Morgantown, WV - House Price Index (HPI)
Morgantown Real Estate Market - Home Price Forecast
100
1000
The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Morgantown, WV single family home prices in
logarithmic scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Real estate forecasts, analysis, statistics
and appreciation rates are provided below.
10
Morgantown Real Estate Market: Trend Outlook, Analysis & Statistics
Commentary  27817
3rd Quarter, 2017 Housing Statistics: Morgantown, West Virginia


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:        UP
Forecast Accuracy:      71%

LittleBigHomes.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Morgantown housing market for the 12
months ending with the 3rd Quarter of 2018 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend
Projection for Morgantown is 71%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 71% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Morgantown is 71% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is
correct, home prices will be higher in the 3rd Quarter of 2018 than they were in
the 3rd Quarter of 2017. Check this page each quarter for updates to the
Morgantown Real Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:            UP
Forecast Accuracy:      84%

The forecast for the trend in the Morgantown housing market for the 3 years
ending with the 3rd Quarter of 2020 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend
Prediction for Morgantown is 84%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 84% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Morgantown is 84% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is
correct, home values will be higher in the 3rd Quarter of 2020 than they were in
the 3rd Quarter of 2017. Check this page each quarter for updates to the
Morgantown Real Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
3rd Quarter, 2017 Housing Data: Morgantown, West Virginia


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                         3.72%
Last Year                              2.3%
Last 5 Years                         20%
Last 10 Years                       25%
Last 20 Years                       109%



Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1987        n/a
1988        n/a
1989        n/a
1990        n/a
1991        n/a
1992        n/a
1993        n/a
1994      1.69%
1995      5.77%
1996      -0.62%
1997      3.91%
1998      2.01%
1999      -0.49%
2000      5.63%
2001      5.69%
2002      4.22%
2003      7.26%
2004      8.13%
2005      18.09%
2006      2.39%
2007      2.48%
2008      0.40%
2009      -1.27%
2010      4.11%
2011      0.15%
2012      0.22%
2013      3.48%
2014      2.56%
2015      2.87%
2016      3.38%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              3.72%         Rank: 30 of 381 (92nd Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  2.3%           Rank: 309 of 381 (18th Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              20%            Rank: 192 of 381 (49th Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   25%            Rank: 43 of 381 (88th Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            109%          Rank: 103 of 379 (73rd Percentile)


The change in home prices for Morgantown, WV are shown above for five time
periods. For example: Morgantown appreciated 3.72% in the Last Quarter. At
that rate, the Morgantown Real Estate Market was ranked 30th out of 381
metropolitan Real Estate Markets. Morgantown was in the 92nd percentile. So
Morgantown, WV performed better in the Last Quarter than 92% of the 381
metropolitan areas covered in LittleBigHomes.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
3rd Quarter, 2017 Housing Statistics: Morgantown, West Virginia

The all time high in the Morgantown Home Price Index was 219.3 in the 3rd
Quarter, of 2017.  The Home Price Index indicates that the Morgantown Market
is up 25% over the last 10 years. Home prices in the Morgantown Real Estate
Market have gained 2.27% over the last 12 months.

The 3rd Quarter index value was 7.87 points higher than the 2nd Quarter, 2017
index value of 211.46, resulting in a 3.72% rise in the 3rd Quarter for the
Morgantown Market.

The Morgantown Home Price Index has increased for the last 3 consecutive
quarters. The current record holders for consecutive increases in the Home
Price Index are Phoenix, AZ; Houston, TX and Boise City, ID, with increases in
the last 25 consecutive quarters. The current record holder for consecutive
declines in the Home Price Index is Carbondale, IL, with declines in the last 3
consecutive quarters.

The highest annual change in the value of houses in the Morgantown Real
Estate Market was 18% in the twelve months ended with the 4th Quarter of
2005. The worst annual change in home values  in the Morgantown Market was
-4% in the twelve months ended with the 3rd Quarter of 1996.

The highest growth in home values in the Morgantown Real Estate Market over
a three year period was 37% in the three years ended with the 4th Quarter of
2005. The worst performance over a three year period in the Morgantown
Market was 0% in the three years ended with the 1st Quarter of 2012.

This page provides a long term graph of the Morgantown Home Price Index
(above). For information about West Virginia home values, click Real Estate
Market Forecasts in the navigation bar at the top of this page.  You'll see long
term charts and analysis that will provide tremendous insight into the historical
trends of residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then
LittleBigHomes.com's detailed research and statistics about Morgantown Home
Prices will be at your fingertips when you need them.

All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for
the Morgantown Market. The terms House Price Index and Home Price Index, as
used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) House
Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Morgantown Real Estate Market and
hundreds of other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a
number of months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
3rd Quarter, 2017 Housing Data: Morgantown, West Virginia

The trend of Morgantown Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan areas
is detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities. Five
different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period.

Last Quarter:
During the 3rd Quarter of 2017, Morgantown Home Prices had a rank of 30,
with appreciation of 3.72%. The top performing real estate market during the
3rd Quarter was Pine Bluff, AR, with a rise of 7.86%. The worst market during
that period was Weirton, OH, with appreciation of -9.33%.
The median for all cities during the 3rd Quarter was 1.52%. The average for all
markets during the quarter was 1.39%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Morgantown Home Prices had a rank of 309, with
appreciation during the year of 2.27%. The top performing market during the
last year was Seattle, WA, with an increase of 14.2%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Lawton, OK, with appreciation of -7.3%.
The median for all markets during this period was 5.41%. The average was
5.42%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2017, Morgantown Home Prices
ranked 192, with a total appreciation of 19.6%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Reno, NV, with a growth in value of 95%.
The worst market during that period was Lawton, OK, with appreciation of -7%.
The median for all cities during this time period was 20%. The average over the
5 years was 26%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 3rd Quarter of 2017, Morgantown Home
Prices had a rank of 43, with appreciation during the decade of 25%. The top
performing market during the period was Denver, CO, with a rise of 63%. The
worst real estate market during the 10 year time period was Atlantic City, NJ,
with appreciation of -28%.
The median for all markets during the last 10 years was 5%. The average for
the cities over that time frame was 7%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 3rd Quarter of 2017, Morgantown Home
Prices had a rank of 103, with total growth over the 20 year period of 109%.
The top performing real estate market during the period was San Francisco,
CA, with an increase of 283%. The worst market during the last 20 years was
Mansfield, OH, with appreciation of 20%.
The median for all cities during the last 20 years was 80%. The average for the
markets over that time frame was 89%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Morgantown Real
Estate Market is available back to the 4th Quarter, of 1994. All calculations are
based on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Morgantown. Real
estate appreciation figures represent total net increase or decrease over each
time period. (Unless specifically stated, the figures do not represent annual or
quarterly rates of change.)



Data Source for Commentary & Charts: Federal Housing Finance Agency
Updated Tuesday, January 23, 2018.
SignalTrend  Inc. 2008 - 2018; All rights reserved.


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