Tacoma, WA - House Price Index (HPI)
Tacoma Real Estate Market - Home Price Forecast
100
1000
The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Tacoma, WA single family home prices in logarithmic
scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Real estate forecasts, analysis, statistics and
appreciation rates are provided below.
10
Tacoma Real Estate Market: Trend Outlook, Analysis & Statistics
Commentary  27925
3rd Quarter, 2017 Housing Statistics: Tacoma, Washington


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:        UP
Forecast Accuracy:      89%

LittleBigHomes.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Tacoma housing market for the 12
months ending with the 3rd Quarter of 2018 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend
Projection for Tacoma is 89%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 89% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Tacoma is 89% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be higher in the 3rd Quarter of 2018 than they were in the 3rd
Quarter of 2017. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Tacoma Real
Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:            UP
Forecast Accuracy:      86%

The forecast for the trend in the Tacoma housing market for the 3 years ending
with the 3rd Quarter of 2020 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend Prediction for
Tacoma is 86%. In other words, when tested against historical data, the
forecasting methodology was correct 86% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Tacoma is 86% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home values will be higher in the 3rd Quarter of 2020 than they were in the 3rd
Quarter of 2017. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Tacoma Real
Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
3rd Quarter, 2017 Housing Data: Tacoma, Washington


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                         2.96%
Last Year                              12.7%
Last 5 Years                         53%
Last 10 Years                       5%
Last 20 Years                       135%



Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1987      0.26%
1988      6.65%
1989      12.44%
1990      17.10%
1991      8.85%
1992      6.25%
1993      3.78%
1994      1.38%
1995      4.75%
1996      1.46%
1997      3.89%
1998      6.06%
1999      3.49%
2000      5.88%
2001      6.82%
2002      5.21%
2003      7.33%
2004      12.97%
2005      20.03%
2006      13.02%
2007      2.68%
2008      -7.34%
2009      -11.11%
2010      -6.55%
2011      -7.07%
2012      -3.09%
2013      4.33%
2014      7.24%
2015      10.73%
2016      9.79%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              2.96%         Rank: 62 of 381 (83rd Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  12.7%          Rank: 8 of 381 (98th Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              53%            Rank: 49 of 381 (87th Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   5%              Rank: 194 of 381 (49th Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            135%          Rank: 49 of 379 (87th Percentile)


The change in home prices for Tacoma-Lakewood, WA are shown above for
five time periods. For example: Tacoma appreciated 2.96% in the Last Quarter.
At that rate, the Tacoma Real Estate Market was ranked 62nd out of 381
metropolitan Real Estate Markets. Tacoma was in the 83rd percentile. So
Tacoma, WA performed better in the Last Quarter than 83% of the 381
metropolitan areas covered in LittleBigHomes.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
3rd Quarter, 2017 Housing Statistics: Tacoma, Washington

The all time high in the Tacoma Home Price Index was 255.0 in the 3rd Quarter,
of 2017.  The Home Price Index indicates that the Tacoma Market is up 5% over
the last 10 years. Home prices in the Tacoma Real Estate Market have gained
12.69% over the last 12 months. Over the last thirty years, it is up 333%.

The 3rd Quarter index value was 7.32 points higher than the 2nd Quarter, 2017
index value of 247.65, resulting in a 2.96% rise in the 3rd Quarter for the
Tacoma Market.

The Tacoma Home Price Index has increased for the last 21 consecutive
quarters. The current record holders for consecutive increases in the Home
Price Index are Phoenix, AZ; Houston, TX and Boise City, ID, with increases in
the last 25 consecutive quarters. The current record holder for consecutive
declines in the Home Price Index is Carbondale, IL, with declines in the last 3
consecutive quarters.

The highest annual change in the value of houses in the Tacoma Real Estate
Market was 21% in the twelve months ended with the 2nd Quarter of 1990. The
worst annual change in home values  in the Tacoma Market was -12% in the
twelve months ended with the 1st Quarter of 2010.

The highest growth in home values in the Tacoma Real Estate Market over a
three year period was 56% in the three years ended with the 2nd Quarter of
1980. The worst performance over a three year period in the Tacoma Market
was -26% in the three years ended with the 2nd Quarter of 2011.

This page provides a long term graph of the Tacoma Home Price Index (above).
For information about Washington home values, click Real Estate Market
Forecasts in the navigation bar at the top of this page.  You'll see long term
charts and analysis that will provide tremendous insight into the historical trends
of residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then LittleBigHomes.com's
detailed research and statistics about Tacoma Home Prices will be at your
fingertips when you need them.

All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for
the Tacoma Market. The terms House Price Index and Home Price Index, as
used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) House
Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Tacoma Real Estate Market and hundreds of
other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
3rd Quarter, 2017 Housing Data: Tacoma, Washington

The trend of Tacoma Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan areas is
detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities. Five
different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period.

Last Quarter:
During the 3rd Quarter of 2017, Tacoma Home Prices had a rank of 62, with
appreciation of 2.96%. The top performing real estate market during the 3rd
Quarter was Pine Bluff, AR, with a rise of 7.86%. The worst market during that
period was Weirton, OH, with appreciation of -9.33%.
The median for all cities during the 3rd Quarter was 1.52%. The average for all
markets during the quarter was 1.39%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Tacoma Home Prices had a rank of 8, with
appreciation during the year of 12.69%. The top performing market during the
last year was Seattle, WA, with an increase of 14.2%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Lawton, OK, with appreciation of -7.3%.
The median for all markets during this period was 5.41%. The average was
5.42%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2017, Tacoma Home Prices
ranked 49, with a total appreciation of 52.6%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Reno, NV, with a growth in value of 95%.
The worst market during that period was Lawton, OK, with appreciation of -7%.
The median for all cities during this time period was 20%. The average over the
5 years was 26%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 3rd Quarter of 2017, Tacoma Home Prices
had a rank of 194, with appreciation during the decade of 5%. The top
performing market during the period was Denver, CO, with a rise of 63%. The
worst real estate market during the 10 year time period was Atlantic City, NJ,
with appreciation of -28%.
The median for all markets during the last 10 years was 5%. The average for
the cities over that time frame was 7%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 3rd Quarter of 2017, Tacoma Home Prices
had a rank of 49, with total growth over the 20 year period of 135%. The top
performing real estate market during the period was San Francisco, CA, with an
increase of 283%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Mansfield,
OH, with appreciation of 20%.
The median for all cities during the last 20 years was 80%. The average for the
markets over that time frame was 89%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Tacoma Real Estate
Market is available back to the 2nd Quarter, of 1977. All calculations are based
on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Tacoma. Real estate
appreciation figures represent total net increase or decrease over each time
period. (Unless specifically stated, the figures do not represent annual or
quarterly rates of change.)



Data Source for Commentary & Charts: Federal Housing Finance Agency
Updated Thursday, February 8, 2018.
SignalTrend  Inc. 2008 - 2018; All rights reserved.


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