Medford, OR - House Price Index (HPI)
Medford Real Estate Market - Home Price Forecast
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The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Medford, OR single family home prices in logarithmic
scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Real estate forecasts, analysis, statistics and
appreciation rates are provided below.
10
Medford Real Estate Market: Trend Outlook, Analysis & Statistics
Commentary  1181.56
1st Quarter, 2018 Housing Statistics: Medford, Oregon


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:        UP
Forecast Accuracy:      85%

LittleBigHomes.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Medford housing market for the 12
months ending with the 1st Quarter of 2019 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend
Projection for Medford is 85%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 85% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Medford is 85% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be higher in the 1st Quarter of 2019 than they were in the 1st
Quarter of 2018. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Medford Real
Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:            UP
Forecast Accuracy:      81%

The forecast for the trend in the Medford housing market for the 3 years ending
with the 1st Quarter of 2021 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend Prediction for
Medford is 81%. In other words, when tested against historical data, the
forecasting methodology was correct 81% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Medford is 81% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home values will be higher in the 1st Quarter of 2021 than they were in the 1st
Quarter of 2018. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Medford Real
Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
1st Quarter, 2018 Housing Data: Medford, Oregon


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                         1.94%
Last Year                              7.9%
Last 5 Years                         54%
Last 10 Years                       4%
Last 20 Years                       126%
Decline From All Time High   5.17%


Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1988      8.50%
1989      13.42%
1990      11.38%
1991      6.95%
1992      6.68%
1993      6.33%
1994      7.50%
1995      7.47%
1996      2.15%
1997      3.27%
1998      4.50%
1999      6.20%
2000      8.45%
2001      7.03%
2002      7.80%
2003      12.65%
2004      21.28%
2005      24.04%
2006      2.32%
2007      -5.98%
2008      -12.70%
2009      -13.37%
2010      -6.71%
2011      -7.37%
2012      0.70%
2013      11.24%
2014      7.92%
2015      7.70%
2016      8.98%
2017      8.33%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              1.94%         Rank: 119 of 381 (68th Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  7.9%           Rank: 100 of 381 (73rd Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              54%            Rank: 48 of 381 (87th Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   4%              Rank: 243 of 381 (36th Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            126%          Rank: 61 of 379 (84th Percentile)
Decline From All Time High        5.17%

The change in home prices for Medford, OR are shown above for five time
periods. For example: Medford appreciated 1.94% in the Last Quarter. At that
rate, the Medford Real Estate Market was ranked 119th out of 381 metropolitan
Real Estate Markets. Medford was in the 68th percentile. So Medford, OR
performed better in the Last Quarter than 68% of the 381 metropolitan areas
covered in LittleBigHomes.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
1st Quarter, 2018 Housing Statistics: Medford, Oregon

The all time high in the Medford Home Price Index was 276.3 in the 2nd
Quarter, of 2006. The 1st Quarter, 2018 index value was 262.0. That's a
decline of 14.29 points or 5.17% below the Medford Home Price Index all time
high.  The Home Price Index indicates that the Medford Market is up 4% over
the last 10 years. Home prices in the Medford Real Estate Market have gained
7.92% over the last 12 months. Over the last thirty years, it is up 379%.

The 1st Quarter index value was 4.98 points higher than the 4th Quarter, 2017
index value of 256.98, resulting in a 1.94% rise in the 1st Quarter for the
Medford Market.

The Medford Home Price Index increased in the last quarter after falling in the
previous quarter. The current record holders for consecutive increases in the
Home Price Index are Phoenix, AZ; Houston, TX and Boise City, ID, with
increases in the last 27 consecutive quarters. The current record holders for
consecutive declines in the Home Price Index are Tallahassee, FL; Syracuse,
NY; Sioux City, IA; Shreveport, LA and Peoria, IL, with declines in the last 3
consecutive quarters.

The highest annual change in the value of houses in the Medford Real Estate
Market was 26% in the twelve months ended with the 2nd Quarter of 2005. The
worst annual change in home values  in the Medford Market was -16% in the
twelve months ended with the 1st Quarter of 2010.

The highest growth in home values in the Medford Real Estate Market over a
three year period was 71% in the three years ended with the 1st Quarter of
2006. The worst performance over a three year period in the Medford Market
was -32% in the three years ended with the 1st Quarter of 2011.

This page provides a long term graph of the Medford Home Price Index
(above). For information about Oregon home values, click Real Estate Market
Forecasts in the navigation bar at the top of this page.  You'll see long term
charts and analysis that will provide tremendous insight into the historical trends
of residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then LittleBigHomes.com's
detailed research and statistics about Medford Home Prices will be at your
fingertips when you need them.

All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for
the Medford Market. The terms House Price Index and Home Price Index, as
used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) House
Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Medford Real Estate Market and hundreds of
other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
1st Quarter, 2018 Housing Data: Medford, Oregon

The trend of Medford Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan areas is
detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities. Five
different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period.

Last Quarter:
During the 1st Quarter of 2018, Medford Home Prices had a rank of 119, with
appreciation of 1.94%. The top performing real estate market during the 1st
Quarter was Goldsboro, NC, with a rise of 9.78%. The worst market during that
period was Cumberland, MD, with appreciation of -9.30%.
The median for all cities during the 1st Quarter was 1.15%. The average for all
markets during the quarter was 0.97%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Medford Home Prices had a rank of 100, with
appreciation during the year of 7.92%. The top performing market during the
last year was Boise City, ID, with an increase of 15.3%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Farmington, NM, with appreciation of -6.0%.
The median for all markets during this period was 5.97%. The average was
5.82%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 1st Quarter of 2018, Medford Home Prices
ranked 48, with a total appreciation of 53.5%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Reno, NV, with a growth in value of 90%.
The worst market during that period was Farmington, NM, with appreciation of
-4%.
The median for all cities during this time period was 20%. The average over the
5 years was 26%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 1st Quarter of 2018, Medford Home Prices
had a rank of 243, with appreciation during the decade of 4%. The top
performing market during the period was Denver, CO, with a rise of 69%. The
worst real estate market during the 10 year time period was Atlantic City, NJ,
with appreciation of -26%.
The median for all markets during the last 10 years was 8%. The average for
the cities over that time frame was 9%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 1st Quarter of 2018, Medford Home Prices
had a rank of 61, with total growth over the 20 year period of 126%. The top
performing real estate market during the period was San Francisco, CA, with an
increase of 282%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Rockford, IL,
with appreciation of 18%.
The median for all cities during the last 20 years was 79%. The average for the
markets over that time frame was 88%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Medford Real Estate
Market is available back to the 3rd Quarter, of 1980. All calculations are based
on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Medford. Real estate
appreciation figures represent total net increase or decrease over each time
period. (Unless specifically stated, the figures do not represent annual or
quarterly rates of change.)



Data Source for Commentary & Charts: Federal Housing Finance Agency
Updated Monday, July 23, 2018.
SignalTrend  Inc. 2008 - 2018; All rights reserved.


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