Grand Junction, CO - House Price Index (HPI)
Grand Junction Real Estate Market Forecast
The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Grand Junction, CO single family home prices in
logarithmic scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Real estate forecasts, analysis, statistics
and appreciation rates are provided below.
Grand Junction Real Estate Market: Trend Outlook, Analysis & Statistics
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Commentary  27721
3rd Quarter, 2017 Housing Statistics: Grand Junction, Colorado


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:        UP
Forecast Accuracy:      87%

LittleBigHomes.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Grand Junction housing market for the
12 months ending with the 3rd Quarter of 2018 is UP. The Accuracy of the
Trend Projection for Grand Junction is 87%. In other words, when tested
against historical data, the forecasting methodology was correct 87% of the
time. Accordingly, LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising
house prices in Grand Junction is 87% during this period. If this Housing Market
Forecast is correct, home prices will be higher in the 3rd Quarter of 2018 than
they were in the 3rd Quarter of 2017. Check this page each quarter for updates
to the Grand Junction Real Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:            UP
Forecast Accuracy:      80%

The forecast for the trend in the Grand Junction housing market for the 3 years
ending with the 3rd Quarter of 2020 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend
Prediction for Grand Junction is 80%. In other words, when tested against
historical data, the forecasting methodology was correct 80% of the time.
Accordingly, LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house
prices in Grand Junction is 80% during this period. If this Housing Market
Forecast is correct, home values will be higher in the 3rd Quarter of 2020 than
they were in the 3rd Quarter of 2017. Check this page each quarter for updates
to the Grand Junction Real Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
3rd Quarter, 2017 Housing Data: Grand Junction, Colorado


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                                     2.85%
Last Year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  6.4%
Last 5 Years                                     27%
Last 10 Years . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . -3%
Last 20 Years                                   110%
Decline From All Time High               5.13%


Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1987      5.28%
1988      0.61%
1989      12.66%
1990      3.28%
1991      8.63%
1992      3.68%
1993      10.28%
1994      10.97%
1995      8.12%
1996      3.78%
1997      5.27%
1998      7.33%
1999      3.22%
2000      6.17%
2001      6.45%
2002      6.84%
2003      6.44%
2004      8.81%
2005      11.66%
2006      13.28%
2007      10.59%
2008      -0.74%
2009      -7.06%
2010      -9.33%
2011      -8.57%
2012      -0.71%
2013      4.83%
2014      1.74%
2015      4.27%
2016      5.36%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              2.85%         Rank: 72 of 381 (81st Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  6.4%           Rank: 151 of 381 (60th Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              27%            Rank: 133 of 381 (65th Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   -3%            Rank: 288 of 381 (24th Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            110%          Rank: 100 of 379 (73rd Percentile)
Decline From All Time High        5.13%

The change in home prices for Grand Junction, CO are shown above for five
time periods. For example: Grand Junction appreciated 2.85% in the Last
Quarter. At that rate, the Grand Junction Real Estate Market was ranked 72nd
out of 381 metropolitan Real Estate Markets. Grand Junction was in the 81st
percentile. So Grand Junction, CO performed better in the Last Quarter than
81% of the 381 metropolitan areas covered in LittleBigHomes.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
3rd Quarter, 2017 Housing Statistics: Grand Junction, Colorado

The all time high in the Grand Junction Home Price Index was 255.3 in the 1st
Quarter, of 2008. The 3rd Quarter, 2017 index value was 242.2. That's a
decline of 13.11 points or 5.13% below the Grand Junction Home Price Index all
time high.  The Home Price Index indicates that the Grand Junction Market is
down 3% over the last 10 years. Home prices in the Grand Junction Real Estate
Market have gained 6.40% over the last 12 months. Over the last thirty years, it
is up 328%.

The 3rd Quarter index value was 6.70 points higher than the 2nd Quarter, 2017
index value of 235.50, resulting in a 2.85% rise in the 3rd Quarter for the Grand
Junction Market.

