Napa, CA - House Price Index (HPI)
Napa Real Estate Market - Home Price Forecast
100
1000
The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Napa, CA single family home prices in logarithmic
scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Real estate forecasts, analysis, statistics and
appreciation rates are provided below.
10
Napa Real Estate Market: Trend Outlook, Analysis & Statistics
Commentary  27823
3rd Quarter, 2017 Housing Statistics: Napa, California


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:        UP
Forecast Accuracy:      81%

LittleBigHomes.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Napa housing market for the 12
months ending with the 3rd Quarter of 2018 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend
Projection for Napa is 81%. In other words, when tested against historical data,
the forecasting methodology was correct 81% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Napa is 81% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct, home
prices will be higher in the 3rd Quarter of 2018 than they were in the 3rd
Quarter of 2017. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Napa Real
Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:            UP
Forecast Accuracy:      74%

The forecast for the trend in the Napa housing market for the 3 years ending
with the 3rd Quarter of 2020 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend Prediction for
Napa is 74%. In other words, when tested against historical data, the
forecasting methodology was correct 74% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Napa is 74% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct, home
values will be higher in the 3rd Quarter of 2020 than they were in the 3rd
Quarter of 2017. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Napa Real
Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
3rd Quarter, 2017 Housing Data: Napa, California


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                         1.12%
Last Year                              7.0%
Last 5 Years                         69%
Last 10 Years                       7%
Last 20 Years                       219%
Decline From All Time High   0.25%


Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1987      11.51%
1988      13.29%
1989      19.00%
1990      12.83%
1991      1.41%
1992      -0.10%
1993      -1.44%
1994      -4.56%
1995      0.83%
1996      -0.48%
1997      4.86%
1998      6.62%
1999      15.42%
2000      20.60%
2001      12.51%
2002      14.06%
2003      15.43%
2004      18.12%
2005      17.17%
2006      -0.72%
2007      -7.85%
2008      -20.48%
2009      -9.46%
2010      -4.86%
2011      -6.57%
2012      4.30%
2013      21.58%
2014      10.51%
2015      9.70%
2016      7.14%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              1.12%         Rank: 232 of 381 (39th Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  7.0%           Rank: 132 of 381 (65th Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              69%            Rank: 16 of 381 (96th Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   7%              Rank: 173 of 381 (54th Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            219%          Rank: 6 of 379 (98th Percentile)
Decline From All Time High        0.25%

The change in home prices for Napa, CA are shown above for five time periods.
For example: Napa appreciated 1.12% in the Last Quarter. At that rate, the
Napa Real Estate Market was ranked 232nd out of 381 metropolitan Real
Estate Markets. Napa was in the 39th percentile. So Napa, CA performed better
in the Last Quarter than 39% of the 381 metropolitan areas covered in
LittleBigHomes.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
3rd Quarter, 2017 Housing Statistics: Napa, California

The all time high in the Napa Home Price Index was 322.6 in the 1st Quarter, of
2006. The 3rd Quarter, 2017 index value was 321.8. That's a decline of 0.82
points or 0.25% below the Napa Home Price Index all time high.  The Home
Price Index indicates that the Napa Market is up 7% over the last 10 years.
Home prices in the Napa Real Estate Market have gained 6.97% over the last
12 months. Over the last thirty years, it is up 387%.

The 3rd Quarter index value was 3.55 points higher than the 2nd Quarter, 2017
index value of 318.24, resulting in a 1.12% rise in the 3rd Quarter for the Napa
Market.

The Napa Home Price Index has increased for the last 10 consecutive quarters.
The current record holders for consecutive increases in the Home Price Index
are Phoenix, AZ; Houston, TX and Boise City, ID, with increases in the last 25
consecutive quarters. The current record holder for consecutive declines in the
Home Price Index is Carbondale, IL, with declines in the last 3 consecutive
quarters.

The highest annual change in the value of houses in the Napa Real Estate
Market was 24% in the twelve months ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2004. The
worst annual change in home values  in the Napa Market was -20% in the
twelve months ended with the 4th Quarter of 2008.

The highest growth in home values in the Napa Real Estate Market over a three
year period was 63% in the three years ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2005.
The worst performance over a three year period in the Napa Market was -36%
in the three years ended with the 2nd Quarter of 2010.

This page provides a long term graph of the Napa Home Price Index (above).
For information about California home values, click Real Estate Market
Forecasts in the navigation bar at the top of this page.  You'll see long term
charts and analysis that will provide tremendous insight into the historical trends
of residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then LittleBigHomes.com's
detailed research and statistics about Napa Home Prices will be at your
fingertips when you need them.

All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for
the Napa Market. The terms House Price Index and Home Price Index, as used
in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) House Price
Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Napa Real Estate Market and hundreds of
other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
3rd Quarter, 2017 Housing Data: Napa, California

The trend of Napa Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan areas is
detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities. Five
different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period.

Last Quarter:
During the 3rd Quarter of 2017, Napa Home Prices had a rank of 232, with
appreciation of 1.12%. The top performing real estate market during the 3rd
Quarter was Pine Bluff, AR, with a rise of 7.86%. The worst market during that
period was Weirton, OH, with appreciation of -9.33%.
The median for all cities during the 3rd Quarter was 1.52%. The average for all
markets during the quarter was 1.39%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Napa Home Prices had a rank of 132, with
appreciation during the year of 6.97%. The top performing market during the
last year was Seattle, WA, with an increase of 14.2%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Lawton, OK, with appreciation of -7.3%.
The median for all markets during this period was 5.41%. The average was
5.42%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2017, Napa Home Prices
ranked 16, with a total appreciation of 69.2%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Reno, NV, with a growth in value of 95%.
The worst market during that period was Lawton, OK, with appreciation of -7%.
The median for all cities during this time period was 20%. The average over the
5 years was 26%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 3rd Quarter of 2017, Napa Home Prices had a
rank of 173, with appreciation during the decade of 7%. The top performing
market during the period was Denver, CO, with a rise of 63%. The worst real
estate market during the 10 year time period was Atlantic City, NJ, with
appreciation of -28%.
The median for all markets during the last 10 years was 5%. The average for
the cities over that time frame was 7%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 3rd Quarter of 2017, Napa Home Prices had a
rank of 6, with total growth over the 20 year period of 219%. The top performing
real estate market during the period was San Francisco, CA, with an increase of
283%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Mansfield, OH, with
appreciation of 20%.
The median for all cities during the last 20 years was 80%. The average for the
markets over that time frame was 89%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Napa Real Estate
Market is available back to the 1st Quarter, of 1979. All calculations are based
on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Napa. Real estate
appreciation figures represent total net increase or decrease over each time
period. (Unless specifically stated, the figures do not represent annual or
quarterly rates of change.)



Data Source for Commentary & Charts: Federal Housing Finance Agency
Updated Wednesday, January 24, 2018.
SignalTrend  Inc. 2008 - 2018; All rights reserved.


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