Madera, CA - House Price Index (HPI)
Madera Real Estate Market - Home Price Forecast
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The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Madera, CA single family home prices in logarithmic
scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Real estate forecasts, analysis, statistics and
appreciation rates are provided below.
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Madera Real Estate Market: Trend Outlook, Analysis & Statistics
Commentary  414.56
4th Quarter, 2017 Housing Statistics: Madera, California


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:        UP
Forecast Accuracy:      76%

LittleBigHomes.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Madera housing market for the 12
months ending with the 4th Quarter of 2018 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend
Projection for Madera is 76%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 76% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Madera is 76% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be higher in the 4th Quarter of 2018 than they were in the 4th
Quarter of 2017. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Madera Real
Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:            UP
Forecast Accuracy:      73%

The forecast for the trend in the Madera housing market for the 3 years ending
with the 4th Quarter of 2020 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend Prediction for
Madera is 73%. In other words, when tested against historical data, the
forecasting methodology was correct 73% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Madera is 73% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home values will be higher in the 4th Quarter of 2020 than they were in the 4th
Quarter of 2017. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Madera Real
Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
4th Quarter, 2017 Housing Data: Madera, California


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                         2.61%
Last Year                              7.2%
Last 5 Years                         55%
Last 10 Years                       -16%
Last 20 Years                       108%
Decline From All Time High   25.28%


Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1988      9.29%
1989      11.52%
1990      11.62%
1991      7.71%
1992      3.29%
1993      0.75%
1994      -3.61%
1995      4.84%
1996      -4.32%
1997      3.30%
1998      2.68%
1999      0.32%
2000      4.60%
2001      10.31%
2002      15.39%
2003      20.50%
2004      27.10%
2005      25.32%
2006      5.27%
2007      -10.76%
2008      -29.16%
2009      -14.45%
2010      -6.16%
2011      -9.07%
2012      4.80%
2013      15.14%
2014      8.71%
2015      6.12%
2016      8.81%
2017      7.17%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              2.61%         Rank: 41 of 381 (89th Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  7.2%           Rank: 117 of 381 (69th Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              55%            Rank: 44 of 381 (88th Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   -16%           Rank: 375 of 381 (1st Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            108%          Rank: 104 of 379 (72nd Percentile)
Decline From All Time High        25.28%

The change in home prices for Madera, CA are shown above for five time
periods. For example: Madera appreciated 2.61% in the Last Quarter. At that
rate, the Madera Real Estate Market was ranked 41st out of 381 metropolitan
Real Estate Markets. Madera was in the 89th percentile. So Madera, CA
performed better in the Last Quarter than 89% of the 381 metropolitan areas
covered in LittleBigHomes.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
4th Quarter, 2017 Housing Statistics: Madera, California

The all time high in the Madera Home Price Index was 278.2 in the 3rd Quarter,
of 2006. The 4th Quarter, 2017 index value was 207.9. That's a decline of
70.33 points or 25.28% below the Madera Home Price Index all time high.  The
Home Price Index indicates that the Madera Market is down 16% over the last
10 years. Home prices in the Madera Real Estate Market have gained 7.17%
over the last 12 months. Over the last thirty years, it is up 216%.

The 4th Quarter index value was 5.28 points higher than the 3rd Quarter, 2017
index value of 202.57, resulting in a 2.61% rise in the 4th Quarter for the
Madera Market.

The Madera Home Price Index has increased for the last 2 consecutive
quarters. The current record holders for consecutive increases in the Home
Price Index are Phoenix, AZ; Houston, TX and Boise City, ID, with increases in
the last 26 consecutive quarters. The current record holders for consecutive
declines in the Home Price Index are Victoria, TX; Topeka, KS; Texarkana,
TX-AR; Springfield, MA and Peoria, IL, with declines in the last 2 consecutive
quarters.

The highest annual change in the value of houses in the Madera Real Estate
Market was 29% in the twelve months ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2005. The
worst annual change in home values  in the Madera Market was -29% in the
twelve months ended with the 4th Quarter of 2008.

The highest growth in home values in the Madera Real Estate Market over a
three year period was 94% in the three years ended with the 1st Quarter of
2006. The worst performance over a three year period in the Madera Market
was -49% in the three years ended with the 2nd Quarter of 2010.

This page provides a long term graph of the Madera Home Price Index (above).
For information about California home values, click Real Estate Market
Forecasts in the navigation bar at the top of this page.  You'll see long term
charts and analysis that will provide tremendous insight into the historical trends
of residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then LittleBigHomes.com's
detailed research and statistics about Madera Home Prices will be at your
fingertips when you need them.

All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for
the Madera Market. The terms House Price Index and Home Price Index, as
used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) House
Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Madera Real Estate Market and hundreds of
other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
4th Quarter, 2017 Housing Data: Madera, California

The trend of Madera Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan areas is
detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities. Five
different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period.

Last Quarter:
During the 4th Quarter of 2017, Madera Home Prices had a rank of 41, with
appreciation of 2.61%. The top performing real estate market during the 4th
Quarter was Gadsden, AL, with a rise of 13.11%. The worst market during that
period was Hinesville, GA, with appreciation of -6.79%.
The median for all cities during the 4th Quarter was 0.75%. The average for all
markets during the quarter was 0.69%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Madera Home Prices had a rank of 117, with
appreciation during the year of 7.17%. The top performing market during the
last year was Sebastian, FL, with an increase of 16.4%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Goldsboro, NC, with appreciation of -6.9%.
The median for all markets during this period was 5.37%. The average was
5.53%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 4th Quarter of 2017, Madera Home Prices
ranked 44, with a total appreciation of 54.9%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Reno, NV, with a growth in value of 94%.
The worst market during that period was Goldsboro, NC, with appreciation of
-5%.
The median for all cities during this time period was 19%. The average over the
5 years was 25%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2017, Madera Home Prices
had a rank of 375, with appreciation during the decade of -16%. The top
performing market during the period was Denver, CO, with a rise of 65%. The
worst real estate market during the 10 year time period was Atlantic City, NJ,
with appreciation of -27%.
The median for all markets during the last 10 years was 7%. The average for
the cities over that time frame was 8%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2017, Madera Home Prices
had a rank of 104, with total growth over the 20 year period of 108%. The top
performing real estate market during the period was San Francisco, CA, with an
increase of 280%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Saginaw, MI,
with appreciation of 18%.
The median for all cities during the last 20 years was 79%. The average for the
markets over that time frame was 89%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Madera Real Estate
Market is available back to the 1st Quarter, of 1984. All calculations are based
on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Madera. Real estate
appreciation figures represent total net increase or decrease over each time
period. (Unless specifically stated, the figures do not represent annual or
quarterly rates of change.)



Data Source for Commentary & Charts: Federal Housing Finance Agency
Updated Saturday, April 7, 2018.
SignalTrend  Inc. 2008 - 2018; All rights reserved.


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