012      -4.19%
2013      -2.90%
2014      -4.54%
2015      2.82%
2016      4.80%
2017      0.37%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              1.50%         Rank: 114 of 381 (70th Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  0.4%           Rank: 354 of 381 (7th Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              0%              Rank: 375 of 381 (1st Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   -22%           Rank: 380 of 381 (Bottom .20%)
Last 20 Years                            57%            Rank: 289 of 379 (23rd Percentile)
Decline From All Time High        22.49%

The change in home prices for Vineland-Bridgeton, NJ are shown above for five
time periods. For example: Vineland appreciated 1.50% in the Last Quarter. At
that rate, the Vineland Real Estate Market was ranked 114th out of 381
metropolitan Real Estate Markets. Vineland was in the 70th percentile. So
Vineland, NJ performed better in the Last Quarter than 70% of the 381
metropolitan areas covered in LittleBigHomes.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
4th Quarter, 2017 Housing Statistics: Vineland, New Jersey

The data and analysis on this page pertains to Vineland-Bridgeton, NJ,
hereinafter referred to as "Vineland". The all time high in the Vineland Home
Price Index was 218.6 in the 3rd Quarter, of 2007. The 4th Quarter, 2017 index
value was 169.5. That's a decline of 49.17 points or 22.49% below the Vineland
Home Price Index all time high.  The Home Price Index indicates that the
Vineland Market is down 22% over the last 10 years. Home prices in the
Vineland Real Estate Market have gained 0.37% over the last 12 months. Over
the last thirty years, it is up 127%.

The 4th Quarter index value was 2.50 points higher than the 3rd Quarter, 2017
index value of 166.97, resulting in a 1.50% rise in the 4th Quarter for the
Vineland Market.

The Vineland Home Price Index increased in the last quarter after falling in the
previous quarter. The current record holders for consecutive increases in the
Home Price Index are Phoenix, AZ; Houston, TX and Boise City, ID, with
increases in the last 26 consecutive quarters. The current record holders for
consecutive declines in the Home Price Index are Victoria, TX; Topeka, KS;
Texarkana, TX-AR; Springfield, MA and Peoria, IL, with declines in the last 2
consecutive quarters.

The highest annual change in the value of houses in the Vineland Real Estate
Market was 22% in the twelve months ended with the 4th Quarter of 1988. The
worst annual change in home values  in the Vineland Market was -12% in the
twelve months ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2009.

The highest growth in home values in the Vineland Real Estate Market over a
three year period was 55% in the three years ended with the 1st Quarter of
2007. The worst performance over a three year period in the Vineland Market
was -20% in the three years ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2011.

This page provides a long term graph of the Vineland Home Price Index
(above). For information about New Jersey home values, click Real Estate
Market Forecasts in the navigation bar at the top of this page.  You'll see long
term charts and analysis that will provide tremendous insight into the historical
trends of residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then
LittleBigHomes.com's detailed research and statistics about Vineland Home
Prices will be at your fingertips when you need them.

All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for
the Vineland Market. The terms House Price Index and Home Price Index, as
used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) House
Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Vineland Real Estate Market and hundreds
of other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
4th Quarter, 2017 Housing Data: Vineland, New Jersey

The trend of Vineland Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan areas is
detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities. Five
different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period. The data and analysis on this page pertains
to Vineland-Bridgeton, NJ, hereinafter referred to as "Vineland".

Last Quarter:
During the 4th Quarter of 2017, Vineland Home Prices had a rank of 114, with
appreciation of 1.50%. The top performing real estate market during the 4th
Quarter was Gadsden, AL, with a rise of 13.11%. The worst market during that
period was Hinesville, GA, with appreciation of -6.79%.
The median for all cities during the 4th Quarter was 0.75%. The average for all
markets during the quarter was 0.69%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Vineland Home Prices had a rank of 354, with
appreciation during the year of 0.37%. The top performing market during the
last year was Sebastian, FL, with an increase of 16.4%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Goldsboro, NC, with appreciation of -6.9%.
The median for all markets during this period was 5.37%. The average was
5.53%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 4th Quarter of 2017, Vineland Home Prices
ranked 375, with a total appreciation of 0.2%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Reno, NV, with a growth in value of 94%.
The worst market during that period was Goldsboro, NC, with appreciation of
-5%.
The median for all cities during this time period was 19%. The average over the
5 years was 25%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2017, Vineland Home Prices
had a rank of 380, with appreciation during the decade of -22%. The top
performing market during the period was Denver, CO, with a rise of 65%. The
worst real estate market during the 10 year time period was Atlantic City, NJ,
with appreciation of -27%.
The median for all markets during the last 10 years was 7%. The average for
the cities over that time frame was 8%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2017, Vineland Home Prices
had a rank of 289, with total growth over the 20 year period of 57%. The top
performing real estate market during the period was San Francisco, CA, with an
increase of 280%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Saginaw, MI,
with appreciation of 18%.
The median for all cities during the last 20 years was 79%. The average for the
markets over that time frame was 89%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Vineland Real Estate
Market is available back to the 4th Quarter, of 1986. All calculations are based
on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Vineland. Real estate
appreciation figures represent total net increase or decrease over each time
period. (Unless specifically stated, the figures do not represent annual or
quarterly rates of change.)



Data Source for Commentary & Charts: Federal Housing Finance Agency
Updated Thursday, May 3, 2018.
SignalTrend  Inc. 2008 - 2018; All rights reserved.


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