Ogden, UT - House Price Index (HPI)
The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Ogden-Clearfield, UT single family home prices in
logarithmic scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100. Real estate forecasts, analysis, statistics
and appreciation rates are provided below.
Ogden Real Estate Market: Trend Outlook, Analysis & Statistics
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Commentary  453.56
4th Quarter, 2017 Housing Statistics: Ogden, Utah


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:        UP
Forecast Accuracy:      73%

LittleBigHomes.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Ogden housing market for the 12
months ending with the 4th Quarter of 2018 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend
Projection for Ogden is 73%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 73% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Ogden is 73% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be higher in the 4th Quarter of 2018 than they were in the 4th
Quarter of 2017. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Ogden Real
Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:            UP
Forecast Accuracy:      71%

The forecast for the trend in the Ogden housing market for the 3 years ending
with the 4th Quarter of 2020 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend Prediction for
Ogden is 71%. In other words, when tested against historical data, the
forecasting methodology was correct 71% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Ogden is 71% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home values will be higher in the 4th Quarter of 2020 than they were in the 4th
Quarter of 2017. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Ogden Real
Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
4th Quarter, 2017 Housing Data: Ogden, Utah


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                         1.68%
Last Year                              10.8%
Last 5 Years                         40%
Last 10 Years                       20%
Last 20 Years                       83%



Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1988      -1.35%
1989      0.30%
1990      1.11%
1991      6.08%
1992      4.81%
1993      11.26%
1994      14.84%
1995      11.53%
1996      8.02%
1997      6.80%
1998      4.10%
1999      -1.09%
2000      2.60%
2001      3.38%
2002      1.02%
2003      0.19%
2004      2.65%
2005      7.96%
2006      14.02%
2007      9.35%
2008      -2.94%
2009      -6.78%
2010      -2.09%
2011      -4.37%
2012      1.40%
2013      5.27%
2014      4.16%
2015      6.31%
2016      8.23%
2017      10.81%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              1.68%         Rank: 104 of 381 (72nd Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  10.8%          Rank: 25 of 381 (93rd Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              40%            Rank: 83 of 381 (78th Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   20%            Rank: 66 of 381 (82nd Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            83%            Rank: 169 of 379 (55th Percentile)


The change in home prices for Ogden-Clearfield, UT are shown above for five
time periods. For example: Ogden appreciated 1.68% in the Last Quarter. At
that rate, the Ogden Real Estate Market was ranked 104th out of 381
metropolitan Real Estate Markets. Ogden was in the 72nd percentile. So
Ogden, UT performed better in the Last Quarter than 72% of the 381
metropolitan areas covered in LittleBigHomes.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
4th Quarter, 2017 Housing Statistics: Ogden, Utah

The data and analysis on this page pertains to Ogden-Clearfield, UT,
hereinafter referred to as "Ogden". The all time high in the Ogden Home Price
Index was 229.4 in the 4th Quarter, of 2017.  The Home Price Index indicates
that the Ogden Market is up 20% over the last 10 years. Home prices in the
Ogden Real Estate Market have gained 10.81% over the last 12 months. Over
the last thirty years, it is up 235%.

The 4th Quarter index value was 3.78 points higher than the 3rd Quarter, 2017
index value of 225.61, resulting in a 1.68% rise in the 4th Quarter for the
Ogden Market.

The Ogden Home Price Index has increased for the last 22 consecutive
quarters. The current record holders for consecutive increases in the Home
Price Index are Phoenix, AZ; Houston, TX and Boise City, ID, with increases in
the last 26 consecutive quarters. The current record holders for consecutive
declines in the Home Price Index are Victoria, TX; Topeka, KS; Texarkana,
TX-AR; Springfield, MA and Peoria, IL, with declines in the last 2 consecutive
quarters.

The highest annual change in the value of houses in the Ogden Real Estate
Market was 17% in the twelve months ended with the 3rd Quarter of 1994. The
worst annual change in home values  in the Ogden Market was -9% in the
twelve months ended with the 4th Quarter of 1983.

The highest growth in home values in the Ogden Real Estate Market over a
three year period was 44% in the three years ended with the 1st Quarter of
1996. The worst performance over a three year period in the Ogden Market
was -17% in the three years ended with the 2nd Quarter of 2011.

This page provides a long term graph of the Ogden Home Price Index (above).
For information about Utah home values, click Real Estate Market Forecasts in
the navigation bar at the top of this page.  You'll see long term charts and
analysis that will provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of
residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then LittleBigHomes.com's
detailed research and statistics about Ogden Home Prices will be at your
fingertips when you need them.

All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for
the Ogden Market. The terms House Price Index and Home Price Index, as used
in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) House Price
Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Ogden Real Estate Market and hundreds of
other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
4th Quarter, 2017 Housing Data: Ogden, Utah

The trend of Ogden Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan areas is
detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities. Five
different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period. The data and analysis on this page pertains
to Ogden-Clearfield, UT, hereinafter referred to as "Ogden".

Last Quarter:
During the 4th Quarter of 2017, Ogden Home Prices had a rank of 104, with
appreciation of 1.68%. The top performing real estate market during the 4th
Quarter was Gadsden, AL, with a rise of 13.11%. The worst market during that
period was Hinesville, GA, with appreciation of -6.79%.
The median for all cities during the 4th Quarter was 0.75%. The average for all
markets during the quarter was 0.69%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Ogden Home Prices had a rank of 25, with
appreciation during the year of 10.81%. The top performing market during the
last year was Sebastian, FL, with an increase of 16.4%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Goldsboro, NC, with appreciation of -6.9%.
The median for all markets during this period was 5.37%. The average was
5.53%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 4th Quarter of 2017, Ogden Home Prices
ranked 83, with a total appreciation of 39.8%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Reno, NV, with a growth in value of 94%.
The worst market during that period was Goldsboro, NC, with appreciation of
-5%.
The median for all cities during this time period was 19%. The average over the
5 years was 25%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2017, Ogden Home Prices had
a rank of 66, with appreciation during the decade of 20%. The top performing
market during the period was Denver, CO, with a rise of 65%. The worst real
estate market during the 10 year time period was Atlantic City, NJ, with
appreciation of -27%.
The median for all markets during the last 10 years was 7%. The average for
the cities over that time frame was 8%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2017, Ogden Home Prices had
a rank of 169, with total growth over the 20 year period of 83%. The top
performing real estate market during the period was San Francisco, CA, with an
increase of 280%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Saginaw, MI,
with appreciation of 18%.
The median for all cities during the last 20 years was 79%. The average for the
markets over that time frame was 89%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Ogden Real Estate
Market is available back to the 3rd Quarter, of 1978. All calculations are based
on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Ogden. Real estate
appreciation figures represent total net increase or decrease over each time
period. (Unless specifically stated, the figures do not represent annual or
quarterly rates of change.)



Data Source for Commentary & Charts: Federal Housing Finance Agency
Updated Tuesday, April 10, 2018.
SignalTrend  Inc. 2008 - 2018; All rights reserved.


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