Jefferson City, MO - House Price Index (HPI)
Jefferson City Real Estate Market Forecast
The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Jefferson City, MO single family home prices in
logarithmic scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Real estate forecasts, analysis, statistics
and appreciation rates are provided below.
Jefferson City Real Estate Market: Trend Outlook, Analysis & Statistics
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Commentary  27755
3rd Quarter, 2017 Housing Statistics: Jefferson City, Missouri


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:        UP
Forecast Accuracy:      78%

LittleBigHomes.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Jefferson City housing market for the
12 months ending with the 3rd Quarter of 2018 is UP. The Accuracy of the
Trend Projection for Jefferson City is 78%. In other words, when tested against
historical data, the forecasting methodology was correct 78% of the time.
Accordingly, LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house
prices in Jefferson City is 78% during this period. If this Housing Market
Forecast is correct, home prices will be higher in the 3rd Quarter of 2018 than
they were in the 3rd Quarter of 2017. Check this page each quarter for updates
to the Jefferson City Real Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:            UP
Forecast Accuracy:      83%

The forecast for the trend in the Jefferson City housing market for the 3 years
ending with the 3rd Quarter of 2020 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend
Prediction for Jefferson City is 83%. In other words, when tested against
historical data, the forecasting methodology was correct 83% of the time.
Accordingly, LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house
prices in Jefferson City is 83% during this period. If this Housing Market
Forecast is correct, home values will be higher in the 3rd Quarter of 2020 than
they were in the 3rd Quarter of 2017. Check this page each quarter for updates
to the Jefferson City Real Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
3rd Quarter, 2017 Housing Data: Jefferson City, Missouri


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                         0.72%
Last Year                              1.3%
Last 5 Years                         7%
Last 10 Years                       10%
Last 20 Years                       57%



Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1987      0.87%
1988      -0.30%
1989      1.39%
1990      1.69%
1991      0.83%
1992      1.70%
1993      3.19%
1994      13.62%
1995      2.85%
1996      5.90%
1997      4.21%
1998      3.04%
1999      5.87%
2000      3.74%
2001      2.80%
2002      4.65%
2003      2.47%
2004      5.40%
2005      4.62%
2006      2.49%
2007      0.73%
2008      1.12%
2009      -0.09%
2010      1.24%
2011      -0.33%
2012      1.87%
2013      -0.96%
2014      1.93%
2015      1.69%
2016      3.38%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              0.72%         Rank: 278 of 381 (27th Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  1.3%           Rank: 342 of 381 (10th Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              7%              Rank: 339 of 381 (11th Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   10%            Rank: 144 of 381 (62nd Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            57%            Rank: 288 of 379 (24th Percentile)


The change in home prices for Jefferson City, MO are shown above for five time
periods. For example: Jefferson City appreciated 0.72% in the Last Quarter. At
that rate, the Jefferson City Real Estate Market was ranked 278th out of 381
metropolitan Real Estate Markets. Jefferson City was in the 27th percentile. So
Jefferson City, MO performed better in the Last Quarter than 27% of the 381
metropolitan areas covered in LittleBigHomes.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
3rd Quarter, 2017 Housing Statistics: Jefferson City, Missouri

The all time high in the Jefferson City Home Price Index was 176.4 in the 3rd
Quarter, of 2017.  The Home Price Index indicates that the Jefferson City
Market is up 10% over the last 10 years. Home prices in the Jefferson City Real
Estate Market have gained 1.30% over the last 12 months. Over the last thirty
years, it is up 113%.

The 3rd Quarter index value was 1.26 points higher than the 2nd Quarter, 2017
index value of 175.18, resulting in a 0.72% rise in the 3rd Quarter for the
Jefferson City Market.

The Jefferson City Home Price Index has increased for the last 2 consecutive
quarters. The current record holders for consecutive increases in the Home
Price Index are Phoenix, AZ; Houston, TX and Boise City, ID, with increases in
the last 25 consecutive quarters. The current record holder for consecutive
declines in the Home Price Index is Carbondale, IL, with declines in the last 3
consecutive quarters.

The highest annual change in the value of houses in the Jefferson City Real
Estate Market was 14% in the twelve months ended with the 4th Quarter of
1994. The worst annual change in home values  in the Jefferson City Market
was -5% in the twelve months ended with the 1st Quarter of 1989.

The highest growth in home values in the Jefferson City Real Estate Market
over a three year period was 27% in the three years ended with the 3rd Quarter
of 1996. The worst performance over a three year period in the Jefferson City
Market was -2% in the three years ended with the 2nd Quarter of 2011.

This page provides a long term graph of the Jefferson City Home Price Index
(above). For information about Missouri home values, click Real Estate Market
Forecasts in the navigation bar at the top of this page.  You'll see long term
charts and analysis that will provide tremendous insight into the historical trends
of residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then LittleBigHomes.com's
detailed research and statistics about Jefferson City Home Prices will be at your
fingertips when you need them.

All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for
the Jefferson City Market. The terms House Price Index and Home Price Index,
as used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA)
House Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Jefferson City Real Estate Market and
hundreds of other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a
number of months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
3rd Quarter, 2017 Housing Data: Jefferson City, Missouri

The trend of Jefferson City Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan
areas is detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities.
Five different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period.

Last Quarter:
During the 3rd Quarter of 2017, Jefferson City Home Prices had a rank of 278,
with appreciation of 0.72%. The top performing real estate market during the
3rd Quarter was Pine Bluff, AR, with a rise of 7.86%. The worst market during
that period was Weirton, OH, with appreciation of -9.33%.
The median for all cities during the 3rd Quarter was 1.52%. The average for all
markets during the quarter was 1.39%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Jefferson City Home Prices had a rank of 342, with
appreciation during the year of 1.30%. The top performing market during the
last year was Seattle, WA, with an increase of 14.2%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Lawton, OK, with appreciation of -7.3%.
The median for all markets during this period was 5.41%. The average was
5.42%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2017, Jefferson City Home
Prices ranked 339, with a total appreciation of 7.0%. The top performing real
estate market during the 5 year period was Reno, NV, with a growth in value of
95%. The worst market during that period was Lawton, OK, with appreciation of
-7%.
The median for all cities during this time period was 20%. The average over the
5 years was 26%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 3rd Quarter of 2017, Jefferson City Home
Prices had a rank of 144, with appreciation during the decade of 10%. The top
performing market during the period was Denver, CO, with a rise of 63%. The
worst real estate market during the 10 year time period was Atlantic City, NJ,
with appreciation of -28%.
The median for all markets during the last 10 years was 5%. The average for
the cities over that time frame was 7%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 3rd Quarter of 2017, Jefferson City Home
Prices had a rank of 288, with total growth over the 20 year period of 57%. The
top performing real estate market during the period was San Francisco, CA,
with an increase of 283%. The worst market during the last 20 years was
Mansfield, OH, with appreciation of 20%.
The median for all cities during the last 20 years was 80%. The average for the
markets over that time frame was 89%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Jefferson City Real
Estate Market is available back to the 2nd Quarter, of 1986. All calculations are
based on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Jefferson City. Real
estate appreciation figures represent total net increase or decrease over each
time period. (Unless specifically stated, the figures do not represent annual or
quarterly rates of change.)



Data Source for Commentary & Charts: Federal Housing Finance Agency
Updated Monday, January 15, 2018.
SignalTrend  Inc. 2008 - 2018; All rights reserved.


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