Sebastian, FL - House Price Index (HPI)
Sebastian Real Estate Market - Home Price Forecast
100
1000
The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Sebastian-Vero Beach, FL single family home prices
in
logarithmic scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Real estate forecasts, analysis,
statistics and appreciation rates are provided below.
10
Sebastian Real Estate Market: Trend Outlook, Analysis & Statistics
Commentary  27142
2nd Quarter, 2017 Housing Statistics: Sebastian, Florida


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:        UP
Forecast Accuracy:      71%

LittleBigHomes.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Sebastian housing market for the 12
months ending with the 2nd Quarter of 2018 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend
Projection for Sebastian is 71%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 71% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Sebastian is 71% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be higher in the 2nd Quarter of 2018 than they were in the 2nd
Quarter of 2017. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Sebastian
Real Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:            UP
Forecast Accuracy:      73%

The forecast for the trend in the Sebastian housing market for the 3 years
ending with the 2nd Quarter of 2020 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend
Prediction for Sebastian is 73%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 73% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Sebastian is 73% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home values will be higher in the 2nd Quarter of 2020 than they were in the 2nd
Quarter of 2017. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Sebastian
Real Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
2nd Quarter, 2017 Housing Data: Sebastian, Florida


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                         2.68%
Last Year                              11.9%
Last 5 Years                         64%
Last 10 Years                       -11%
Last 20 Years                       117%
Decline From All Time High   18.91%


Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1987      1.88%
1988      0.50%
1989      10.40%
1990      -3.63%
1991      6.73%
1992      2.54%
1993      1.26%
1994      -1.13%
1995      2.73%
1996      -0.19%
1997      7.68%
1998      1.48%
1999      0.91%
2000      10.19%
2001      10.53%
2002      8.02%
2003      13.53%
2004      24.46%
2005      29.29%
2006      -0.59%
2007      -13.60%
2008      -22.44%
2009      -10.90%
2010      -5.62%
2011      -6.24%
2012      3.57%
2013      1.76%
2014      14.29%
2015      12.58%
2016      6.85%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              2.68%         Rank: 185 of 381 (51st Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  11.9%          Rank: 20 of 381 (95th Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              64%            Rank: 29 of 381 (92nd Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   -11%           Rank: 319 of 381 (16th Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            117%          Rank: 82 of 379 (78th Percentile)
Decline From All Time High        18.91%

The change in home prices for Sebastian-Vero Beach, FL are shown above for
five time periods. For example: Sebastian appreciated 2.68% in the Last
Quarter. At that rate, the Sebastian Real Estate Market was ranked 185th out of
381 metropolitan Real Estate Markets. Sebastian was in the 51st percentile. So
Sebastian, FL performed better in the Last Quarter than 51% of the 381
metropolitan areas covered in LittleBigHomes.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
2nd Quarter, 2017 Housing Statistics: Sebastian, Florida

The data and analysis on this page pertains to Sebastian-Vero Beach, FL,
hereinafter referred to as "Sebastian". The all time high in the Sebastian Home
Price Index was 279.4 in the 1st Quarter, of 2006. The 2nd Quarter, 2017 index
value was 226.5. That's a decline of 52.83 points or 18.91% below the
Sebastian Home Price Index all time high.  The Home Price Index indicates that
the Sebastian Market is down 11% over the last 10 years. Home prices in the
Sebastian Real Estate Market have gained 11.92% over the last 12 months.
Over the last thirty years, it is up 165%.

The 2nd Quarter index value was 5.92 points higher than the 1st Quarter, 2017
index value of 220.62, resulting in a 2.68% rise in the 2nd Quarter for the
Sebastian Market.

The Sebastian Home Price Index has increased for the last 2 consecutive
quarters. The current record holders for consecutive increases in the Home
Price Index are Phoenix, AZ; Houston, TX and Boise City, ID, with increases in
the last 24 consecutive quarters. The current record holders for consecutive
declines in the Home Price Index are Manhattan, KS and Longview, TX, with
declines in the last 3 consecutive quarters.

The highest annual change in the value of houses in the Sebastian Real Estate
Market was 29% in the twelve months ended with the 4th Quarter of 2005. The
worst annual change in home values  in the Sebastian Market was -22% in the
twelve months ended with the 4th Quarter of 2008.

The highest growth in home values in the Sebastian Real Estate Market over a
three year period was 85% in the three years ended with the 1st Quarter of
2006. The worst performance over a three year period in the Sebastian Market
was -41% in the three years ended with the 1st Quarter of 2010.

This page provides a long term graph of the Sebastian Home Price Index
(above). For information about Florida home values, click Real Estate Market
Forecasts in the navigation bar at the top of this page.  You'll see long term
charts and analysis that will provide tremendous insight into the historical trends
of residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then LittleBigHomes.com's
detailed research and statistics about Sebastian Home Prices will be at your
fingertips when you need them.

All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for
the Sebastian Market. The terms House Price Index and Home Price Index, as
used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) House
Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Sebastian Real Estate Market and hundreds
of other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
2nd Quarter, 2017 Housing Data: Sebastian, Florida

The trend of Sebastian Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan areas is
detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities. Five
different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period. The data and analysis on this page pertains
to Sebastian-Vero Beach, FL, hereinafter referred to as "Sebastian".

Last Quarter:
During the 2nd Quarter of 2017, Sebastian Home Prices had a rank of 185, with
appreciation of 2.68%. The top performing real estate market during the 2nd
Quarter was Weirton, OH, with a rise of 14.58%. The worst market during that
period was Bangor, ME, with appreciation of -4.77%.
The median for all cities during the 2nd Quarter was 2.58%. The average for all
markets during the quarter was 2.50%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Sebastian Home Prices had a rank of 20, with
appreciation during the year of 11.92%. The top performing market during the
last year was Mount Vernon, WA, with an increase of 15.1%. The worst real
estate market during that period was Pine Bluff, AR, with appreciation of -7.9%.
The median for all markets during this period was 5.39%. The average was
5.53%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 2nd Quarter of 2017, Sebastian Home Prices
ranked 29, with a total appreciation of 63.7%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Reno, NV, with a growth in value of 93%.
The worst market during that period was Jacksonville, NC, with appreciation of
-3%.
The median for all cities during this time period was 18%. The average over the
5 years was 25%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 2nd Quarter of 2017, Sebastian Home Prices
had a rank of 319, with appreciation during the decade of -11%. The top
performing market during the period was Austin, TX, with a rise of 62%. The
worst real estate market during the 10 year time period was Atlantic City, NJ,
with appreciation of -29%.
The median for all markets during the last 10 years was 4%. The average for
the cities over that time frame was 5%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 2nd Quarter of 2017, Sebastian Home Prices
had a rank of 82, with total growth over the 20 year period of 117%. The top
performing real estate market during the period was San Francisco, CA, with an
increase of 289%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Saginaw, MI,
with appreciation of 20%.
The median for all cities during the last 20 years was 79%. The average for the
markets over that time frame was 89%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Sebastian Real Estate
Market is available back to the 3rd Quarter, of 1986. All calculations are based
on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Sebastian. Real estate
appreciation figures represent total net increase or decrease over each time
period. (Unless specifically stated, the figures do not represent annual or
quarterly rates of change.)



Data Source for Commentary & Charts: Federal Housing Finance Agency
Updated Tuesday, October 24, 2017.
SignalTrend  Inc. 2008 - 2017; All rights reserved.


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