Las Cruces, NM - House Price Index (HPI)
Las Cruces Real Estate Market Forecast
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The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Las Cruces, NM single family home prices in
logarithmic scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Real estate forecasts, analysis, statistics
and appreciation rates are provided below.
10
Las Cruces Real Estate Market: Trend Outlook, Analysis & Statistics
Commentary  1157.56
1st Quarter, 2018 Housing Statistics: Las Cruces, New Mexico


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:        UP
Forecast Accuracy:      77%

LittleBigHomes.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Las Cruces housing market for the 12
months ending with the 1st Quarter of 2019 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend
Projection for Las Cruces is 77%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 77% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in Las
Cruces is 77% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be higher in the 1st Quarter of 2019 than they were in the 1st
Quarter of 2018. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Las Cruces
Real Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:            UP
Forecast Accuracy:      78%

The forecast for the trend in the Las Cruces housing market for the 3 years
ending with the 1st Quarter of 2021 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend
Prediction for Las Cruces is 78%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 78% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in Las
Cruces is 78% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home values will be higher in the 1st Quarter of 2021 than they were in the 1st
Quarter of 2018. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Las Cruces
Real Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
1st Quarter, 2018 Housing Data: Las Cruces, New Mexico


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                         0.47%
Last Year                              3.0%
Last 5 Years                         4%
Last 10 Years                       -13%
Last 20 Years                       50%
Decline From All Time High   13.02%


Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1988      3.07%
1989      4.46%
1990      -0.54%
1991      3.37%
1992      1.77%
1993      4.60%
1994      5.39%
1995      4.49%
1996      1.21%
1997      3.05%
1998      2.24%
1999      0.48%
2000      1.12%
2001      3.62%
2002      5.84%
2003      6.81%
2004      9.53%
2005      14.79%
2006      9.49%
2007      3.64%
2008      -3.36%
2009      -4.07%
2010      -3.18%
2011      -5.03%
2012      -1.79%
2013      -3.12%
2014      0.01%
2015      0.23%
2016      4.23%
2017      2.44%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              0.47%         Rank: 253 of 381 (33rd Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  3.0%           Rank: 296 of 381 (22nd Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              4%              Rank: 361 of 381 (5th Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   -13%           Rank: 367 of 381 (3rd Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            50%            Rank: 313 of 379 (17th Percentile)
Decline From All Time High        13.02%

The change in home prices for Las Cruces, NM are shown above for five time
periods. For example: Las Cruces appreciated 0.47% in the Last Quarter. At
that rate, the Las Cruces Real Estate Market was ranked 253rd out of 381
metropolitan Real Estate Markets. Las Cruces was in the 33rd percentile. So
Las Cruces, NM performed better in the Last Quarter than 33% of the 381
metropolitan areas covered in LittleBigHomes.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
1st Quarter, 2018 Housing Statistics: Las Cruces, New Mexico

The all time high in the Las Cruces Home Price Index was 193.5 in the 1st
Quarter, of 2008. The 1st Quarter, 2018 index value was 168.3. That's a
decline of 25.19 points or 13.02% below the Las Cruces Home Price Index all
time high.  The Home Price Index indicates that the Las Cruces Market is down
13% over the last 10 years. Home prices in the Las Cruces Real Estate Market
have gained 3.00% over the last 12 months. Over the last thirty years, it is up
100%.

The 1st Quarter index value was 0.79 points higher than the 4th Quarter, 2017
index value of 167.52, resulting in a 0.47% rise in the 1st Quarter for the Las
Cruces Market.

The Las Cruces Home Price Index has increased for the last 4 consecutive
quarters. The current record holders for consecutive increases in the Home
Price Index are Phoenix, AZ; Houston, TX and Boise City, ID, with increases in
the last 27 consecutive quarters. The current record holders for consecutive
declines in the Home Price Index are Tallahassee, FL; Syracuse, NY; Sioux City,
IA; Shreveport, LA and Peoria, IL, with declines in the last 3 consecutive
quarters.

The highest annual change in the value of houses in the Las Cruces Real
Estate Market was 15% in the twelve months ended with the 4th Quarter of
2005. The worst annual change in home values  in the Las Cruces Market was
-7% in the twelve months ended with the 2nd Quarter of 2011.

The highest growth in home values in the Las Cruces Real Estate Market over
a three year period was 40% in the three years ended with the 1st Quarter of
2007. The worst performance over a three year period in the Las Cruces
Market was -14% in the three years ended with the 1st Quarter of 2012.

This page provides a long term graph of the Las Cruces Home Price Index
(above). For information about New Mexico home values, click Real Estate
Market Forecasts in the navigation bar at the top of this page.  You'll see long
term charts and analysis that will provide tremendous insight into the historical
trends of residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then
LittleBigHomes.com's detailed research and statistics about Las Cruces Home
Prices will be at your fingertips when you need them.

All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for
the Las Cruces Market. The terms House Price Index and Home Price Index, as
used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) House
Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Las Cruces Real Estate Market and
hundreds of other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a
number of months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
1st Quarter, 2018 Housing Data: Las Cruces, New Mexico

The trend of Las Cruces Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan areas
is detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities. Five
different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period.

Last Quarter:
During the 1st Quarter of 2018, Las Cruces Home Prices had a rank of 253,
with appreciation of 0.47%. The top performing real estate market during the
1st Quarter was Goldsboro, NC, with a rise of 9.78%. The worst market during
that period was Cumberland, MD, with appreciation of -9.30%.
The median for all cities during the 1st Quarter was 1.15%. The average for all
markets during the quarter was 0.97%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Las Cruces Home Prices had a rank of 296, with
appreciation during the year of 3.00%. The top performing market during the
last year was Boise City, ID, with an increase of 15.3%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Farmington, NM, with appreciation of -6.0%.
The median for all markets during this period was 5.97%. The average was
5.82%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 1st Quarter of 2018, Las Cruces Home Prices
ranked 361, with a total appreciation of 3.5%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Reno, NV, with a growth in value of 90%.
The worst market during that period was Farmington, NM, with appreciation of
-4%.
The median for all cities during this time period was 20%. The average over the
5 years was 26%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 1st Quarter of 2018, Las Cruces Home Prices
had a rank of 367, with appreciation during the decade of -13%. The top
performing market during the period was Denver, CO, with a rise of 69%. The
worst real estate market during the 10 year time period was Atlantic City, NJ,
with appreciation of -26%.
The median for all markets during the last 10 years was 8%. The average for
the cities over that time frame was 9%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 1st Quarter of 2018, Las Cruces Home Prices
had a rank of 313, with total growth over the 20 year period of 50%. The top
performing real estate market during the period was San Francisco, CA, with an
increase of 282%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Rockford, IL,
with appreciation of 18%.
The median for all cities during the last 20 years was 79%. The average for the
markets over that time frame was 88%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Las Cruces Real
Estate Market is available back to the 1st Quarter, of 1985. All calculations are
based on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Las Cruces. Real
estate appreciation figures represent total net increase or decrease over each
time period. (Unless specifically stated, the figures do not represent annual or
quarterly rates of change.)



Data Source for Commentary & Charts: Federal Housing Finance Agency
Updated Sunday, July 8, 2018.
SignalTrend  Inc. 2008 - 2018; All rights reserved.


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