Nashville, TN - House Price Index (HPI)
Nashville Real Estate Market - Home Price Forecast
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1000
The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Nashville-Davidson-Murfreesboro-Franklin, TN
single family home prices in
logarithmic scale. The March, 1995 index value is 100. Real estate
forecasts, analysis, statistics and appreciation rates are provided below.
10
Nashville Real Estate Market: Trend Outlook, Analysis & Statistics
Commentary  1203.56
1st Quarter, 2018 Housing Statistics: Nashville, Tennessee


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:        UP
Forecast Accuracy:      86%

LittleBigHomes.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Nashville housing market for the 12
months ending with the 1st Quarter of 2019 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend
Projection for Nashville is 86%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 86% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Nashville is 86% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be higher in the 1st Quarter of 2019 than they were in the 1st
Quarter of 2018. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Nashville
Real Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:            UP
Forecast Accuracy:      83%

The forecast for the trend in the Nashville housing market for the 3 years
ending with the 1st Quarter of 2021 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend
Prediction for Nashville is 83%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 83% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Nashville is 83% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home values will be higher in the 1st Quarter of 2021 than they were in the 1st
Quarter of 2018. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Nashville
Real Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
1st Quarter, 2018 Housing Data: Nashville, Tennessee


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                         1.54%
Last Year                              8.7%
Last 5 Years                         50%
Last 10 Years                       40%
Last 20 Years                       118%



Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1988      0.46%
1989      0.23%
1990      -0.04%
1991      1.35%
1992      2.69%
1993      4.98%
1994      7.51%
1995      7.66%
1996      5.78%
1997      5.59%
1998      5.48%
1999      2.11%
2000      3.69%
2001      4.27%
2002      2.93%
2003      3.06%
2004      5.31%
2005      7.90%
2006      8.64%
2007      3.28%
2008      -0.61%
2009      -4.68%
2010      -0.65%
2011      -2.11%
2012      0.93%
2013      5.48%
2014      7.38%
2015      8.10%
2016      10.11%
2017      10.43%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              1.54%         Rank: 153 of 381 (60th Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  8.7%           Rank: 71 of 381 (81st Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              50%            Rank: 55 of 381 (85th Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   40%            Rank: 16 of 381 (96th Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            118%          Rank: 80 of 379 (79th Percentile)


The change in home prices for Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN
are shown above for five time periods. For example: Nashville appreciated
1.54% in the Last Quarter. At that rate, the Nashville Real Estate Market was
ranked 153rd out of 381 metropolitan Real Estate Markets. Nashville was in the
60th percentile. So Nashville, TN performed better in the Last Quarter than 60%
of the 381 metropolitan areas covered in LittleBigHomes.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
1st Quarter, 2018 Housing Statistics: Nashville, Tennessee

The data and analysis on this page pertains to
Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN, hereinafter referred to as
"Nashville". The all time high in the Nashville Home Price Index was 261.2 in the
1st Quarter, of 2018.  The Home Price Index indicates that the Nashville Market
is up 40% over the last 10 years. Home prices in the Nashville Real Estate
Market have gained 8.70% over the last 12 months. Over the last thirty years, it
is up 215%.

The 1st Quarter index value was 3.95 points higher than the 4th Quarter, 2017
index value of 257.22, resulting in a 1.54% rise in the 1st Quarter for the
Nashville Market.

The Nashville Home Price Index has increased for the last 23 consecutive
quarters. The current record holders for consecutive increases in the Home
Price Index are Phoenix, AZ; Houston, TX and Boise City, ID, with increases in
the last 27 consecutive quarters. The current record holders for consecutive
declines in the Home Price Index are Tallahassee, FL; Syracuse, NY; Sioux City,
IA; Shreveport, LA and Peoria, IL, with declines in the last 3 consecutive
quarters.

The highest annual change in the value of houses in the Nashville Real Estate
Market was 14% in the twelve months ended with the 1st Quarter of 1982. The
worst annual change in home values  in the Nashville Market was -5% in the
twelve months ended with the 1st Quarter of 2010.

The highest growth in home values in the Nashville Real Estate Market over a
three year period was 32% in the three years ended with the 1st Quarter of
2018. The worst performance over a three year period in the Nashville Market
was -9% in the three years ended with the 2nd Quarter of 2011.

This page provides a long term graph of the Nashville Home Price Index
(above). For information about Tennessee home values, click Real Estate
Market Forecasts in the navigation bar at the top of this page.  You'll see long
term charts and analysis that will provide tremendous insight into the historical
trends of residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then
LittleBigHomes.com's detailed research and statistics about Nashville Home
Prices will be at your fingertips when you need them.

All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for
the Nashville Market. The terms House Price Index and Home Price Index, as
used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) House
Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Nashville Real Estate Market and hundreds
of other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
1st Quarter, 2018 Housing Data: Nashville, Tennessee

The trend of Nashville Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan areas is
detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities. Five
different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period. The data and analysis on this page pertains
to Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN, hereinafter referred to as
"Nashville".

Last Quarter:
During the 1st Quarter of 2018, Nashville Home Prices had a rank of 153, with
appreciation of 1.54%. The top performing real estate market during the 1st
Quarter was Goldsboro, NC, with a rise of 9.78%. The worst market during that
period was Cumberland, MD, with appreciation of -9.30%.
The median for all cities during the 1st Quarter was 1.15%. The average for all
markets during the quarter was 0.97%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Nashville Home Prices had a rank of 71, with
appreciation during the year of 8.70%. The top performing market during the
last year was Boise City, ID, with an increase of 15.3%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Farmington, NM, with appreciation of -6.0%.
The median for all markets during this period was 5.97%. The average was
5.82%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 1st Quarter of 2018, Nashville Home Prices
ranked 55, with a total appreciation of 50.3%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Reno, NV, with a growth in value of 90%.
The worst market during that period was Farmington, NM, with appreciation of
-4%.
The median for all cities during this time period was 20%. The average over the
5 years was 26%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 1st Quarter of 2018, Nashville Home Prices
had a rank of 16, with appreciation during the decade of 40%. The top
performing market during the period was Denver, CO, with a rise of 69%. The
worst real estate market during the 10 year time period was Atlantic City, NJ,
with appreciation of -26%.
The median for all markets during the last 10 years was 8%. The average for
the cities over that time frame was 9%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 1st Quarter of 2018, Nashville Home Prices
had a rank of 80, with total growth over the 20 year period of 118%. The top
performing real estate market during the period was San Francisco, CA, with an
increase of 282%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Rockford, IL,
with appreciation of 18%.
The median for all cities during the last 20 years was 79%. The average for the
markets over that time frame was 88%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Nashville Real Estate
Market is available back to the 3rd Quarter, of 1979. All calculations are based
on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Nashville. Real estate
appreciation figures represent total net increase or decrease over each time
period. (Unless specifically stated, the figures do not represent annual or
quarterly rates of change.)



Data Source for Commentary & Charts: Federal Housing Finance Agency
Updated Monday, July 23, 2018.
SignalTrend  Inc. 2008 - 2018; All rights reserved.


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