Little Rock, AR - House Price Index (HPI)
Little Rock Real Estate Market Forecast
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1000
The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR single
family home prices in
logarithmic scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Real estate
forecasts, analysis, statistics and appreciation rates are provided below.
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Little Rock Real Estate Market: Trend Outlook, Analysis & Statistics
Commentary  1167.56
1st Quarter, 2018 Housing Statistics: Little Rock, Arkansas


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:        UP
Forecast Accuracy:      78%

LittleBigHomes.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Little Rock housing market for the 12
months ending with the 1st Quarter of 2019 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend
Projection for Little Rock is 78%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 78% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in Little
Rock is 78% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct, home
prices will be higher in the 1st Quarter of 2019 than they were in the 1st
Quarter of 2018. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Little Rock
Real Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:            UP
Forecast Accuracy:      74%

The forecast for the trend in the Little Rock housing market for the 3 years
ending with the 1st Quarter of 2021 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend
Prediction for Little Rock is 74%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 74% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in Little
Rock is 74% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct, home
values will be higher in the 1st Quarter of 2021 than they were in the 1st
Quarter of 2018. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Little Rock
Real Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
1st Quarter, 2018 Housing Data: Little Rock, Arkansas


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                         -1.81%
Last Year                              2.9%
Last 5 Years                         8%
Last 10 Years                       8%
Last 20 Years                       59%
Decline From All Time High   1.81%


Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1988      -0.78%
1989      -0.43%
1990      1.00%
1991      4.25%
1992      2.31%
1993      5.87%
1994      4.71%
1995      5.09%
1996      1.86%
1997      3.45%
1998      5.00%
1999      1.77%
2000      3.09%
2001      4.44%
2002      3.89%
2003      4.44%
2004      5.19%
2005      7.00%
2006      4.37%
2007      2.37%
2008      0.04%
2009      -1.29%
2010      -0.40%
2011      0.07%
2012      0.73%
2013      -0.02%
2014      1.77%
2015      1.56%
2016      2.85%
2017      3.91%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              -1.81%        Rank: 346 of 381 (9th Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  2.9%           Rank: 305 of 381 (20th Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              8%              Rank: 330 of 381 (13th Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   8%              Rank: 188 of 381 (50th Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            59%            Rank: 273 of 379 (28th Percentile)
Decline From All Time High        1.81%

The change in home prices for Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR are
shown above for five time periods. For example: Little Rock appreciated -1.81%
in the Last Quarter. At that rate, the Little Rock Real Estate Market was ranked
346th out of 381 metropolitan Real Estate Markets. Little Rock was in the 9th
percentile. So Little Rock, AR performed better in the Last Quarter than 9% of
the 381 metropolitan areas covered in LittleBigHomes.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
1st Quarter, 2018 Housing Statistics: Little Rock, Arkansas

The data and analysis on this page pertains to Little Rock-North Little
Rock-Conway, AR, hereinafter referred to as "Little Rock". The all time high in
the Little Rock Home Price Index was 182.0 in the 4th Quarter, of 2017. The 1st
Quarter, 2018 index value was 178.7. That's a decline of 3.29 points or 1.81%
below the Little Rock Home Price Index all time high.  The Home Price Index
indicates that the Little Rock Market is up 8% over the last 10 years. Home
prices in the Little Rock Real Estate Market have gained 2.89% over the last 12
months. Over the last thirty years, it is up 111%.

The 1st Quarter index value was 3.29 points lower than the 4th Quarter, 2017
index value of 181.95, resulting in a 1.81% decline for the 1st Quarter in the
Little Rock Market.

The Little Rock Home Price Index declined in the last quarter after increasing in
the previous 3 quarters. The current record holders for consecutive declines in
the Home Price Index are Tallahassee, FL; Syracuse, NY; Sioux City, IA;
Shreveport, LA and Peoria, IL, with declines in the last 3 consecutive quarters.
The current record holders for consecutive increases in the Home Price Index
are Phoenix, AZ; Houston, TX and Boise City, ID, with increases in the last 27
consecutive quarters.

The highest annual change in the value of houses in the Little Rock Real Estate
Market was 23% in the twelve months ended with the 2nd Quarter of 1979. The
worst annual change in home values  in the Little Rock Market was -4% in the
twelve months ended with the 2nd Quarter of 1982.

The highest growth in home values in the Little Rock Real Estate Market over a
three year period was 45% in the three years ended with the 1st Quarter of
1981. The worst performance over a three year period in the Little Rock Market
was -4% in the three years ended with the 2nd Quarter of 1990.

This page provides a long term graph of the Little Rock Home Price Index
(above). For information about Arkansas home values, click Real Estate Market
Forecasts in the navigation bar at the top of this page.  You'll see long term
charts and analysis that will provide tremendous insight into the historical trends
of residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then LittleBigHomes.com's
detailed research and statistics about Little Rock Home Prices will be at your
fingertips when you need them.

All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for
the Little Rock Market. The terms House Price Index and Home Price Index, as
used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) House
Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Little Rock Real Estate Market and hundreds
of other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
1st Quarter, 2018 Housing Data: Little Rock, Arkansas

The trend of Little Rock Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan areas is
detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities. Five
different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period. The data and analysis on this page pertains
to Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR, hereinafter referred to as "Little
Rock".

Last Quarter:
During the 1st Quarter of 2018, Little Rock Home Prices had a rank of 346, with
appreciation of -1.81%. The top performing real estate market during the 1st
Quarter was Goldsboro, NC, with a rise of 9.78%. The worst market during that
period was Cumberland, MD, with appreciation of -9.30%.
The median for all cities during the 1st Quarter was 1.15%. The average for all
markets during the quarter was 0.97%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Little Rock Home Prices had a rank of 305, with
appreciation during the year of 2.89%. The top performing market during the
last year was Boise City, ID, with an increase of 15.3%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Farmington, NM, with appreciation of -6.0%.
The median for all markets during this period was 5.97%. The average was
5.82%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 1st Quarter of 2018, Little Rock Home Prices
ranked 330, with a total appreciation of 8.2%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Reno, NV, with a growth in value of 90%.
The worst market during that period was Farmington, NM, with appreciation of
-4%.
The median for all cities during this time period was 20%. The average over the
5 years was 26%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 1st Quarter of 2018, Little Rock Home Prices
had a rank of 188, with appreciation during the decade of 8%. The top
performing market during the period was Denver, CO, with a rise of 69%. The
worst real estate market during the 10 year time period was Atlantic City, NJ,
with appreciation of -26%.
The median for all markets during the last 10 years was 8%. The average for
the cities over that time frame was 9%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 1st Quarter of 2018, Little Rock Home Prices
had a rank of 273, with total growth over the 20 year period of 59%. The top
performing real estate market during the period was San Francisco, CA, with an
increase of 282%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Rockford, IL,
with appreciation of 18%.
The median for all cities during the last 20 years was 79%. The average for the
markets over that time frame was 88%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Little Rock Real Estate
Market is available back to the 2nd Quarter, of 1978. All calculations are based
on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Little Rock. Real estate
appreciation figures represent total net increase or decrease over each time
period. (Unless specifically stated, the figures do not represent annual or
quarterly rates of change.)



Data Source for Commentary & Charts: Federal Housing Finance Agency
Updated Sunday, July 8, 2018.
SignalTrend  Inc. 2008 - 2018; All rights reserved.


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