Raleigh, NC - House Price Index (HPI)
Raleigh Real Estate Market - Home Price Forecast
The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Raleigh-Cary, NC single family home prices in
logarithmic scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Real estate forecasts, analysis, statistics
and appreciation rates are provided below.
Raleigh Real Estate Market: Trend Outlook, Analysis & Statistics
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Commentary  485.56
4th Quarter, 2017 Housing Statistics: Raleigh, North Carolina


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:        UP
Forecast Accuracy:      92%

LittleBigHomes.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Raleigh housing market for the 12
months ending with the 4th Quarter of 2018 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend
Projection for Raleigh is 92%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 92% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Raleigh is 92% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be higher in the 4th Quarter of 2018 than they were in the 4th
Quarter of 2017. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Raleigh Real
Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:            UP
Forecast Accuracy:      86%

The forecast for the trend in the Raleigh housing market for the 3 years ending
with the 4th Quarter of 2020 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend Prediction for
Raleigh is 86%. In other words, when tested against historical data, the
forecasting methodology was correct 86% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Raleigh is 86% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home values will be higher in the 4th Quarter of 2020 than they were in the 4th
Quarter of 2017. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Raleigh Real
Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
4th Quarter, 2017 Housing Data: Raleigh, North Carolina


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                         0.62%
Last Year                              7.1%
Last 5 Years                         30%
Last 10 Years                       21%
Last 20 Years                       79%



Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1988      2.94%
1989      1.10%
1990      1.74%
1991      2.59%
1992      2.10%
1993      3.78%
1994      10.02%
1995      4.35%
1996      3.06%
1997      5.14%
1998      3.71%
1999      3.87%
2000      3.30%
2001      3.96%
2002      2.31%
2003      1.90%
2004      3.60%
2005      5.43%
2006      6.49%
2007      5.35%
2008      0.51%
2009      -3.54%
2010      -1.63%
2011      -2.49%
2012      -0.08%
2013      2.29%
2014      5.02%
2015      5.83%
2016      6.77%
2017      7.08%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              0.62%         Rank: 203 of 381 (46th Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  7.1%           Rank: 121 of 381 (68th Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              30%            Rank: 111 of 381 (71st Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   21%            Rank: 58 of 381 (85th Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            79%            Rank: 194 of 379 (48th Percentile)


The change in home prices for Raleigh, NC are shown above for five time
periods. For example: Raleigh appreciated 0.62% in the Last Quarter. At that
rate, the Raleigh Real Estate Market was ranked 203rd out of 381 metropolitan
Real Estate Markets. Raleigh was in the 46th percentile. So Raleigh, NC
performed better in the Last Quarter than 46% of the 381 metropolitan areas
covered in LittleBigHomes.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
4th Quarter, 2017 Housing Statistics: Raleigh, North Carolina

The data and analysis on this page pertains to Raleigh, NC, hereinafter
referred to as "Raleigh". The all time high in the Raleigh Home Price Index was
200.6 in the 4th Quarter, of 2017.  The Home Price Index indicates that the
Raleigh Market is up 21% over the last 10 years. Home prices in the Raleigh
Real Estate Market have gained 7.08% over the last 12 months. Over the last
thirty years, it is up 156%.

The 4th Quarter index value was 1.24 points higher than the 3rd Quarter, 2017
index value of 199.34, resulting in a 0.62% rise in the 4th Quarter for the
Raleigh Market.

The Raleigh Home Price Index has increased for the last 19 consecutive
quarters. The current record holders for consecutive increases in the Home
Price Index are Phoenix, AZ; Houston, TX and Boise City, ID, with increases in
the last 26 consecutive quarters. The current record holders for consecutive
declines in the Home Price Index are Victoria, TX; Topeka, KS; Texarkana,
TX-AR; Springfield, MA and Peoria, IL, with declines in the last 2 consecutive
quarters.

The highest annual change in the value of houses in the Raleigh Real Estate
Market was 15% in the twelve months ended with the 1st Quarter of 1981. The
worst annual change in home values  in the Raleigh Market was -5% in the
twelve months ended with the 1st Quarter of 2010.

The highest growth in home values in the Raleigh Real Estate Market over a
three year period was 43% in the three years ended with the 1st Quarter of
1981. The worst performance over a three year period in the Raleigh Market
was -9% in the three years ended with the 1st Quarter of 2012.

This page provides a long term graph of the Raleigh Home Price Index (above).
For information about North Carolina home values, click Real Estate Market
Forecasts in the navigation bar at the top of this page.  You'll see long term
charts and analysis that will provide tremendous insight into the historical trends
of residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then LittleBigHomes.com's
detailed research and statistics about Raleigh Home Prices will be at your
fingertips when you need them.

All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for
the Raleigh Market. The terms House Price Index and Home Price Index, as
used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) House
Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Raleigh Real Estate Market and hundreds of
other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
4th Quarter, 2017 Housing Data: Raleigh, North Carolina

The trend of Raleigh Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan areas is
detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities. Five
different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period. The data and analysis on this page pertains
to Raleigh, NC, hereinafter referred to as "Raleigh".

Last Quarter:
During the 4th Quarter of 2017, Raleigh Home Prices had a rank of 203, with
appreciation of 0.62%. The top performing real estate market during the 4th
Quarter was Gadsden, AL, with a rise of 13.11%. The worst market during that
period was Hinesville, GA, with appreciation of -6.79%.
The median for all cities during the 4th Quarter was 0.75%. The average for all
markets during the quarter was 0.69%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Raleigh Home Prices had a rank of 121, with
appreciation during the year of 7.08%. The top performing market during the
last year was Sebastian, FL, with an increase of 16.4%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Goldsboro, NC, with appreciation of -6.9%.
The median for all markets during this period was 5.37%. The average was
5.53%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 4th Quarter of 2017, Raleigh Home Prices
ranked 111, with a total appreciation of 30.0%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Reno, NV, with a growth in value of 94%.
The worst market during that period was Goldsboro, NC, with appreciation of
-5%.
The median for all cities during this time period was 19%. The average over the
5 years was 25%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2017, Raleigh Home Prices
had a rank of 58, with appreciation during the decade of 21%. The top
performing market during the period was Denver, CO, with a rise of 65%. The
worst real estate market during the 10 year time period was Atlantic City, NJ,
with appreciation of -27%.
The median for all markets during the last 10 years was 7%. The average for
the cities over that time frame was 8%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2017, Raleigh Home Prices
had a rank of 194, with total growth over the 20 year period of 79%. The top
performing real estate market during the period was San Francisco, CA, with an
increase of 280%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Saginaw, MI,
with appreciation of 18%.
The median for all cities during the last 20 years was 79%. The average for the
markets over that time frame was 89%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Raleigh Real Estate
Market is available back to the 4th Quarter, of 1978. All calculations are based
on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Raleigh. Real estate
appreciation figures represent total net increase or decrease over each time
period. (Unless specifically stated, the figures do not represent annual or
quarterly rates of change.)



Data Source for Commentary & Charts: Federal Housing Finance Agency
Updated Friday, April 20, 2018.
SignalTrend  Inc. 2008 - 2018; All rights reserved.


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