St. Joseph, MO - House Price Index (HPI)
St. Joseph Real Estate Market - Home Price Forecast
100
1000
The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in St. Joseph, MO-KS single family home prices in
logarithmic scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Real estate forecasts, analysis, statistics
and appreciation rates are provided below.
10
St. Joseph Real Estate Market: Trend Outlook, Analysis & Statistics
Commentary  535.56
4th Quarter, 2017 Housing Statistics: St. Joseph, Missouri


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:      DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      77%

LittleBigHomes.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the St. Joseph housing market for the 12
months ending with the 4th Quarter of 2018 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the
Trend Projection for St. Joseph is 77%. In other words, when tested against
historical data, the forecasting methodology was correct 77% of the time.
Accordingly, LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for falling house
prices in St. Joseph is 77% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is
correct, home prices will be lower in the 4th Quarter of 2018 than they were in
the 4th Quarter of 2017. Check this page each quarter for updates to the St.
Joseph Real Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:          DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      80%

The forecast for the trend in the St. Joseph housing market for the 3 years
ending with the 4th Quarter of 2020 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the Trend
Prediction for St. Joseph is 80%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 80% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for falling house prices in St.
Joseph is 80% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home values will be lower in the 4th Quarter of 2020 than they were in the 4th
Quarter of 2017. Check this page each quarter for updates to the St. Joseph
Real Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
4th Quarter, 2017 Housing Data: St. Joseph, Missouri


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                         -1.16%
Last Year                              -4.0%
Last 5 Years                         7%
Last 10 Years                       3%
Last 20 Years                       55%
Decline From All Time High   3.98%


Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1988      0.54%
1989      6.84%
1990      1.51%
1991      5.26%
1992      4.02%
1993      4.64%
1994      4.29%
1995      6.43%
1996      8.10%
1997      2.86%
1998      5.62%
1999      2.50%
2000      7.92%
2001      4.37%
2002      6.46%
2003      2.61%
2004      5.20%
2005      5.04%
2006      1.87%
2007      0.31%
2008      -2.50%
2009      1.72%
2010      -2.18%
2011      -0.71%
2012      -0.01%
2013      2.08%
2014      -0.58%
2015      2.28%
2016      7.04%
2017      -3.98%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              -1.16%        Rank: 331 of 381 (13th Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  -4.0%          Rank: 380 of 381 (Bottom .20%)
Last 5 Years                              7%              Rank: 338 of 381 (11th Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   3%              Rank: 237 of 381 (37th Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            55%            Rank: 298 of 379 (21st Percentile)
Decline From All Time High        3.98%

The change in home prices for St. Joseph, MO-KS are shown above for five
time periods. For example: St. Joseph appreciated -1.16% in the Last Quarter.
At that rate, the St. Joseph Real Estate Market was ranked 331st out of 381
metropolitan Real Estate Markets. St. Joseph was in the 13th percentile. So St.
Joseph, MO performed better in the Last Quarter than 13% of the 381
metropolitan areas covered in LittleBigHomes.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
4th Quarter, 2017 Housing Statistics: St. Joseph, Missouri

The all time high in the St. Joseph Home Price Index was 191.6 in the 4th
Quarter, of 2016. The 4th Quarter, 2017 index value was 184.0. That's a
decline of 7.63 points or 3.98% below the St. Joseph Home Price Index all time
high.  The Home Price Index indicates that the St. Joseph Market is up 3% over
the last 10 years. Home Prices in the St. Joseph Real Estate Market have lost
3.98% over the last 12 months. Over the last thirty years, it is up 138%.

The 4th Quarter index value was 2.16 points lower than the 3rd Quarter, 2017
index value of 186.14, resulting in a 1.16% decline for the 4th Quarter in the St.
Joseph Market.

The St. Joseph Home Price Index declined in the last quarter after increasing in
the previous 2 quarters. The current record holders for consecutive declines in
the Home Price Index are Victoria, TX; Topeka, KS; Texarkana, TX-AR;
Springfield, MA and Peoria, IL, with declines in the last 2 consecutive quarters.
The current record holders for consecutive increases in the Home Price Index
are Phoenix, AZ; Houston, TX and Boise City, ID, with increases in the last 26
consecutive quarters.

The highest annual change in the value of houses in the St. Joseph Real Estate
Market was 12% in the twelve months ended with the 1st Quarter of 1996. The
worst annual change in home values  in the St. Joseph Market was -7% in the
twelve months ended with the 2nd Quarter of 2011.

The highest growth in home values in the St. Joseph Real Estate Market over a
three year period was 23% in the three years ended with the 1st Quarter of
1996. The worst performance over a three year period in the St. Joseph Market
was -9% in the three years ended with the 2nd Quarter of 2011.

This page provides a long term graph of the St. Joseph Home Price Index
(above). For information about Missouri home values, click Real Estate Market
Forecasts in the navigation bar at the top of this page.  You'll see long term
charts and analysis that will provide tremendous insight into the historical trends
of residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then LittleBigHomes.com's
detailed research and statistics about St. Joseph Home Prices will be at your
fingertips when you need them.

All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for
the St. Joseph Market. The terms House Price Index and Home Price Index, as
used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) House
Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the St. Joseph Real Estate Market and hundreds
of other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
4th Quarter, 2017 Housing Data: St. Joseph, Missouri

The trend of St. Joseph Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan areas is
detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities. Five
different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period.

Last Quarter:
During the 4th Quarter of 2017, St. Joseph Home Prices had a rank of 331, with
appreciation of -1.16%. The top performing real estate market during the 4th
Quarter was Gadsden, AL, with a rise of 13.11%. The worst market during that
period was Hinesville, GA, with appreciation of -6.79%.
The median for all cities during the 4th Quarter was 0.75%. The average for all
markets during the quarter was 0.69%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, St. Joseph Home Prices had a rank of 380, with
appreciation during the year of -3.98%. The top performing market during the
last year was Sebastian, FL, with an increase of 16.4%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Goldsboro, NC, with appreciation of -6.9%.
The median for all markets during this period was 5.37%. The average was
5.53%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 4th Quarter of 2017, St. Joseph Home Prices
ranked 338, with a total appreciation of 6.7%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Reno, NV, with a growth in value of 94%.
The worst market during that period was Goldsboro, NC, with appreciation of
-5%.
The median for all cities during this time period was 19%. The average over the
5 years was 25%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2017, St. Joseph Home Prices
had a rank of 237, with appreciation during the decade of 3%. The top
performing market during the period was Denver, CO, with a rise of 65%. The
worst real estate market during the 10 year time period was Atlantic City, NJ,
with appreciation of -27%.
The median for all markets during the last 10 years was 7%. The average for
the cities over that time frame was 8%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2017, St. Joseph Home Prices
had a rank of 298, with total growth over the 20 year period of 55%. The top
performing real estate market during the period was San Francisco, CA, with an
increase of 280%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Saginaw, MI,
with appreciation of 18%.
The median for all cities during the last 20 years was 79%. The average for the
markets over that time frame was 89%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the St. Joseph Real Estate
Market is available back to the 4th Quarter, of 1986. All calculations are based
on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for St. Joseph. Real estate
appreciation figures represent total net increase or decrease over each time
period. (Unless specifically stated, the figures do not represent annual or
quarterly rates of change.)



Data Source for Commentary & Charts: Federal Housing Finance Agency
Updated Wednesday, April 25, 2018.
SignalTrend  Inc. 2008 - 2018; All rights reserved.


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