Oakland, CA - House Price Index (HPI)
Oakland Real Estate Market - Home Price Forecast
The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Oakland-Fremont-Hayward, CA single family home
prices in
logarithmic scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Real estate forecasts, analysis,
statistics and appreciation rates are provided below.
Oakland Real Estate Market: Trend Outlook, Analysis & Statistics
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Commentary  1211.56
1st Quarter, 2018 Housing Statistics: Oakland, California


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:        UP
Forecast Accuracy:      85%

LittleBigHomes.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Oakland housing market for the 12
months ending with the 1st Quarter of 2019 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend
Projection for Oakland is 85%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 85% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Oakland is 85% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be higher in the 1st Quarter of 2019 than they were in the 1st
Quarter of 2018. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Oakland Real
Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:            UP
Forecast Accuracy:      78%

The forecast for the trend in the Oakland housing market for the 3 years ending
with the 1st Quarter of 2021 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend Prediction for
Oakland is 78%. In other words, when tested against historical data, the
forecasting methodology was correct 78% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Oakland is 78% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home values will be higher in the 1st Quarter of 2021 than they were in the 1st
Quarter of 2018. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Oakland Real
Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
1st Quarter, 2018 Housing Data: Oakland, California


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                         1.83%
Last Year                              8.8%
Last 5 Years                         73%
Last 10 Years                       36%
Last 20 Years                       231%



Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1988      16.91%
1989      22.32%
1990      1.07%
1991      -0.68%
1992      -1.25%
1993      -2.12%
1994      -4.68%
1995      1.24%
1996      -0.39%
1997      7.63%
1998      10.00%
1999      13.46%
2000      23.16%
2001      10.20%
2002      9.91%
2003      8.92%
2004      18.85%
2005      21.87%
2006      -0.57%
2007      -11.05%
2008      -20.44%
2009      -6.98%
2010      -0.64%
2011      -4.97%
2012      4.50%
2013      20.41%
2014      10.29%
2015      11.53%
2016      7.37%
2017      9.90%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              1.83%         Rank: 129 of 381 (66th Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  8.8%           Rank: 65 of 381 (83rd Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              73%            Rank: 10 of 381 (97th Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   36%            Rank: 21 of 381 (94th Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            231%          Rank: 3 of 379 (99th Percentile)


The change in home prices for Oakland-Hayward-Berkeley, CA are shown
above for five time periods. For example: Oakland appreciated 1.83% in the
Last Quarter. At that rate, the Oakland Real Estate Market was ranked 129th
out of 381 metropolitan Real Estate Markets. Oakland was in the 66th
percentile. So Oakland, CA performed better in the Last Quarter than 66% of
the 381 metropolitan areas covered in LittleBigHomes.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
1st Quarter, 2018 Housing Statistics: Oakland, California

The data and analysis on this page pertains to Oakland-Hayward-Berkeley, CA,
hereinafter referred to as "Oakland". The all time high in the Oakland Home
Price Index was 366.3 in the 1st Quarter, of 2018.  The Home Price Index
indicates that the Oakland Market is up 36% over the last 10 years. Home
prices in the Oakland Real Estate Market have gained 8.82% over the last 12
months. Over the last thirty years, it is up 370%.

The 1st Quarter index value was 6.59 points higher than the 4th Quarter, 2017
index value of 359.71, resulting in a 1.83% rise in the 1st Quarter for the
Oakland Market.

The Oakland Home Price Index has increased for the last 24 consecutive
quarters. The current record holders for consecutive increases in the Home
Price Index are Phoenix, AZ; Houston, TX and Boise City, ID, with increases in
the last 27 consecutive quarters. The current record holders for consecutive
declines in the Home Price Index are Tallahassee, FL; Syracuse, NY; Sioux City,
IA; Shreveport, LA and Peoria, IL, with declines in the last 3 consecutive
quarters.

The highest annual change in the value of houses in the Oakland Real Estate
Market was 27% in the twelve months ended with the 3rd Quarter of 1977. The
worst annual change in home values  in the Oakland Market was -21% in the
twelve months ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2008.

The highest growth in home values in the Oakland Real Estate Market over a
three year period was 73% in the three years ended with the 1st Quarter of
1980. The worst performance over a three year period in the Oakland Market
was -35% in the three years ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2009.

This page provides a long term graph of the Oakland Home Price Index
(above). For information about California home values, click Real Estate Market
Forecasts in the navigation bar at the top of this page.  You'll see long term
charts and analysis that will provide tremendous insight into the historical trends
of residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then LittleBigHomes.com's
detailed research and statistics about Oakland Home Prices will be at your
fingertips when you need them.

All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for
the Oakland Market. The terms House Price Index and Home Price Index, as
used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) House
Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Oakland Real Estate Market and hundreds of
other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
1st Quarter, 2018 Housing Data: Oakland, California

The trend of Oakland Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan areas is
detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities. Five
different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period. The data and analysis on this page pertains
to Oakland-Hayward-Berkeley, CA, hereinafter referred to as "Oakland".

Last Quarter:
During the 1st Quarter of 2018, Oakland Home Prices had a rank of 129, with
appreciation of 1.83%. The top performing real estate market during the 1st
Quarter was Goldsboro, NC, with a rise of 9.78%. The worst market during that
period was Cumberland, MD, with appreciation of -9.30%.
The median for all cities during the 1st Quarter was 1.15%. The average for all
markets during the quarter was 0.97%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Oakland Home Prices had a rank of 65, with
appreciation during the year of 8.82%. The top performing market during the
last year was Boise City, ID, with an increase of 15.3%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Farmington, NM, with appreciation of -6.0%.
The median for all markets during this period was 5.97%. The average was
5.82%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 1st Quarter of 2018, Oakland Home Prices
ranked 10, with a total appreciation of 72.9%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Reno, NV, with a growth in value of 90%.
The worst market during that period was Farmington, NM, with appreciation of
-4%.
The median for all cities during this time period was 20%. The average over the
5 years was 26%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 1st Quarter of 2018, Oakland Home Prices
had a rank of 21, with appreciation during the decade of 36%. The top
performing market during the period was Denver, CO, with a rise of 69%. The
worst real estate market during the 10 year time period was Atlantic City, NJ,
with appreciation of -26%.
The median for all markets during the last 10 years was 8%. The average for
the cities over that time frame was 9%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 1st Quarter of 2018, Oakland Home Prices
had a rank of 3, with total growth over the 20 year period of 231%. The top
performing real estate market during the period was San Francisco, CA, with an
increase of 282%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Rockford, IL,
with appreciation of 18%.
The median for all cities during the last 20 years was 79%. The average for the
markets over that time frame was 88%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Oakland Real Estate
Market is available back to the 3rd Quarter, of 1975. All calculations are based
on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Oakland. Real estate
appreciation figures represent total net increase or decrease over each time
period. (Unless specifically stated, the figures do not represent annual or
quarterly rates of change.)



Data Source for Commentary & Charts: Federal Housing Finance Agency
Updated Monday, July 23, 2018.
SignalTrend  Inc. 2008 - 2018; All rights reserved.


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