Lebanon, PA - House Price Index (HPI)
Lebanon Real Estate Market Forecast
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The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Lebanon, PA single family home prices in logarithmic
scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Real estate forecasts, analysis, statistics and
appreciation rates are provided below.
10
Lebanon Real Estate Market: Trend Outlook, Analysis & Statistics
Commentary  27783
3rd Quarter, 2017 Housing Statistics: Lebanon, Pennsylvania


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:        UP
Forecast Accuracy:      72%

LittleBigHomes.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Lebanon housing market for the 12
months ending with the 3rd Quarter of 2018 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend
Projection for Lebanon is 72%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 72% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Lebanon is 72% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be higher in the 3rd Quarter of 2018 than they were in the 3rd
Quarter of 2017. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Lebanon
Real Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:            UP
Forecast Accuracy:      80%

The forecast for the trend in the Lebanon housing market for the 3 years
ending with the 3rd Quarter of 2020 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend
Prediction for Lebanon is 80%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 80% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Lebanon is 80% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home values will be higher in the 3rd Quarter of 2020 than they were in the 3rd
Quarter of 2017. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Lebanon
Real Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
3rd Quarter, 2017 Housing Data: Lebanon, Pennsylvania


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                         5.66%
Last Year                              6.2%
Last 5 Years                         8%
Last 10 Years                       4%
Last 20 Years                       65%



Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1987        n/a
1988      15.59%
1989      10.50%
1990      5.42%
1991      3.78%
1992      4.05%
1993      3.95%
1994      0.54%
1995      5.06%
1996      -3.65%
1997      7.26%
1998      2.32%
1999      1.52%
2000      2.03%
2001      3.97%
2002      4.39%
2003      5.17%
2004      8.48%
2005      9.12%
2006      7.12%
2007      3.70%
2008      -0.24%
2009      -1.22%
2010      -0.04%
2011      -1.37%
2012      -1.77%
2013      -1.26%
2014      0.70%
2015      0.37%
2016      6.14%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              5.66%         Rank: 5 of 381 (98th Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  6.2%           Rank: 162 of 381 (57th Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              8%              Rank: 315 of 381 (17th Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   4%              Rank: 216 of 381 (43rd Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            65%            Rank: 259 of 379 (31st Percentile)


The change in home prices for Lebanon, PA are shown above for five time
periods. For example: Lebanon appreciated 5.66% in the Last Quarter. At that
rate, the Lebanon Real Estate Market was ranked 5th out of 381 metropolitan
Real Estate Markets. Lebanon was in the 98th percentile. So Lebanon, PA
performed better in the Last Quarter than 98% of the 381 metropolitan areas
covered in LittleBigHomes.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
3rd Quarter, 2017 Housing Statistics: Lebanon, Pennsylvania

The all time high in the Lebanon Home Price Index was 178.4 in the 3rd
Quarter, of 2017.  The Home Price Index indicates that the Lebanon Market is
up 4% over the last 10 years. Home prices in the Lebanon Real Estate Market
have gained 6.16% over the last 12 months. Over the last thirty years, it is up
156%.

The 3rd Quarter index value was 9.56 points higher than the 2nd Quarter, 2017
index value of 168.88, resulting in a 5.66% rise in the 3rd Quarter for the
Lebanon Market.

The Lebanon Home Price Index increased in the last quarter after falling in the
previous 2 quarters. The current record holders for consecutive increases in
the Home Price Index are Phoenix, AZ; Houston, TX and Boise City, ID, with
increases in the last 25 consecutive quarters. The current record holder for
consecutive declines in the Home Price Index is Carbondale, IL, with declines in
the last 3 consecutive quarters.

The highest annual change in the value of houses in the Lebanon Real Estate
Market was 16% in the twelve months ended with the 4th Quarter of 1988. The
worst annual change in home values  in the Lebanon Market was -4% in the
twelve months ended with the 2nd Quarter of 2012.

The highest growth in home values in the Lebanon Real Estate Market over a
three year period was 35% in the three years ended with the 4th Quarter of
1990. The worst performance over a three year period in the Lebanon Market
was -7% in the three years ended with the 2nd Quarter of 2012.

This page provides a long term graph of the Lebanon Home Price Index
(above). For information about Pennsylvania home values, click Real Estate
Market Forecasts in the navigation bar at the top of this page.  You'll see long
term charts and analysis that will provide tremendous insight into the historical
trends of residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then
LittleBigHomes.com's detailed research and statistics about Lebanon Home
Prices will be at your fingertips when you need them.

All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for
the Lebanon Market. The terms House Price Index and Home Price Index, as
used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) House
Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Lebanon Real Estate Market and hundreds
of other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
3rd Quarter, 2017 Housing Data: Lebanon, Pennsylvania

The trend of Lebanon Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan areas is
detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities. Five
different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period.

Last Quarter:
During the 3rd Quarter of 2017, Lebanon Home Prices had a rank of 5, with
appreciation of 5.66%. The top performing real estate market during the 3rd
Quarter was Pine Bluff, AR, with a rise of 7.86%. The worst market during that
period was Weirton, OH, with appreciation of -9.33%.
The median for all cities during the 3rd Quarter was 1.52%. The average for all
markets during the quarter was 1.39%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Lebanon Home Prices had a rank of 162, with
appreciation during the year of 6.16%. The top performing market during the
last year was Seattle, WA, with an increase of 14.2%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Lawton, OK, with appreciation of -7.3%.
The median for all markets during this period was 5.41%. The average was
5.42%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2017, Lebanon Home Prices
ranked 315, with a total appreciation of 8.2%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Reno, NV, with a growth in value of 95%.
The worst market during that period was Lawton, OK, with appreciation of -7%.
The median for all cities during this time period was 20%. The average over the
5 years was 26%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 3rd Quarter of 2017, Lebanon Home Prices
had a rank of 216, with appreciation during the decade of 4%. The top
performing market during the period was Denver, CO, with a rise of 63%. The
worst real estate market during the 10 year time period was Atlantic City, NJ,
with appreciation of -28%.
The median for all markets during the last 10 years was 5%. The average for
the cities over that time frame was 7%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 3rd Quarter of 2017, Lebanon Home Prices
had a rank of 259, with total growth over the 20 year period of 65%. The top
performing real estate market during the period was San Francisco, CA, with an
increase of 283%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Mansfield,
OH, with appreciation of 20%.
The median for all cities during the last 20 years was 80%. The average for the
markets over that time frame was 89%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Lebanon Real Estate
Market is available back to the 2nd Quarter, of 1988. All calculations are based
on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Lebanon. Real estate
appreciation figures represent total net increase or decrease over each time
period. (Unless specifically stated, the figures do not represent annual or
quarterly rates of change.)



Data Source for Commentary & Charts: Federal Housing Finance Agency
Updated Thursday, January 18, 2018.
SignalTrend  Inc. 2008 - 2018; All rights reserved.


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