Santa Fe, NM - House Price Index (HPI)
Santa Fe Real Estate Market - Home Price Forecast
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1000
The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Santa Fe, NM single family home prices in
logarithmic scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100. Real estate forecasts, analysis, statistics
and appreciation rates are provided below.
10
Santa Fe Real Estate Market: Trend Outlook, Analysis & Statistics
Commentary  27137
2nd Quarter, 2017 Housing Statistics: Santa Fe, New Mexico


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:        UP
Forecast Accuracy:      77%

LittleBigHomes.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Santa Fe housing market for the 12
months ending with the 2nd Quarter of 2018 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend
Projection for Santa Fe is 77%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 77% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Santa Fe is 77% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be higher in the 2nd Quarter of 2018 than they were in the 2nd
Quarter of 2017. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Santa Fe
Real Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:            UP
Forecast Accuracy:      80%

The forecast for the trend in the Santa Fe housing market for the 3 years
ending with the 2nd Quarter of 2020 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend
Prediction for Santa Fe is 80%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 80% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Santa Fe is 80% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home values will be higher in the 2nd Quarter of 2020 than they were in the 2nd
Quarter of 2017. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Santa Fe
Real Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
2nd Quarter, 2017 Housing Data: Santa Fe, New Mexico


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                         3.49%
Last Year                              5.3%
Last 5 Years                         17%
Last 10 Years                       -7%
Last 20 Years                       78%
Decline From All Time High   8.52%


Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1987      1.20%
1988      3.92%
1989      9.58%
1990      8.64%
1991      4.76%
1992      7.97%
1993      9.14%
1994      9.58%
1995      7.10%
1996      -1.40%
1997      1.11%
1998      3.76%
1999      1.98%
2000      6.04%
2001      5.89%
2002      6.28%
2003      10.88%
2004      9.12%
2005      13.00%
2006      7.87%
2007      3.00%
2008      -6.24%
2009      -6.04%
2010      -4.08%
2011      -3.85%
2012      -2.86%
2013      2.37%
2014      -0.10%
2015      5.02%
2016      7.56%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              3.49%         Rank: 117 of 381 (69th Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  5.3%           Rank: 196 of 381 (48th Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              17%            Rank: 205 of 381 (46th Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   -7%            Rank: 289 of 381 (24th Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            78%            Rank: 197 of 379 (48th Percentile)
Decline From All Time High        8.52%

The change in home prices for Santa Fe, NM are shown above for five time
periods. For example: Santa Fe appreciated 3.49% in the Last Quarter. At that
rate, the Santa Fe Real Estate Market was ranked 117th out of 381
metropolitan Real Estate Markets. Santa Fe was in the 69th percentile. So
Santa Fe, NM performed better in the Last Quarter than 69% of the 381
metropolitan areas covered in LittleBigHomes.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
2nd Quarter, 2017 Housing Statistics: Santa Fe, New Mexico

The all time high in the Santa Fe Home Price Index was 202.1 in the 4th
Quarter, of 2007. The 2nd Quarter, 2017 index value was 184.9. That's a
decline of 17.22 points or 8.52% below the Santa Fe Home Price Index all time
high.  The Home Price Index indicates that the Santa Fe Market is down 7%
over the last 10 years. Home prices in the Santa Fe Real Estate Market have
gained 5.27% over the last 12 months. Over the last thirty years, it is up 212%.

The 2nd Quarter index value was 6.24 points higher than the 1st Quarter, 2017
index value of 178.66, resulting in a 3.49% rise in the 2nd Quarter for the Santa
Fe Market.

The Santa Fe Home Price Index increased in the last quarter after falling in the
previous quarter. The current record holders for consecutive increases in the
Home Price Index are Phoenix, AZ; Houston, TX and Boise City, ID, with
increases in the last 24 consecutive quarters. The current record holders for
consecutive declines in the Home Price Index are Manhattan, KS and Longview,
TX, with declines in the last 3 consecutive quarters.

The highest annual change in the value of houses in the Santa Fe Real Estate
Market was 13% in the twelve months ended with the 4th Quarter of 2005. The
worst annual change in home values  in the Santa Fe Market was -9% in the
twelve months ended with the 1st Quarter of 2010.

The highest growth in home values in the Santa Fe Real Estate Market over a
three year period was 37% in the three years ended with the 4th Quarter of
2005. The worst performance over a three year period in the Santa Fe Market
was -18% in the three years ended with the 2nd Quarter of 2011.

This page provides a long term graph of the Santa Fe Home Price Index
(above). For information about New Mexico home values, click Real Estate
Market Forecasts in the navigation bar at the top of this page.  You'll see long
term charts and analysis that will provide tremendous insight into the historical
trends of residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then
LittleBigHomes.com's detailed research and statistics about Santa Fe Home
Prices will be at your fingertips when you need them.

All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for
the Santa Fe Market. The terms House Price Index and Home Price Index, as
used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) House
Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Santa Fe Real Estate Market and hundreds
of other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
2nd Quarter, 2017 Housing Data: Santa Fe, New Mexico

The trend of Santa Fe Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan areas is
detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities. Five
different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period.

Last Quarter:
During the 2nd Quarter of 2017, Santa Fe Home Prices had a rank of 117, with
appreciation of 3.49%. The top performing real estate market during the 2nd
Quarter was Weirton, OH, with a rise of 14.58%. The worst market during that
period was Bangor, ME, with appreciation of -4.77%.
The median for all cities during the 2nd Quarter was 2.58%. The average for all
markets during the quarter was 2.50%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Santa Fe Home Prices had a rank of 196, with
appreciation during the year of 5.27%. The top performing market during the
last year was Mount Vernon, WA, with an increase of 15.1%. The worst real
estate market during that period was Pine Bluff, AR, with appreciation of -7.9%.
The median for all markets during this period was 5.39%. The average was
5.53%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 2nd Quarter of 2017, Santa Fe Home Prices
ranked 205, with a total appreciation of 17.3%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Reno, NV, with a growth in value of 93%.
The worst market during that period was Jacksonville, NC, with appreciation of
-3%.
The median for all cities during this time period was 18%. The average over the
5 years was 25%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 2nd Quarter of 2017, Santa Fe Home Prices
had a rank of 289, with appreciation during the decade of -7%. The top
performing market during the period was Austin, TX, with a rise of 62%. The
worst real estate market during the 10 year time period was Atlantic City, NJ,
with appreciation of -29%.
The median for all markets during the last 10 years was 4%. The average for
the cities over that time frame was 5%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 2nd Quarter of 2017, Santa Fe Home Prices
had a rank of 197, with total growth over the 20 year period of 78%. The top
performing real estate market during the period was San Francisco, CA, with an
increase of 289%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Saginaw, MI,
with appreciation of 20%.
The median for all cities during the last 20 years was 79%. The average for the
markets over that time frame was 89%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Santa Fe Real Estate
Market is available back to the 1st Quarter, of 1985. All calculations are based
on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Santa Fe. Real estate
appreciation figures represent total net increase or decrease over each time
period. (Unless specifically stated, the figures do not represent annual or
quarterly rates of change.)



Data Source for Commentary & Charts: Federal Housing Finance Agency
Updated Monday, October 23, 2017.
SignalTrend  Inc. 2008 - 2017; All rights reserved.


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