Lawton, OK - House Price Index (HPI)
Lawton Real Estate Market Forecast
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1000
The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Lawton, OK single family home prices in logarithmic
scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Real estate forecasts, analysis, statistics and
appreciation rates are provided below.
10
Lawton Real Estate Market: Trend Outlook, Analysis & Statistics
Commentary  1160.56
1st Quarter, 2018 Housing Statistics: Lawton, Oklahoma


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:        UP
Forecast Accuracy:      56%

LittleBigHomes.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Lawton housing market for the 12
months ending with the 1st Quarter of 2019 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend
Projection for Lawton is 56%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 56% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Lawton is 56% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be higher in the 1st Quarter of 2019 than they were in the 1st
Quarter of 2018. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Lawton Real
Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:            UP
Forecast Accuracy:      72%

The forecast for the trend in the Lawton housing market for the 3 years ending
with the 1st Quarter of 2021 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend Prediction for
Lawton is 72%. In other words, when tested against historical data, the
forecasting methodology was correct 72% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Lawton is 72% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home values will be higher in the 1st Quarter of 2021 than they were in the 1st
Quarter of 2018. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Lawton Real
Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
1st Quarter, 2018 Housing Data: Lawton, Oklahoma


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                         -3.36%
Last Year                              0.3%
Last 5 Years                         -4%
Last 10 Years                       -3%
Last 20 Years                       43%
Decline From All Time High   6.32%


Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1988        n/a
1989        n/a
1990        n/a
1991        n/a
1992        n/a
1993      3.51%
1994      2.21%
1995      4.50%
1996      -1.52%
1997      3.96%
1998      5.54%
1999      -3.25%
2000      2.75%
2001      2.39%
2002      4.15%
2003      3.20%
2004      9.43%
2005      6.84%
2006      10.30%
2007      -0.08%
2008      0.99%
2009      2.37%
2010      -0.23%
2011      -1.09%
2012      -3.21%
2013      -1.26%
2014      1.51%
2015      1.52%
2016      -2.39%
2017      2.99%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              -3.36%        Rank: 368 of 381 (3rd Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  0.3%           Rank: 363 of 381 (4th Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              -4%             Rank: 378 of 381 (Bottom .70%)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   -3%            Rank: 311 of 381 (18th Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            43%            Rank: 335 of 379 (11th Percentile)
Decline From All Time High        6.32%

The change in home prices for Lawton, OK are shown above for five time
periods. For example: Lawton appreciated -3.36% in the Last Quarter. At that
rate, the Lawton Real Estate Market was ranked 368th out of 381 metropolitan
Real Estate Markets. Lawton was in the 3rd percentile. So Lawton, OK
performed better in the Last Quarter than 3% of the 381 metropolitan areas
covered in LittleBigHomes.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
1st Quarter, 2018 Housing Statistics: Lawton, Oklahoma

The all time high in the Lawton Home Price Index was 163.7 in the 1st Quarter,
of 2011. The 1st Quarter, 2018 index value was 153.3. That's a decline of
10.34 points or 6.32% below the Lawton Home Price Index all time high.  The
Home Price Index indicates that the Lawton Market is down 3% over the last 10
years. Home prices in the Lawton Real Estate Market have gained 0.35% over
the last 12 months.

The 1st Quarter index value was 5.33 points lower than the 4th Quarter, 2017
index value of 158.66, resulting in a 3.36% decline for the 1st Quarter in the
Lawton Market.

The Lawton Home Price Index declined in the last quarter after increasing in the
previous quarter. The current record holders for consecutive declines in the
Home Price Index are Tallahassee, FL; Syracuse, NY; Sioux City, IA;
Shreveport, LA and Peoria, IL, with declines in the last 3 consecutive quarters.
The current record holders for consecutive increases in the Home Price Index
are Phoenix, AZ; Houston, TX and Boise City, ID, with increases in the last 27
consecutive quarters.

The highest annual change in the value of houses in the Lawton Real Estate
Market was 12% in the twelve months ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2005. The
worst annual change in home values  in the Lawton Market was -7% in the
twelve months ended with the 1st Quarter of 2014.

The highest growth in home values in the Lawton Real Estate Market over a
three year period was 29% in the three years ended with the 2nd Quarter of
2006. The worst performance over a three year period in the Lawton Market
was -9% in the three years ended with the 1st Quarter of 2014.

This page provides a long term graph of the Lawton Home Price Index (above).
For information about Oklahoma home values, click Real Estate Market
Forecasts in the navigation bar at the top of this page.  You'll see long term
charts and analysis that will provide tremendous insight into the historical trends
of residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then LittleBigHomes.com's
detailed research and statistics about Lawton Home Prices will be at your
fingertips when you need them.

All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for
the Lawton Market. The terms House Price Index and Home Price Index, as
used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) House
Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Lawton Real Estate Market and hundreds of
other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
1st Quarter, 2018 Housing Data: Lawton, Oklahoma

The trend of Lawton Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan areas is
detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities. Five
different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period.

Last Quarter:
During the 1st Quarter of 2018, Lawton Home Prices had a rank of 368, with
appreciation of -3.36%. The top performing real estate market during the 1st
Quarter was Goldsboro, NC, with a rise of 9.78%. The worst market during that
period was Cumberland, MD, with appreciation of -9.30%.
The median for all cities during the 1st Quarter was 1.15%. The average for all
markets during the quarter was 0.97%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Lawton Home Prices had a rank of 363, with
appreciation during the year of 0.35%. The top performing market during the
last year was Boise City, ID, with an increase of 15.3%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Farmington, NM, with appreciation of -6.0%.
The median for all markets during this period was 5.97%. The average was
5.82%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 1st Quarter of 2018, Lawton Home Prices
ranked 378, with a total appreciation of -3.5%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Reno, NV, with a growth in value of 90%.
The worst market during that period was Farmington, NM, with appreciation of
-4%.
The median for all cities during this time period was 20%. The average over the
5 years was 26%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 1st Quarter of 2018, Lawton Home Prices had
a rank of 311, with appreciation during the decade of -3%. The top performing
market during the period was Denver, CO, with a rise of 69%. The worst real
estate market during the 10 year time period was Atlantic City, NJ, with
appreciation of -26%.
The median for all markets during the last 10 years was 8%. The average for
the cities over that time frame was 9%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 1st Quarter of 2018, Lawton Home Prices had
a rank of 335, with total growth over the 20 year period of 43%. The top
performing real estate market during the period was San Francisco, CA, with an
increase of 282%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Rockford, IL,
with appreciation of 18%.
The median for all cities during the last 20 years was 79%. The average for the
markets over that time frame was 88%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Lawton Real Estate
Market is available back to the 4th Quarter, of 1992. All calculations are based
on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Lawton. Real estate
appreciation figures represent total net increase or decrease over each time
period. (Unless specifically stated, the figures do not represent annual or
quarterly rates of change.)



Data Source for Commentary & Charts: Federal Housing Finance Agency
Updated Sunday, July 8, 2018.
SignalTrend  Inc. 2008 - 2018; All rights reserved.


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