Hot Springs, AR - House Price Index (HPI)
Hot Springs Real Estate Market Forecast
The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Hot Springs, AR single family home prices in
logarithmic scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100. Real estate forecasts, analysis, statistics
and appreciation rates are provided below.
Hot Springs Real Estate Market: Trend Outlook, Analysis & Statistics
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Commentary  27740
3rd Quarter, 2017 Housing Statistics: Hot Springs, Arkansas


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:        UP
Forecast Accuracy:      76%

LittleBigHomes.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Hot Springs housing market for the 12
months ending with the 3rd Quarter of 2018 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend
Projection for Hot Springs is 76%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 76% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in Hot
Springs is 76% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be higher in the 3rd Quarter of 2018 than they were in the 3rd
Quarter of 2017. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Hot Springs
Real Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:            UP
Forecast Accuracy:      73%

The forecast for the trend in the Hot Springs housing market for the 3 years
ending with the 3rd Quarter of 2020 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend
Prediction for Hot Springs is 73%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 73% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in Hot
Springs is 73% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home values will be higher in the 3rd Quarter of 2020 than they were in the 3rd
Quarter of 2017. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Hot Springs
Real Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
3rd Quarter, 2017 Housing Data: Hot Springs, Arkansas


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                                     -2.87%
Last Year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  0.0%
Last 5 Years                                     6%
Last 10 Years . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Last 20 Years                                   68%
Decline From All Time High               2.87%


Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1987        n/a
1988        n/a
1989        n/a
1990        n/a
1991        n/a
1992        n/a
1993      9.55%
1994      3.88%
1995      10.65%
1996      5.17%
1997      4.95%
1998      -0.47%
1999      1.31%
2000      2.49%
2001      7.34%
2002      3.51%
2003      4.42%
2004      7.12%
2005      10.48%
2006      6.08%
2007      6.74%
2008      0.54%
2009      -6.25%
2010      0.58%
2011      -3.82%
2012      1.87%
2013      -0.93%
2014      -0.90%
2015      9.04%
2016      -2.98%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              -2.87%        Rank: 369 of 381 (3rd Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  0.0%           Rank: 356 of 381 (6th Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              6%              Rank: 346 of 381 (9th Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   1%              Rank: 241 of 381 (36th Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            68%            Rank: 246 of 379 (35th Percentile)
Decline From All Time High        2.87%

The change in home prices for Hot Springs, AR are shown above for five time
periods. For example: Hot Springs appreciated -2.87% in the Last Quarter. At
that rate, the Hot Springs Real Estate Market was ranked 369th out of 381
metropolitan Real Estate Markets. Hot Springs was in the 3rd percentile. So Hot
Springs, AR performed better in the Last Quarter than 3% of the 381
metropolitan areas covered in LittleBigHomes.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
3rd Quarter, 2017 Housing Statistics: Hot Springs, Arkansas

The all time high in the Hot Springs Home Price Index was 194.3 in the 2nd
Quarter, of 2017. The 3rd Quarter, 2017 index value was 188.8. That's a
decline of 5.57 points or 2.87% below the Hot Springs Home Price Index all time
high.  The Home Price Index indicates that the Hot Springs Market is up 1%
over the last 10 years. Home prices in the Hot Springs Real Estate Market have
gained 0.02% over the last 12 months.

The 3rd Quarter index value was 5.57 points lower than the 2nd Quarter, 2017
index value of 194.32, resulting in a 2.87% decline for the 3rd Quarter in the
Hot Springs Market.

The Hot Springs Home Price Index declined in the last quarter after increasing
in the previous 2 quarters. The current record holder for consecutive declines
in the Home Price Index is Carbondale, IL, with declines in the last 3
consecutive quarters. The current record holders for consecutive increases in
the Home Price Index are Phoenix, AZ; Houston, TX and Boise City, ID, with
increases in the last 25 consecutive quarters.

The highest annual change in the value of houses in the Hot Springs Real
Estate Market was 12% in the twelve months ended with the 1st Quarter of
1994. The worst annual change in home values  in the Hot Springs Market was
-8% in the twelve months ended with the 2nd Quarter of 2010.

The highest growth in home values in the Hot Springs Real Estate Market over
a three year period was 27% in the three years ended with the 1st Quarter of
2007. The worst performance over a three year period in the Hot Springs
Market was -9% in the three years ended with the 4th Quarter of 2011.

This page provides a long term graph of the Hot Springs Home Price Index
(above). For information about Arkansas home values, click Real Estate Market
Forecasts in the navigation bar at the top of this page.  You'll see long term
charts and analysis that will provide tremendous insight into the historical trends
of residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then LittleBigHomes.com's
detailed research and statistics about Hot Springs Home Prices will be at your
fingertips when you need them.

All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for
the Hot Springs Market. The terms House Price Index and Home Price Index, as
used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) House
Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Hot Springs Real Estate Market and
hundreds of other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a
number of months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
3rd Quarter, 2017 Housing Data: Hot Springs, Arkansas

The trend of Hot Springs Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan areas
is detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities. Five
different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period.

Last Quarter:
During the 3rd Quarter of 2017, Hot Springs Home Prices had a rank of 369,
with appreciation of -2.87%. The top performing real estate market during the
3rd Quarter was Pine Bluff, AR, with a rise of 7.86%. The worst market during
that period was Weirton, OH, with appreciation of -9.33%.
The median for all cities during the 3rd Quarter was 1.52%. The average for all
markets during the quarter was 1.39%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Hot Springs Home Prices had a rank of 356, with
appreciation during the year of 0.02%. The top performing market during the
last year was Seattle, WA, with an increase of 14.2%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Lawton, OK, with appreciation of -7.3%.
The median for all markets during this period was 5.41%. The average was
5.42%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2017, Hot Springs Home Prices
ranked 346, with a total appreciation of 6.2%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Reno, NV, with a growth in value of 95%.
The worst market during that period was Lawton, OK, with appreciation of -7%.
The median for all cities during this time period was 20%. The average over the
5 years was 26%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 3rd Quarter of 2017, Hot Springs Home Prices
had a rank of 241, with appreciation during the decade of 1%. The top
performing market during the period was Denver, CO, with a rise of 63%. The
worst real estate market during the 10 year time period was Atlantic City, NJ,
with appreciation of -28%.
The median for all markets during the last 10 years was 5%. The average for
the cities over that time frame was 7%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 3rd Quarter of 2017, Hot Springs Home Prices
had a rank of 246, with total growth over the 20 year period of 68%. The top
performing real estate market during the period was San Francisco, CA, with an
increase of 283%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Mansfield,
OH, with appreciation of 20%.
The median for all cities during the last 20 years was 80%. The average for the
markets over that time frame was 89%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Hot Springs Real
Estate Market is available back to the 3rd Quarter, of 1992. All calculations are
based on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Hot Springs. Real
estate appreciation figures represent total net increase or decrease over each
time period. (Unless specifically stated, the figures do not represent annual or
quarterly rates of change.)



Data Source for Commentary & Charts: Federal Housing Finance Agency
Updated Wednesday, January 10, 2018.
SignalTrend  Inc. 2008 - 2018; All rights reserved.


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