Saginaw, MI - House Price Index (HPI)
Saginaw Real Estate Market - Home Price Forecast
100
1000
The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Saginaw-Saginaw Township North, MI single family
home prices in
logarithmic scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Real estate forecasts,
analysis, statistics and appreciation rates are provided below.
10
Saginaw Real Estate Market: Trend Outlook, Analysis & Statistics
Commentary  500.56
4th Quarter, 2017 Housing Statistics: Saginaw, Michigan


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:        UP
Forecast Accuracy:      85%

LittleBigHomes.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Saginaw housing market for the 12
months ending with the 4th Quarter of 2018 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend
Projection for Saginaw is 85%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 85% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Saginaw is 85% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be higher in the 4th Quarter of 2018 than they were in the 4th
Quarter of 2017. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Saginaw Real
Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:            UP
Forecast Accuracy:      83%

The forecast for the trend in the Saginaw housing market for the 3 years ending
with the 4th Quarter of 2020 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend Prediction for
Saginaw is 83%. In other words, when tested against historical data, the
forecasting methodology was correct 83% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Saginaw is 83% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home values will be higher in the 4th Quarter of 2020 than they were in the 4th
Quarter of 2017. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Saginaw Real
Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
4th Quarter, 2017 Housing Data: Saginaw, Michigan


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                         -4.56%
Last Year                              1.6%
Last 5 Years                         13%
Last 10 Years                       -7%
Last 20 Years                       18%
Decline From All Time High   14.16%


Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1988      5.85%
1989      4.60%
1990      3.90%
1991      5.30%
1992      4.51%
1993      4.02%
1994      3.96%
1995      6.07%
1996      6.92%
1997      6.20%
1998      4.91%
1999      5.44%
2000      3.91%
2001      5.55%
2002      2.81%
2003      5.04%
2004      1.89%
2005      1.64%
2006      -4.06%
2007      -3.02%
2008      -9.23%
2009      -5.81%
2010      1.79%
2011      -4.02%
2012      -1.63%
2013      2.78%
2014      -1.30%
2015      5.26%
2016      4.53%
2017      1.62%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              -4.56%        Rank: 376 of 381 (1st Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  1.6%           Rank: 333 of 381 (12th Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              13%            Rank: 257 of 381 (32nd Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   -7%            Rank: 323 of 381 (15th Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            18%            Rank: 379 of 379 (Bottom .00%)
Decline From All Time High        14.16%

The change in home prices for Saginaw, MI are shown above for five time
periods. For example: Saginaw appreciated -4.56% in the Last Quarter. At that
rate, the Saginaw Real Estate Market was ranked 376th out of 381 metropolitan
Real Estate Markets. Saginaw was in the 1st percentile. So Saginaw, MI
performed better in the Last Quarter than 1% of the 381 metropolitan areas
covered in LittleBigHomes.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
4th Quarter, 2017 Housing Statistics: Saginaw, Michigan

The data and analysis on this page pertains to Saginaw, MI, hereinafter
referred to as "Saginaw". The all time high in the Saginaw Home Price Index was
164.3 in the 1st Quarter, of 2006. The 4th Quarter, 2017 index value was
141.0. That's a decline of 23.27 points or 14.16% below the Saginaw Home
Price Index all time high.  The Home Price Index indicates that the Saginaw
Market is down 7% over the last 10 years. Home prices in the Saginaw Real
Estate Market have gained 1.62% over the last 12 months. Over the last thirty
years, it is up 94%.

The 4th Quarter index value was 6.74 points lower than the 3rd Quarter, 2017
index value of 147.76, resulting in a 4.56% decline for the 4th Quarter in the
Saginaw Market.

The Saginaw Home Price Index declined in the last quarter after increasing in
the previous 2 quarters. The current record holders for consecutive declines in
the Home Price Index are Victoria, TX; Topeka, KS; Texarkana, TX-AR;
Springfield, MA and Peoria, IL, with declines in the last 2 consecutive quarters.
The current record holders for consecutive increases in the Home Price Index
are Phoenix, AZ; Houston, TX and Boise City, ID, with increases in the last 26
consecutive quarters.

The highest annual change in the value of houses in the Saginaw Real Estate
Market was 8% in the twelve months ended with the 1st Quarter of 1996. The
worst annual change in home values  in the Saginaw Market was -10% in the
twelve months ended with the 1st Quarter of 2010.

The highest growth in home values in the Saginaw Real Estate Market over a
three year period was 22% in the three years ended with the 1st Quarter of
1998. The worst performance over a three year period in the Saginaw Market
was -19% in the three years ended with the 2nd Quarter of 2010.

This page provides a long term graph of the Saginaw Home Price Index
(above). For information about Michigan home values, click Real Estate Market
Forecasts in the navigation bar at the top of this page.  You'll see long term
charts and analysis that will provide tremendous insight into the historical trends
of residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then LittleBigHomes.com's
detailed research and statistics about Saginaw Home Prices will be at your
fingertips when you need them.

All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for
the Saginaw Market. The terms House Price Index and Home Price Index, as
used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) House
Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Saginaw Real Estate Market and hundreds of
other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
4th Quarter, 2017 Housing Data: Saginaw, Michigan

The trend of Saginaw Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan areas is
detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities. Five
different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period. The data and analysis on this page pertains
to Saginaw, MI, hereinafter referred to as "Saginaw".

Last Quarter:
During the 4th Quarter of 2017, Saginaw Home Prices had a rank of 376, with
appreciation of -4.56%. The top performing real estate market during the 4th
Quarter was Gadsden, AL, with a rise of 13.11%. The worst market during that
period was Hinesville, GA, with appreciation of -6.79%.
The median for all cities during the 4th Quarter was 0.75%. The average for all
markets during the quarter was 0.69%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Saginaw Home Prices had a rank of 333, with
appreciation during the year of 1.62%. The top performing market during the
last year was Sebastian, FL, with an increase of 16.4%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Goldsboro, NC, with appreciation of -6.9%.
The median for all markets during this period was 5.37%. The average was
5.53%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 4th Quarter of 2017, Saginaw Home Prices
ranked 257, with a total appreciation of 13.4%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Reno, NV, with a growth in value of 94%.
The worst market during that period was Goldsboro, NC, with appreciation of
-5%.
The median for all cities during this time period was 19%. The average over the
5 years was 25%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2017, Saginaw Home Prices
had a rank of 323, with appreciation during the decade of -7%. The top
performing market during the period was Denver, CO, with a rise of 65%. The
worst real estate market during the 10 year time period was Atlantic City, NJ,
with appreciation of -27%.
The median for all markets during the last 10 years was 7%. The average for
the cities over that time frame was 8%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2017, Saginaw Home Prices
had the worst performance in the country, with total appreciation of 18%. The
top performer during the period was San Francisco, CA, with appreciation of
280%.
The median for all cities during the last 20 years was 79%. The average for the
markets over that time frame was 89%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Saginaw Real Estate
Market is available back to the 1st Quarter, of 1981. All calculations are based
on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Saginaw. Real estate
appreciation figures represent total net increase or decrease over each time
period. (Unless specifically stated, the figures do not represent annual or
quarterly rates of change.)



Data Source for Commentary & Charts: Federal Housing Finance Agency
Updated Friday, April 20, 2018.
SignalTrend  Inc. 2008 - 2018; All rights reserved.


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