The Grand Junction Home Price Index has increased for the last 3 consecutive
quarters. The current record holders for consecutive increases in the Home
Price Index are Phoenix, AZ; Houston, TX and Boise City, ID, with increases in
the last 25 consecutive quarters. The current record holder for consecutive
declines in the Home Price Index is Carbondale, IL, with declines in the last 3
consecutive quarters.

The highest annual change in the value of houses in the Grand Junction Real
Estate Market was 36% in the twelve months ended with the 1st Quarter of
1982. The worst annual change in home values  in the Grand Junction Market
was -28% in the twelve months ended with the 2nd Quarter of 1984.

The highest growth in home values in the Grand Junction Real Estate Market
over a three year period was 42% in the three years ended with the 2nd
Quarter of 2007. The worst performance over a three year period in the Grand
Junction Market was -42% in the three years ended with the 2nd Quarter of
1985.

This page provides a long term graph of the Grand Junction Home Price Index
(above). For information about Colorado home values, click Real Estate Market
Forecasts in the navigation bar at the top of this page.  You'll see long term
charts and analysis that will provide tremendous insight into the historical trends
of residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then LittleBigHomes.com's
detailed research and statistics about Grand Junction Home Prices will be at
your fingertips when you need them.

All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for
the Grand Junction Market. The terms House Price Index and Home Price Index,
as used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA)
House Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Grand Junction Real Estate Market and
hundreds of other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a
number of months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
3rd Quarter, 2017 Housing Data: Grand Junction, Colorado

The trend of Grand Junction Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan
areas is detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities.
Five different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period.

Last Quarter:
During the 3rd Quarter of 2017, Grand Junction Home Prices had a rank of 72,
with appreciation of 2.85%. The top performing real estate market during the
3rd Quarter was Pine Bluff, AR, with a rise of 7.86%. The worst market during
that period was Weirton, OH, with appreciation of -9.33%.
The median for all cities during the 3rd Quarter was 1.52%. The average for all
markets during the quarter was 1.39%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Grand Junction Home Prices had a rank of 151, with
appreciation during the year of 6.40%. The top performing market during the
last year was Seattle, WA, with an increase of 14.2%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Lawton, OK, with appreciation of -7.3%.
The median for all markets during this period was 5.41%. The average was
5.42%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2017, Grand Junction Home
Prices ranked 133, with a total appreciation of 26.7%. The top performing real
estate market during the 5 year period was Reno, NV, with a growth in value of
95%. The worst market during that period was Lawton, OK, with appreciation of
-7%.
The median for all cities during this time period was 20%. The average over the
5 years was 26%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 3rd Quarter of 2017, Grand Junction Home
Prices had a rank of 288, with appreciation during the decade of -3%. The top
performing market during the period was Denver, CO, with a rise of 63%. The
worst real estate market during the 10 year time period was Atlantic City, NJ,
with appreciation of -28%.
The median for all markets during the last 10 years was 5%. The average for
the cities over that time frame was 7%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 3rd Quarter of 2017, Grand Junction Home
Prices had a rank of 100, with total growth over the 20 year period of 110%.
The top performing real estate market during the period was San Francisco,
CA, with an increase of 283%. The worst market during the last 20 years was
Mansfield, OH, with appreciation of 20%.
The median for all cities during the last 20 years was 80%. The average for the
markets over that time frame was 89%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Grand Junction Real
Estate Market is available back to the 4th Quarter, of 1979. All calculations are
based on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Grand Junction. Real
estate appreciation figures represent total net increase or decrease over each
time period. (Unless specifically stated, the figures do not represent annual or
quarterly rates of change.)



Data Source for Commentary & Charts: Federal Housing Finance Agency
Updated Wednesday, January 10, 2018.
SignalTrend  Inc. 2008 - 2018; All rights reserved.


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