Joplin, MO - House Price Index (HPI)
Joplin Real Estate Market Forecast
The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Joplin, MO single family home prices in logarithmic
scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Real estate forecasts, analysis, statistics and
appreciation rates are provided below.
Joplin Real Estate Market: Trend Outlook, Analysis & Statistics
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Commentary  375.56
4th Quarter, 2017 Housing Statistics: Joplin, Missouri


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:      DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      77%

LittleBigHomes.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Joplin housing market for the 12
months ending with the 4th Quarter of 2018 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the
Trend Projection for Joplin is 77%. In other words, when tested against
historical data, the forecasting methodology was correct 77% of the time.
Accordingly, LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for falling house
prices in Joplin is 77% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is
correct, home prices will be lower in the 4th Quarter of 2018 than they were in
the 4th Quarter of 2017. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Joplin
Real Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:          DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      81%

The forecast for the trend in the Joplin housing market for the 3 years ending
with the 4th Quarter of 2020 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the Trend Prediction
for Joplin is 81%. In other words, when tested against historical data, the
forecasting methodology was correct 81% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for falling house prices in
Joplin is 81% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home values will be lower in the 4th Quarter of 2020 than they were in the 4th
Quarter of 2017. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Joplin Real
Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
4th Quarter, 2017 Housing Data: Joplin, Missouri


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                         -3.03%
Last Year                              -1.9%
Last 5 Years                         4%
Last 10 Years                       7%
Last 20 Years                       50%
Decline From All Time High   3.03%


Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1988        n/a
1989      2.86%
1990      0.19%
1991      5.26%
1992      0.87%
1993      5.37%
1994      6.60%
1995      6.36%
1996      3.26%
1997      3.60%
1998      5.55%
1999      -0.70%
2000      3.82%
2001      7.30%
2002      3.49%
2003      2.56%
2004      4.89%
2005      4.30%
2006      3.54%
2007      -0.46%
2008      -0.70%
2009      0.55%
2010      -1.70%
2011      3.70%
2012      1.34%
2013      -0.98%
2014      0.07%
2015      4.31%
2016      2.35%
2017      -1.91%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              -3.03%        Rank: 370 of 381 (2nd Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  -1.9%          Rank: 372 of 381 (2nd Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              4%              Rank: 362 of 381 (5th Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   7%              Rank: 186 of 381 (51st Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            50%            Rank: 325 of 379 (14th Percentile)
Decline From All Time High        3.03%

The change in home prices for Joplin, MO are shown above for five time
periods. For example: Joplin appreciated -3.03% in the Last Quarter. At that
rate, the Joplin Real Estate Market was ranked 370th out of 381 metropolitan
Real Estate Markets. Joplin was in the 2nd percentile. So Joplin, MO performed
better in the Last Quarter than 2% of the 381 metropolitan areas covered in
LittleBigHomes.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
4th Quarter, 2017 Housing Statistics: Joplin, Missouri

The all time high in the Joplin Home Price Index was 172.8 in the 3rd Quarter, of
2017. The 4th Quarter, 2017 index value was 167.5. That's a decline of 5.24
points or 3.03% below the Joplin Home Price Index all time high.  The Home
Price Index indicates that the Joplin Market is up 7% over the last 10 years.
Home Prices in the Joplin Real Estate Market have lost 1.91% over the last 12
months.

The 4th Quarter index value was 5.24 points lower than the 3rd Quarter, 2017
index value of 172.75, resulting in a 3.03% decline for the 4th Quarter in the
Joplin Market.

The Joplin Home Price Index declined in the last quarter after increasing in the
previous 2 quarters. The current record holders for consecutive declines in the
Home Price Index are Victoria, TX; Topeka, KS; Texarkana, TX-AR; Springfield,
MA and Peoria, IL, with declines in the last 2 consecutive quarters. The current
record holders for consecutive increases in the Home Price Index are Phoenix,
AZ; Houston, TX and Boise City, ID, with increases in the last 26 consecutive
quarters.

The highest annual change in the value of houses in the Joplin Real Estate
Market was 8% in the twelve months ended with the 2nd Quarter of 1994. The
worst annual change in home values  in the Joplin Market was -5% in the twelve
months ended with the 1st Quarter of 2010.

The highest growth in home values in the Joplin Real Estate Market over a
three year period was 19% in the three years ended with the 4th Quarter of
1995. The worst performance over a three year period in the Joplin Market was
-5% in the three years ended with the 1st Quarter of 2011.

This page provides a long term graph of the Joplin Home Price Index (above).
For information about Missouri home values, click Real Estate Market Forecasts
in the navigation bar at the top of this page.  You'll see long term charts and
analysis that will provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of
residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then LittleBigHomes.com's
detailed research and statistics about Joplin Home Prices will be at your
fingertips when you need them.

All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for
the Joplin Market. The terms House Price Index and Home Price Index, as used
in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) House Price
Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Joplin Real Estate Market and hundreds of
other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
4th Quarter, 2017 Housing Data: Joplin, Missouri

The trend of Joplin Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan areas is
detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities. Five
different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period.

Last Quarter:
During the 4th Quarter of 2017, Joplin Home Prices had a rank of 370, with
appreciation of -3.03%. The top performing real estate market during the 4th
Quarter was Gadsden, AL, with a rise of 13.11%. The worst market during that
period was Hinesville, GA, with appreciation of -6.79%.
The median for all cities during the 4th Quarter was 0.75%. The average for all
markets during the quarter was 0.69%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Joplin Home Prices had a rank of 372, with
appreciation during the year of -1.91%. The top performing market during the
last year was Sebastian, FL, with an increase of 16.4%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Goldsboro, NC, with appreciation of -6.9%.
The median for all markets during this period was 5.37%. The average was
5.53%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 4th Quarter of 2017, Joplin Home Prices
ranked 362, with a total appreciation of 3.8%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Reno, NV, with a growth in value of 94%.
The worst market during that period was Goldsboro, NC, with appreciation of
-5%.
The median for all cities during this time period was 19%. The average over the
5 years was 25%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2017, Joplin Home Prices had
a rank of 186, with appreciation during the decade of 7%. The top performing
market during the period was Denver, CO, with a rise of 65%. The worst real
estate market during the 10 year time period was Atlantic City, NJ, with
appreciation of -27%.
The median for all markets during the last 10 years was 7%. The average for
the cities over that time frame was 8%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2017, Joplin Home Prices had
a rank of 325, with total growth over the 20 year period of 50%. The top
performing real estate market during the period was San Francisco, CA, with an
increase of 280%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Saginaw, MI,
with appreciation of 18%.
The median for all cities during the last 20 years was 79%. The average for the
markets over that time frame was 89%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Joplin Real Estate
Market is available back to the 3rd Quarter, of 1987. All calculations are based
on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Joplin. Real estate
appreciation figures represent total net increase or decrease over each time
period. (Unless specifically stated, the figures do not represent annual or
quarterly rates of change.)



Data Source for Commentary & Charts: Federal Housing Finance Agency
Updated Monday, April 2, 2018.
SignalTrend  Inc. 2008 - 2018; All rights reserved.


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