The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Rochester, NY single family home prices in
logarithmic scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Real estate forecasts, analysis, statistics
and appreciation rates are provided below.
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Rochester Real Estate Market - Home Price Forecast (NY)
Rochester Real Estate Market: Trend Outlook, Analysis & Statistics
Rochester, NY - House Price Index (HPI)
Commentary  27878
3rd Quarter, 2017 Housing Statistics: Rochester, New York


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:        UP
Forecast Accuracy:      76%

LittleBigHomes.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Rochester housing market for the 12
months ending with the 3rd Quarter of 2018 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend
Projection for Rochester is 76%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 76% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Rochester is 76% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be higher in the 3rd Quarter of 2018 than they were in the 3rd
Quarter of 2017. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Rochester
Real Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:            UP
Forecast Accuracy:      78%

The forecast for the trend in the Rochester housing market for the 3 years
ending with the 3rd Quarter of 2020 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend
Prediction for Rochester is 78%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 78% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Rochester is 78% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home values will be higher in the 3rd Quarter of 2020 than they were in the 3rd
Quarter of 2017. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Rochester
Real Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
3rd Quarter, 2017 Housing Data: Rochester, New York


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                         2.25%
Last Year                              5.1%
Last 5 Years                         13%
Last 10 Years                       15%
Last 20 Years                       54%



Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1987      6.13%
1988      3.74%
1989      3.46%
1990      -0.49%
1991      2.27%
1992      2.69%
1993      1.02%
1994      -3.92%
1995      2.26%
1996      -0.80%
1997      1.80%
1998      2.88%
1999      0.23%
2000      2.93%
2001      3.77%
2002      3.56%
2003      4.46%
2004      4.20%
2005      4.30%
2006      1.32%
2007      0.99%
2008      0.83%
2009      0.88%
2010      0.67%
2011      -0.54%
2012      0.43%
2013      -0.51%
2014      2.35%
2015      2.64%
2016      3.10%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              2.25%         Rank: 118 of 381 (69th Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  5.1%           Rank: 203 of 381 (46th Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              13%            Rank: 257 of 381 (32nd Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   15%            Rank: 106 of 381 (72nd Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            54%            Rank: 303 of 379 (20th Percentile)


The change in home prices for Rochester, NY are shown above for five time
periods. For example: Rochester appreciated 2.25% in the Last Quarter. At that
rate, the Rochester Real Estate Market was ranked 118th out of 381
metropolitan Real Estate Markets. Rochester was in the 69th percentile. So
Rochester, NY performed better in the Last Quarter than 69% of the 381
metropolitan areas covered in LittleBigHomes.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
3rd Quarter, 2017 Housing Statistics: Rochester, New York

The all time high in the Rochester Home Price Index was 157.5 in the 3rd
Quarter, of 2017.  The Home Price Index indicates that the Rochester Market is
up 15% over the last 10 years. Home prices in the Rochester Real Estate
Market have gained 5.15% over the last 12 months. Over the last thirty years, it
is up 72%.

The 3rd Quarter index value was 3.46 points higher than the 2nd Quarter, 2017
index value of 154.04, resulting in a 2.25% rise in the 3rd Quarter for the
Rochester Market.

The Rochester Home Price Index has increased for the last 2 consecutive
quarters. The current record holders for consecutive increases in the Home
Price Index are Phoenix, AZ; Houston, TX and Boise City, ID, with increases in
the last 25 consecutive quarters. The current record holder for consecutive
declines in the Home Price Index is Carbondale, IL, with declines in the last 3
consecutive quarters.

The highest annual change in the value of houses in the Rochester Real Estate
Market was 18% in the twelve months ended with the 1st Quarter of 1983. The
worst annual change in home values  in the Rochester Market was -4% in the
twelve months ended with the 4th Quarter of 1994.

The highest growth in home values in the Rochester Real Estate Market over a
three year period was 40% in the three years ended with the 1st Quarter of
1985. The worst performance over a three year period in the Rochester Market
was -3% in the three years ended with the 4th Quarter of 1996.

This page provides a long term graph of the Rochester Home Price Index
(above). For information about New York home values, click Real Estate Market
Forecasts in the navigation bar at the top of this page.  You'll see long term
charts and analysis that will provide tremendous insight into the historical trends
of residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then LittleBigHomes.com's
detailed research and statistics about Rochester Home Prices will be at your
fingertips when you need them.

All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for
the Rochester Market. The terms House Price Index and Home Price Index, as
used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) House
Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Rochester Real Estate Market and hundreds
of other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
3rd Quarter, 2017 Housing Data: Rochester, New York

The trend of Rochester Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan areas is
detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities. Five
different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period.

Last Quarter:
During the 3rd Quarter of 2017, Rochester Home Prices had a rank of 118, with
appreciation of 2.25%. The top performing real estate market during the 3rd
Quarter was Pine Bluff, AR, with a rise of 7.86%. The worst market during that
period was Weirton, OH, with appreciation of -9.33%.
The median for all cities during the 3rd Quarter was 1.52%. The average for all
markets during the quarter was 1.39%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Rochester Home Prices had a rank of 203, with
appreciation during the year of 5.15%. The top performing market during the
last year was Seattle, WA, with an increase of 14.2%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Lawton, OK, with appreciation of -7.3%.
The median for all markets during this period was 5.41%. The average was
5.42%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2017, Rochester Home Prices
ranked 257, with a total appreciation of 13.1%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Reno, NV, with a growth in value of 95%.
The worst market during that period was Lawton, OK, with appreciation of -7%.
The median for all cities during this time period was 20%. The average over the
5 years was 26%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 3rd Quarter of 2017, Rochester Home Prices
had a rank of 106, with appreciation during the decade of 15%. The top
performing market during the period was Denver, CO, with a rise of 63%. The
worst real estate market during the 10 year time period was Atlantic City, NJ,
with appreciation of -28%.
The median for all markets during the last 10 years was 5%. The average for
the cities over that time frame was 7%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 3rd Quarter of 2017, Rochester Home Prices
had a rank of 303, with total growth over the 20 year period of 54%. The top
performing real estate market during the period was San Francisco, CA, with an
increase of 283%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Mansfield,
OH, with appreciation of 20%.
The median for all cities during the last 20 years was 80%. The average for the
markets over that time frame was 89%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Rochester Real Estate
Market is available back to the 2nd Quarter, of 1979. All calculations are based
on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Rochester. Real estate
appreciation figures represent total net increase or decrease over each time
period. (Unless specifically stated, the figures do not represent annual or
quarterly rates of change.)



Data Source for Commentary & Charts: Federal Housing Finance Agency
Updated Saturday, February 3, 2018.
SignalTrend  Inc. 2008 - 2018; All rights reserved.


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