Morristown, TN - House Price Index (HPI)
Morristown Real Estate Market - Home Price Forecast
100
1000
The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Morristown, TN single family home prices in
logarithmic scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Real estate forecasts, analysis, statistics
and appreciation rates are provided below.
10
Morristown Real Estate Market: Trend Outlook, Analysis & Statistics
Commentary  1196.56
1st Quarter, 2018 Housing Statistics: Morristown, Tennessee


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:        UP
Forecast Accuracy:      80%

LittleBigHomes.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Morristown housing market for the 12
months ending with the 1st Quarter of 2019 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend
Projection for Morristown is 80%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 80% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Morristown is 80% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be higher in the 1st Quarter of 2019 than they were in the 1st
Quarter of 2018. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Morristown
Real Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:            UP
Forecast Accuracy:      79%

The forecast for the trend in the Morristown housing market for the 3 years
ending with the 1st Quarter of 2021 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend
Prediction for Morristown is 79%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 79% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Morristown is 79% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home values will be higher in the 1st Quarter of 2021 than they were in the 1st
Quarter of 2018. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Morristown
Real Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
1st Quarter, 2018 Housing Data: Morristown, Tennessee


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                         3.69%
Last Year                              10.9%
Last 5 Years                         17%
Last 10 Years                       3%
Last 20 Years                       63%



Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1988        n/a
1989        n/a
1990        n/a
1991        n/a
1992        n/a
1993        n/a
1994      5.33%
1995      6.35%
1996      4.95%
1997      5.67%
1998      6.58%
1999      2.84%
2000      3.72%
2001      5.35%
2002      1.96%
2003      2.66%
2004      5.09%
2005      10.42%
2006      6.46%
2007      3.64%
2008      -1.48%
2009      -3.96%
2010      -2.61%
2011      -2.10%
2012      1.10%
2013      -1.65%
2014      1.42%
2015      4.49%
2016      0.50%
2017      5.70%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              3.69%         Rank: 32 of 381 (91st Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  10.9%          Rank: 28 of 381 (92nd Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              17%            Rank: 226 of 381 (40th Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   3%              Rank: 250 of 381 (34th Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            63%            Rank: 257 of 379 (32nd Percentile)


The change in home prices for Morristown, TN are shown above for five time
periods. For example: Morristown appreciated 3.69% in the Last Quarter. At
that rate, the Morristown Real Estate Market was ranked 32nd out of 381
metropolitan Real Estate Markets. Morristown was in the 91st percentile. So
Morristown, TN performed better in the Last Quarter than 91% of the 381
metropolitan areas covered in LittleBigHomes.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
1st Quarter, 2018 Housing Statistics: Morristown, Tennessee

The all time high in the Morristown Home Price Index was 190.2 in the 1st
Quarter, of 2018.  The Home Price Index indicates that the Morristown Market is
up 3% over the last 10 years. Home prices in the Morristown Real Estate Market
have gained 10.87% over the last 12 months.

The 1st Quarter index value was 6.76 points higher than the 4th Quarter, 2017
index value of 183.41, resulting in a 3.69% rise in the 1st Quarter for the
Morristown Market.

The Morristown Home Price Index increased in the last quarter after falling in
the previous quarter. The current record holders for consecutive increases in
the Home Price Index are Phoenix, AZ; Houston, TX and Boise City, ID, with
increases in the last 27 consecutive quarters. The current record holders for
consecutive declines in the Home Price Index are Tallahassee, FL; Syracuse,
NY; Sioux City, IA; Shreveport, LA and Peoria, IL, with declines in the last 3
consecutive quarters.

The highest annual change in the value of houses in the Morristown Real
Estate Market was 11% in the twelve months ended with the 1st Quarter of
2018. The worst annual change in home values  in the Morristown Market was
-8% in the twelve months ended with the 2nd Quarter of 2010.

The highest growth in home values in the Morristown Real Estate Market over a
three year period was 26% in the three years ended with the 2nd Quarter of
2007. The worst performance over a three year period in the Morristown Market
was -12% in the three years ended with the 2nd Quarter of 2011.

This page provides a long term graph of the Morristown Home Price Index
(above). For information about Tennessee home values, click Real Estate
Market Forecasts in the navigation bar at the top of this page.  You'll see long
term charts and analysis that will provide tremendous insight into the historical
trends of residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then
LittleBigHomes.com's detailed research and statistics about Morristown Home
Prices will be at your fingertips when you need them.

All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for
the Morristown Market. The terms House Price Index and Home Price Index, as
used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) House
Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Morristown Real Estate Market and hundreds
of other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
1st Quarter, 2018 Housing Data: Morristown, Tennessee

The trend of Morristown Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan areas is
detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities. Five
different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period.

Last Quarter:
During the 1st Quarter of 2018, Morristown Home Prices had a rank of 32, with
appreciation of 3.69%. The top performing real estate market during the 1st
Quarter was Goldsboro, NC, with a rise of 9.78%. The worst market during that
period was Cumberland, MD, with appreciation of -9.30%.
The median for all cities during the 1st Quarter was 1.15%. The average for all
markets during the quarter was 0.97%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Morristown Home Prices had a rank of 28, with
appreciation during the year of 10.87%. The top performing market during the
last year was Boise City, ID, with an increase of 15.3%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Farmington, NM, with appreciation of -6.0%.
The median for all markets during this period was 5.97%. The average was
5.82%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 1st Quarter of 2018, Morristown Home Prices
ranked 226, with a total appreciation of 16.9%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Reno, NV, with a growth in value of 90%.
The worst market during that period was Farmington, NM, with appreciation of
-4%.
The median for all cities during this time period was 20%. The average over the
5 years was 26%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 1st Quarter of 2018, Morristown Home Prices
had a rank of 250, with appreciation during the decade of 3%. The top
performing market during the period was Denver, CO, with a rise of 69%. The
worst real estate market during the 10 year time period was Atlantic City, NJ,
with appreciation of -26%.
The median for all markets during the last 10 years was 8%. The average for
the cities over that time frame was 9%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 1st Quarter of 2018, Morristown Home Prices
had a rank of 257, with total growth over the 20 year period of 63%. The top
performing real estate market during the period was San Francisco, CA, with an
increase of 282%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Rockford, IL,
with appreciation of 18%.
The median for all cities during the last 20 years was 79%. The average for the
markets over that time frame was 88%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Morristown Real Estate
Market is available back to the 2nd Quarter, of 1993. All calculations are based
on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Morristown. Real estate
appreciation figures represent total net increase or decrease over each time
period. (Unless specifically stated, the figures do not represent annual or
quarterly rates of change.)



Data Source for Commentary & Charts: Federal Housing Finance Agency
Updated Monday, July 23, 2018.
SignalTrend  Inc. 2008 - 2018; All rights reserved.


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