Lebanon, PA - House Price Index (HPI)
Lebanon Real Estate Market Forecast
100
1000
The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Lebanon, PA single family home prices in logarithmic
scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Real estate forecasts, analysis, statistics and
appreciation rates are provided below.
10
Lebanon Real Estate Market: Trend Outlook, Analysis & Statistics
Commentary  1161.56
1st Quarter, 2018 Housing Statistics: Lebanon, Pennsylvania


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:        UP
Forecast Accuracy:      71%

LittleBigHomes.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Lebanon housing market for the 12
months ending with the 1st Quarter of 2019 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend
Projection for Lebanon is 71%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 71% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Lebanon is 71% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be higher in the 1st Quarter of 2019 than they were in the 1st
Quarter of 2018. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Lebanon
Real Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:            UP
Forecast Accuracy:      81%

The forecast for the trend in the Lebanon housing market for the 3 years
ending with the 1st Quarter of 2021 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend
Prediction for Lebanon is 81%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 81% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Lebanon is 81% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home values will be higher in the 1st Quarter of 2021 than they were in the 1st
Quarter of 2018. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Lebanon
Real Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
1st Quarter, 2018 Housing Data: Lebanon, Pennsylvania


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                         -1.25%
Last Year                              1.0%
Last 5 Years                         7%
Last 10 Years                       0%
Last 20 Years                       61%
Decline From All Time High   1.33%


Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1988      15.87%
1989      10.47%
1990      5.46%
1991      3.81%
1992      3.99%
1993      3.97%
1994      0.55%
1995      5.07%
1996      -3.65%
1997      7.13%
1998      2.52%
1999      1.32%
2000      2.10%
2001      3.94%
2002      4.39%
2003      5.17%
2004      8.49%
2005      9.06%
2006      7.11%
2007      3.73%
2008      -0.23%
2009      -1.26%
2010      0.02%
2011      -1.43%
2012      -1.75%
2013      -1.22%
2014      0.69%
2015      0.34%
2016      5.91%
2017      1.85%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              -1.25%        Rank: 334 of 381 (12th Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  1.0%           Rank: 353 of 381 (7th Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              7%              Rank: 342 of 381 (10th Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   0%            Rank: 281 of 381 (26th Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            61%            Rank: 268 of 379 (29th Percentile)
Decline From All Time High        1.33%

The change in home prices for Lebanon, PA are shown above for five time
periods. For example: Lebanon appreciated -1.25% in the Last Quarter. At that
rate, the Lebanon Real Estate Market was ranked 334th out of 381
metropolitan Real Estate Markets. Lebanon was in the 12th percentile. So
Lebanon, PA performed better in the Last Quarter than 12% of the 381
metropolitan areas covered in LittleBigHomes.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
1st Quarter, 2018 Housing Statistics: Lebanon, Pennsylvania

The all time high in the Lebanon Home Price Index was 177.8 in the 3rd
Quarter, of 2017. The 1st Quarter, 2018 index value was 175.4. That's a
decline of 2.37 points or 1.33% below the Lebanon Home Price Index all time
high.  The Home Price Index indicates that the Lebanon Market is down 0%
over the last 10 years. Home prices in the Lebanon Real Estate Market have
gained 0.96% over the last 12 months. Over the last thirty years, it is up 145%.

The 1st Quarter index value was 2.22 points lower than the 4th Quarter, 2017
index value of 177.63, resulting in a 1.25% decline for the 1st Quarter in the
Lebanon Market.

The Lebanon Home Price Index has declined for the last 2 consecutive
quarters. The current record holders for consecutive declines in the Home Price
Index are Tallahassee, FL; Syracuse, NY; Sioux City, IA; Shreveport, LA and
Peoria, IL, with declines in the last 3 consecutive quarters. The current record
holders for consecutive increases in the Home Price Index are Phoenix, AZ;
Houston, TX and Boise City, ID, with increases in the last 27 consecutive
quarters.

The highest annual change in the value of houses in the Lebanon Real Estate
Market was 16% in the twelve months ended with the 4th Quarter of 1988. The
worst annual change in home values  in the Lebanon Market was -4% in the
twelve months ended with the 2nd Quarter of 2012.

The highest growth in home values in the Lebanon Real Estate Market over a
three year period was 35% in the three years ended with the 4th Quarter of
1990. The worst performance over a three year period in the Lebanon Market
was -7% in the three years ended with the 2nd Quarter of 2012.

This page provides a long term graph of the Lebanon Home Price Index
(above). For information about Pennsylvania home values, click Real Estate
Market Forecasts in the navigation bar at the top of this page.  You'll see long
term charts and analysis that will provide tremendous insight into the historical
trends of residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then
LittleBigHomes.com's detailed research and statistics about Lebanon Home
Prices will be at your fingertips when you need them.

All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for
the Lebanon Market. The terms House Price Index and Home Price Index, as
used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) House
Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Lebanon Real Estate Market and hundreds
of other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
1st Quarter, 2018 Housing Data: Lebanon, Pennsylvania

The trend of Lebanon Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan areas is
detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities. Five
different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period.

Last Quarter:
During the 1st Quarter of 2018, Lebanon Home Prices had a rank of 334, with
appreciation of -1.25%. The top performing real estate market during the 1st
Quarter was Goldsboro, NC, with a rise of 9.78%. The worst market during that
period was Cumberland, MD, with appreciation of -9.30%.
The median for all cities during the 1st Quarter was 1.15%. The average for all
markets during the quarter was 0.97%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Lebanon Home Prices had a rank of 353, with
appreciation during the year of 0.96%. The top performing market during the
last year was Boise City, ID, with an increase of 15.3%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Farmington, NM, with appreciation of -6.0%.
The median for all markets during this period was 5.97%. The average was
5.82%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 1st Quarter of 2018, Lebanon Home Prices
ranked 342, with a total appreciation of 7.3%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Reno, NV, with a growth in value of 90%.
The worst market during that period was Farmington, NM, with appreciation of
-4%.
The median for all cities during this time period was 20%. The average over the
5 years was 26%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 1st Quarter of 2018, Lebanon Home Prices
had a rank of 281, with appreciation during the decade of 0%. The top
performing market during the period was Denver, CO, with a rise of 69%. The
worst real estate market during the 10 year time period was Atlantic City, NJ,
with appreciation of -26%.
The median for all markets during the last 10 years was 8%. The average for
the cities over that time frame was 9%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 1st Quarter of 2018, Lebanon Home Prices
had a rank of 268, with total growth over the 20 year period of 61%. The top
performing real estate market during the period was San Francisco, CA, with an
increase of 282%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Rockford, IL,
with appreciation of 18%.
The median for all cities during the last 20 years was 79%. The average for the
markets over that time frame was 88%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Lebanon Real Estate
Market is available back to the 2nd Quarter, of 1988. All calculations are based
on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Lebanon. Real estate
appreciation figures represent total net increase or decrease over each time
period. (Unless specifically stated, the figures do not represent annual or
quarterly rates of change.)



Data Source for Commentary & Charts: Federal Housing Finance Agency
Updated Sunday, July 8, 2018.
SignalTrend  Inc. 2008 - 2018; All rights reserved.


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