Longview, WA - House Price Index (HPI)
Longview Real Estate Market Forecast  (WA)
100
1000
The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Longview, WA single family home prices in
logarithmic scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100. Real estate forecasts, analysis, statistics
and appreciation rates are provided below.
10
Longview Real Estate Market: Trend Outlook, Analysis & Statistics
Commentary  1170.56
1st Quarter, 2018 Housing Statistics: Longview, Washington


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:        UP
Forecast Accuracy:      82%

LittleBigHomes.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Longview housing market for the 12
months ending with the 1st Quarter of 2019 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend
Projection for Longview is 82%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 82% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Longview is 82% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be higher in the 1st Quarter of 2019 than they were in the 1st
Quarter of 2018. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Longview
Real Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:            UP
Forecast Accuracy:      79%

The forecast for the trend in the Longview housing market for the 3 years
ending with the 1st Quarter of 2021 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend
Prediction for Longview is 79%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 79% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Longview is 79% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home values will be higher in the 1st Quarter of 2021 than they were in the 1st
Quarter of 2018. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Longview
Real Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
1st Quarter, 2018 Housing Data: Longview, Washington


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                         2.38%
Last Year                              10.9%
Last 5 Years                         47%
Last 10 Years                       10%
Last 20 Years                       90%



Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1988      8.07%
1989      9.58%
1990      9.86%
1991      7.13%
1992      9.00%
1993      9.68%
1994      8.75%
1995      8.38%
1996      4.31%
1997      3.67%
1998      5.24%
1999      0.13%
2000      0.63%
2001      3.78%
2002      4.39%
2003      0.57%
2004      7.94%
2005      15.58%
2006      15.69%
2007      4.96%
2008      -6.93%
2009      -10.23%
2010      -3.56%
2011      -6.15%
2012      -1.88%
2013      0.35%
2014      9.54%
2015      7.86%
2016      10.71%
2017      9.59%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              2.38%         Rank: 84 of 381 (78th Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  10.9%          Rank: 27 of 381 (93rd Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              47%            Rank: 65 of 381 (83rd Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   10%            Rank: 171 of 381 (55th Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            90%            Rank: 147 of 379 (61st Percentile)


The change in home prices for Longview, WA are shown above for five time
periods. For example: Longview appreciated 2.38% in the Last Quarter. At that
rate, the Longview Real Estate Market was ranked 84th out of 381 metropolitan
Real Estate Markets. Longview was in the 78th percentile. So Longview, WA
performed better in the Last Quarter than 78% of the 381 metropolitan areas
covered in LittleBigHomes.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
1st Quarter, 2018 Housing Statistics: Longview, Washington

The all time high in the Longview Home Price Index was 222.5 in the 1st
Quarter, of 2018.  The Home Price Index indicates that the Longview Market is
up 10% over the last 10 years. Home prices in the Longview Real Estate Market
have gained 10.88% over the last 12 months. Over the last thirty years, it is up
307%.

The 1st Quarter index value was 5.18 points higher than the 4th Quarter, 2017
index value of 217.36, resulting in a 2.38% rise in the 1st Quarter for the
Longview Market.

The Longview Home Price Index has increased for the last 15 consecutive
quarters. The current record holders for consecutive increases in the Home
Price Index are Phoenix, AZ; Houston, TX and Boise City, ID, with increases in
the last 27 consecutive quarters. The current record holders for consecutive
declines in the Home Price Index are Tallahassee, FL; Syracuse, NY; Sioux City,
IA; Shreveport, LA and Peoria, IL, with declines in the last 3 consecutive
quarters.

The highest annual change in the value of houses in the Longview Real Estate
Market was 33% in the twelve months ended with the 3rd Quarter of 1984. The
worst annual change in home values  in the Longview Market was -11% in the
twelve months ended with the 1st Quarter of 2010.

The highest growth in home values in the Longview Real Estate Market over a
three year period was 46% in the three years ended with the 2nd Quarter of
2007. The worst performance over a three year period in the Longview Market
was -23% in the three years ended with the 2nd Quarter of 2011.

This page provides a long term graph of the Longview Home Price Index
(above). For information about Washington home values, click Real Estate
Market Forecasts in the navigation bar at the top of this page.  You'll see long
term charts and analysis that will provide tremendous insight into the historical
trends of residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then
LittleBigHomes.com's detailed research and statistics about Longview Home
Prices will be at your fingertips when you need them.

All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for
the Longview Market. The terms House Price Index and Home Price Index, as
used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) House
Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Longview Real Estate Market and hundreds
of other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
1st Quarter, 2018 Housing Data: Longview, Washington

The trend of Longview Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan areas is
detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities. Five
different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period.

Last Quarter:
During the 1st Quarter of 2018, Longview Home Prices had a rank of 84, with
appreciation of 2.38%. The top performing real estate market during the 1st
Quarter was Goldsboro, NC, with a rise of 9.78%. The worst market during that
period was Cumberland, MD, with appreciation of -9.30%.
The median for all cities during the 1st Quarter was 1.15%. The average for all
markets during the quarter was 0.97%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Longview Home Prices had a rank of 27, with
appreciation during the year of 10.88%. The top performing market during the
last year was Boise City, ID, with an increase of 15.3%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Farmington, NM, with appreciation of -6.0%.
The median for all markets during this period was 5.97%. The average was
5.82%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 1st Quarter of 2018, Longview Home Prices
ranked 65, with a total appreciation of 47.1%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Reno, NV, with a growth in value of 90%.
The worst market during that period was Farmington, NM, with appreciation of
-4%.
The median for all cities during this time period was 20%. The average over the
5 years was 26%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 1st Quarter of 2018, Longview Home Prices
had a rank of 171, with appreciation during the decade of 10%. The top
performing market during the period was Denver, CO, with a rise of 69%. The
worst real estate market during the 10 year time period was Atlantic City, NJ,
with appreciation of -26%.
The median for all markets during the last 10 years was 8%. The average for
the cities over that time frame was 9%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 1st Quarter of 2018, Longview Home Prices
had a rank of 147, with total growth over the 20 year period of 90%. The top
performing real estate market during the period was San Francisco, CA, with an
increase of 282%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Rockford, IL,
with appreciation of 18%.
The median for all cities during the last 20 years was 79%. The average for the
markets over that time frame was 88%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Longview Real Estate
Market is available back to the 1st Quarter, of 1981. All calculations are based
on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Longview. Real estate
appreciation figures represent total net increase or decrease over each time
period. (Unless specifically stated, the figures do not represent annual or
quarterly rates of change.)



Data Source for Commentary & Charts: Federal Housing Finance Agency
Updated Sunday, July 8, 2018.
SignalTrend  Inc. 2008 - 2018; All rights reserved.


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