Madison, WI - House Price Index (HPI)
Madison Real Estate Market - Home Price Forecast
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The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Madison, WI single family home prices in logarithmic
scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Updated Monday, July 6, 2015. Real estate
forecasts, analysis, statistics and appreciation rates are provided below.
10
Madison Real Estate Market: Trend Outlook, Analysis & Statistics
Commentary  18655
3rd Quarter, 2014 Housing Statistics: Madison, Wisconsin


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:        UP
Forecast Accuracy:      88%

LittleBigHomes.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Madison housing market for the 12
months ending with the 3rd Quarter of 2015 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend
Projection for Madison is 88%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 88% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Madison is 88% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be higher in the 3rd Quarter of 2015 than they were in the 3rd
Quarter of 2014. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Madison Real
Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:            UP
Forecast Accuracy:      89%

The forecast for the trend in the Madison housing market for the 3 years ending
with the 3rd Quarter of 2017 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend Prediction for
Madison is 89%. In other words, when tested against historical data, the
forecasting methodology was correct 89% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Madison is 89% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home values will be higher in the 3rd Quarter of 2017 than they were in the 3rd
Quarter of 2014. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Madison Real
Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
3rd Quarter, 2014 Housing Data: Madison, Wisconsin


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                         1.00%
Last Year                              2.4%
Last 5 Years                         2%
Last 10 Years                       9%
Last 20 Years                       84%
Decline From All Time High   2.69%


Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1984      1.37%
1985      0.02%
1986      3.97%
1987      5.04%
1988      5.06%
1989      3.64%
1990      5.52%
1991      6.27%
1992      5.96%
1993      5.19%
1994      14.39%
1995      5.62%
1996      3.85%
1997      3.34%
1998      2.78%
1999      6.15%
2000      6.19%
2001      4.60%
2002      5.73%
2003      7.48%
2004      8.57%
2005      6.80%
2006      2.59%
2007      0.66%
2008      -1.76%
2009      -2.04%
2010      -1.27%
2011      -1.56%
2012      -0.16%
2013      1.64%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              1.00%         Rank: 241 of 381 (36th Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  2.4%           Rank: 260 of 381 (31st Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              2%              Rank: 168 of 381 (56th Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   9%              Rank: 203 of 381 (46th Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            84%            Rank: 137 of 378 (63rd Percentile)
Decline From All Time High        2.69%

The change in home prices for Madison, WI are shown above for five time
periods. For example: Madison appreciated 1.00% in the Last Quarter. At that
rate, the Madison Real Estate Market was ranked 241st out of 381 metropolitan
Real Estate Markets. Madison was in the 36th percentile. So Madison, WI
performed better in the Last Quarter than 36% of the 381 metropolitan areas
covered in LittleBigHomes.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
3rd Quarter, 2014 Housing Statistics: Madison, Wisconsin

The all time high in the Madison Home Price Index was 184.4 in the 1st Quarter,
of 2008. The 3rd Quarter, 2014 index value was 179.5. That's a decline of 4.96
points or 2.69% below the Madison Home Price Index all time high.  The Home
Price Index indicates that the Madison Market is up 9% over the last 10 years.
Home prices in the Madison Real Estate Market have gained 2.39% over the
last 12 months. Over the last thirty years, it is up 219%.

The 3rd Quarter index value was 1.77 points higher than the 2nd Quarter, 2014
index value of 177.71, resulting in a 1.00% rise in the 3rd Quarter for the
Madison Market.

The Madison Home Price Index has increased for the last 2 consecutive
quarters. The current record holders for consecutive increases in the Home
Price Index are Phoenix, AZ; Houston, TX and Boise City, ID, with increases in
the last 13 consecutive quarters. The current record holder for consecutive
declines in the Home Price Index is Terre Haute, IN, with declines in the last 3
consecutive quarters.

The highest annual change in the value of houses in the Madison Real Estate
Market was 19% in the twelve months ended with the 4th Quarter of 1977. The
worst annual change in home values  in the Madison Market was -8% in the
twelve months ended with the 2nd Quarter of 1983.

The highest growth in home values in the Madison Real Estate Market over a
three year period was 50% in the three years ended with the 4th Quarter of
1979. The worst performance over a three year period in the Madison Market
was -7% in the three years ended with the 1st Quarter of 2011.

This page provides a long term graph of the Madison Home Price Index
(above). For information about Wisconsin home values, click Real Estate
Market Forecasts in the navigation bar at the top of this page.  You'll see long
term charts and analysis that will provide tremendous insight into the historical
trends of residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then
LittleBigHomes.com's detailed research and statistics about Madison Home
Prices will be at your fingertips when you need them.

All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for
the Madison Market. The terms House Price Index and Home Price Index, as
used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) House
Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Madison Real Estate Market and hundreds of
other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
3rd Quarter, 2014 Housing Data: Madison, Wisconsin

The trend of Madison Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan areas is
detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities. Five
different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period.

Last Quarter:
During the 3rd Quarter of 2014, Madison Home Prices had a rank of 241, with
appreciation of 1.00%. The top performing real estate market during the 3rd
Quarter was Johnstown, PA, with a rise of 7.10%. The worst market during that
period was Farmington, NM, with appreciation of -4.09%.
The median for all cities during the 3rd Quarter was 1.44%. The average for all
markets during the quarter was 1.49%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Madison Home Prices had a rank of 260, with
appreciation during the year of 2.39%. The top performing market during the
last year was Madera, CA, with an increase of 19.4%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Jacksonville, NC, with appreciation of -4.5%.
The median for all markets during this period was 3.94%. The average was
4.71%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2014, Madison Home Prices
ranked 168, with a total appreciation of 2.0%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Merced, CA, with a growth in value of 45%.
The worst market during that period was Ocala, FL, with appreciation of -16%.
The median for all cities during this time period was 1%. The average over the
5 years was 3%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 3rd Quarter of 2014, Madison Home Prices
had a rank of 203, with appreciation during the decade of 9%. The top
performing market during the period was Midland, TX, with a rise of 129%. The
worst real estate market during the 10 year time period was Las Vegas, NV, with
appreciation of -27%.
The median for all markets during the last 10 years was 10%. The average for
the cities over that time frame was 11%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 3rd Quarter of 2014, Madison Home Prices
had a rank of 137, with total growth over the 20 year period of 84%. The top
performing real estate market during the period was San Francisco, CA, with an
increase of 229%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Rockford, IL,
with appreciation of 23%.
The median for all cities during the last 20 years was 75%. The average for the
markets over that time frame was 82%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Madison Real Estate
Market is available back to the 1st Quarter, of 1977. All calculations are based
on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Madison. Real estate
appreciation figures represent total net increase or decrease over each time
period. (Unless specifically stated, the figures do not represent annual or
quarterly rates of change.)





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