Santa Rosa, CA - House Price Index (HPI)
Santa Rosa Real Estate Market - Home Price Forecast
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The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Santa Rosa-Petaluma, CA single family home prices
in
logarithmic scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Updated Thursday, July 23, 2015. Real
estate forecasts, analysis, statistics and appreciation rates are provided below.
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Santa Rosa Real Estate Market: Trend Outlook, Analysis & Statistics
Commentary  18756
3rd Quarter, 2014 Housing Statistics: Santa Rosa, California


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:        UP
Forecast Accuracy:      83%

LittleBigHomes.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Santa Rosa housing market for the 12
months ending with the 3rd Quarter of 2015 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend
Projection for Santa Rosa is 83%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 83% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Santa Rosa is 83% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is
correct, home prices will be higher in the 3rd Quarter of 2015 than they were in
the 3rd Quarter of 2014. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Santa
Rosa Real Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:            UP
Forecast Accuracy:      78%

The forecast for the trend in the Santa Rosa housing market for the 3 years
ending with the 3rd Quarter of 2017 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend
Prediction for Santa Rosa is 78%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 78% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Santa Rosa is 78% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is
correct, home values will be higher in the 3rd Quarter of 2017 than they were in
the 3rd Quarter of 2014. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Santa
Rosa Real Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
3rd Quarter, 2014 Housing Data: Santa Rosa, California


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                         2.48%
Last Year                              13.2%
Last 5 Years                         25%
Last 10 Years                       -2%
Last 20 Years                       142%
Decline From All Time High   19.04%


Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1984      4.36%
1985      4.16%
1986      6.44%
1987      8.89%
1988      17.25%
1989      26.90%
1990      6.23%
1991      0.99%
1992      -1.41%
1993      -1.60%
1994      -2.24%
1995      0.99%
1996      -0.16%
1997      3.98%
1998      8.72%
1999      15.37%
2000      25.23%
2001      8.63%
2002      8.27%
2003      10.61%
2004      18.94%
2005      17.56%
2006      -3.99%
2007      -9.30%
2008      -19.47%
2009      -6.01%
2010      -3.75%
2011      -6.56%
2012      3.93%
2013      22.03%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              2.48%         Rank: 100 of 381 (73rd Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  13.2%          Rank: 17 of 381 (95th Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              25%            Rank: 12 of 381 (97th Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   -2%            Rank: 300 of 381 (21st Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            142%          Rank: 23 of 378 (94th Percentile)
Decline From All Time High        19.04%

The change in home prices for Santa Rosa, CA are shown above for five time
periods. For example: Santa Rosa appreciated 2.48% in the Last Quarter. At
that rate, the Santa Rosa Real Estate Market was ranked 100th out of 381
metropolitan Real Estate Markets. Santa Rosa was in the 73rd percentile. So
Santa Rosa, CA performed better in the Last Quarter than 73% of the 381
metropolitan areas covered in LittleBigHomes.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
3rd Quarter, 2014 Housing Statistics: Santa Rosa, California

The data and analysis on this page pertains to Santa Rosa, CA, hereinafter
referred to as "Santa Rosa". The all time high in the Santa Rosa Home Price
Index was 301.3 in the 4th Quarter, of 2005. The 3rd Quarter, 2014 index value
was 243.9. That's a decline of 57.35 points or 19.04% below the Santa Rosa
Home Price Index all time high.  The Home Price Index indicates that the Santa
Rosa Market is down 2% over the last 10 years. Home prices in the Santa Rosa
Real Estate Market have gained 13.18% over the last 12 months. Over the last
thirty years, it is up 353%.

The 3rd Quarter index value was 5.90 points higher than the 2nd Quarter, 2014
index value of 238.01, resulting in a 2.48% rise in the 3rd Quarter for the Santa
Rosa Market.

The Santa Rosa Home Price Index has increased for the last 10 consecutive
quarters. The current record holders for consecutive increases in the Home
Price Index are Phoenix, AZ; Houston, TX and Boise City, ID, with increases in
the last 13 consecutive quarters. The current record holder for consecutive
declines in the Home Price Index is Terre Haute, IN, with declines in the last 3
consecutive quarters.

The highest annual change in the value of houses in the Santa Rosa Real
Estate Market was 29% in the twelve months ended with the 4th Quarter of
1977. The worst annual change in home values  in the Santa Rosa Market was
-19% in the twelve months ended with the 4th Quarter of 2008.

The highest growth in home values in the Santa Rosa Real Estate Market over
a three year period was 80% in the three years ended with the 4th Quarter of
1979. The worst performance over a three year period in the Santa Rosa
Market was -34% in the three years ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2009.

This page provides a long term graph of the Santa Rosa Home Price Index
(above). For information about California home values, click Real Estate Market
Forecasts in the navigation bar at the top of this page.  You'll see long term
charts and analysis that will provide tremendous insight into the historical trends
of residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then LittleBigHomes.com's
detailed research and statistics about Santa Rosa Home Prices will be at your
fingertips when you need them.

All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for
the Santa Rosa Market. The terms House Price Index and Home Price Index, as
used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) House
Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Santa Rosa Real Estate Market and
hundreds of other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a
number of months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
3rd Quarter, 2014 Housing Data: Santa Rosa, California

The trend of Santa Rosa Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan areas
is detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities. Five
different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period. The data and analysis on this page pertains
to Santa Rosa, CA, hereinafter referred to as "Santa Rosa".

Last Quarter:
During the 3rd Quarter of 2014, Santa Rosa Home Prices had a rank of 100,
with appreciation of 2.48%. The top performing real estate market during the
3rd Quarter was Johnstown, PA, with a rise of 7.10%. The worst market during
that period was Farmington, NM, with appreciation of -4.09%.
The median for all cities during the 3rd Quarter was 1.44%. The average for all
markets during the quarter was 1.49%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Santa Rosa Home Prices had a rank of 17, with
appreciation during the year of 13.18%. The top performing market during the
last year was Madera, CA, with an increase of 19.4%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Jacksonville, NC, with appreciation of -4.5%.
The median for all markets during this period was 3.94%. The average was
4.71%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2014, Santa Rosa Home Prices
ranked 12, with a total appreciation of 24.7%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Merced, CA, with a growth in value of 45%.
The worst market during that period was Ocala, FL, with appreciation of -16%.
The median for all cities during this time period was 1%. The average over the
5 years was 3%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 3rd Quarter of 2014, Santa Rosa Home
Prices had a rank of 300, with appreciation during the decade of -2%. The top
performing market during the period was Midland, TX, with a rise of 129%. The
worst real estate market during the 10 year time period was Las Vegas, NV, with
appreciation of -27%.
The median for all markets during the last 10 years was 10%. The average for
the cities over that time frame was 11%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 3rd Quarter of 2014, Santa Rosa Home
Prices had a rank of 23, with total growth over the 20 year period of 142%. The
top performing real estate market during the period was San Francisco, CA,
with an increase of 229%. The worst market during the last 20 years was
Rockford, IL, with appreciation of 23%.
The median for all cities during the last 20 years was 75%. The average for the
markets over that time frame was 82%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Santa Rosa Real
Estate Market is available back to the 4th Quarter, of 1976. All calculations are
based on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Santa Rosa. Real
estate appreciation figures represent total net increase or decrease over each
time period. (Unless specifically stated, the figures do not represent annual or
quarterly rates of change.)





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