Fresno, CA - House Price Index (HPI)
Fresno Real Estate Market Forecast
The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Fresno, CA single family home prices in logarithmic
scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Real estate forecasts, analysis, statistics and
appreciation rates are provided below.
Fresno Real Estate Market: Trend Outlook, Analysis & Statistics
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Commentary  329.56
4th Quarter, 2017 Housing Statistics: Fresno, California


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:        UP
Forecast Accuracy:      74%

LittleBigHomes.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Fresno housing market for the 12
months ending with the 4th Quarter of 2018 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend
Projection for Fresno is 74%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 74% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Fresno is 74% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be higher in the 4th Quarter of 2018 than they were in the 4th
Quarter of 2017. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Fresno Real
Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:            UP
Forecast Accuracy:      69%

The forecast for the trend in the Fresno housing market for the 3 years ending
with the 4th Quarter of 2020 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend Prediction for
Fresno is 69%. In other words, when tested against historical data, the
forecasting methodology was correct 69% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Fresno is 69% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home values will be higher in the 4th Quarter of 2020 than they were in the 4th
Quarter of 2017. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Fresno Real
Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
4th Quarter, 2017 Housing Data: Fresno, California


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                                     0.62%
Last Year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  9.0%
Last 5 Years                                     48%
Last 10 Years . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . -10%
Last 20 Years                                   117%
Decline From All Time High               20.81%


Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1988      4.04%
1989      7.19%
1990      11.26%
1991      8.26%
1992      1.15%
1993      -0.11%
1994      -4.09%
1995      1.39%
1996      -1.87%
1997      2.50%
1998      2.14%
1999      -0.09%
2000      5.79%
2001      10.31%
2002      16.22%
2003      21.27%
2004      26.19%
2005      24.50%
2006      3.72%
2007      -12.13%
2008      -26.20%
2009      -8.35%
2010      -5.23%
2011      -7.78%
2012      3.18%
2013      13.29%
2014      7.02%
2015      6.24%
2016      5.65%
2017      9.01%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              0.62%         Rank: 204 of 381 (46th Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  9.0%           Rank: 73 of 381 (81st Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              48%            Rank: 55 of 381 (85th Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   -10%           Rank: 340 of 381 (10th Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            117%          Rank: 79 of 379 (79th Percentile)
Decline From All Time High        20.81%

The change in home prices for Fresno, CA are shown above for five time
periods. For example: Fresno appreciated 0.62% in the Last Quarter. At that
rate, the Fresno Real Estate Market was ranked 204th out of 381 metropolitan
Real Estate Markets. Fresno was in the 46th percentile. So Fresno, CA
performed better in the Last Quarter than 46% of the 381 metropolitan areas
covered in LittleBigHomes.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
4th Quarter, 2017 Housing Statistics: Fresno, California

The all time high in the Fresno Home Price Index was 284.2 in the 3rd Quarter,
of 2006. The 4th Quarter, 2017 index value was 225.1. That's a decline of
59.15 points or 20.81% below the Fresno Home Price Index all time high.  The
Home Price Index indicates that the Fresno Market is down 10% over the last 10
years. Home prices in the Fresno Real Estate Market have gained 9.01% over
the last 12 months. Over the last thirty years, it is up 189%.

The 4th Quarter index value was 1.38 points higher than the 3rd Quarter, 2017
index value of 223.69, resulting in a 0.62% rise in the 4th Quarter for the
Fresno Market.

The Fresno Home Price Index has increased for the last 23 consecutive
quarters. The current record holders for consecutive increases in the Home
Price Index are Phoenix, AZ; Houston, TX and Boise City, ID, with increases in
the last 26 consecutive quarters. The current record holders for consecutive
declines in the Home Price Index are Victoria, TX; Topeka, KS; Texarkana,
TX-AR; Springfield, MA and Peoria, IL, with declines in the last 2 consecutive
quarters.

The highest annual change in the value of houses in the Fresno Real Estate
Market was 29% in the twelve months ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2004. The
worst annual change in home values  in the Fresno Market was -26% in the
twelve months ended with the 4th Quarter of 2008.

The highest growth in home values in the Fresno Real Estate Market over a
three year period was 91% in the three years ended with the 4th Quarter of
2005. The worst performance over a three year period in the Fresno Market
was -42% in the three years ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2009.

This page provides a long term graph of the Fresno Home Price Index (above).
For information about California home values, click Real Estate Market
Forecasts in the navigation bar at the top of this page.  You'll see long term
charts and analysis that will provide tremendous insight into the historical trends
of residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then LittleBigHomes.com's
detailed research and statistics about Fresno Home Prices will be at your
fingertips when you need them.

All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for
the Fresno Market. The terms House Price Index and Home Price Index, as
used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) House
Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Fresno Real Estate Market and hundreds of
other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
4th Quarter, 2017 Housing Data: Fresno, California

The trend of Fresno Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan areas is
detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities. Five
different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period.

Last Quarter:
During the 4th Quarter of 2017, Fresno Home Prices had a rank of 204, with
appreciation of 0.62%. The top performing real estate market during the 4th
Quarter was Gadsden, AL, with a rise of 13.11%. The worst market during that
period was Hinesville, GA, with appreciation of -6.79%.
The median for all cities during the 4th Quarter was 0.75%. The average for all
markets during the quarter was 0.69%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Fresno Home Prices had a rank of 73, with
appreciation during the year of 9.01%. The top performing market during the
last year was Sebastian, FL, with an increase of 16.4%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Goldsboro, NC, with appreciation of -6.9%.
The median for all markets during this period was 5.37%. The average was
5.53%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 4th Quarter of 2017, Fresno Home Prices
ranked 55, with a total appreciation of 48.4%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Reno, NV, with a growth in value of 94%.
The worst market during that period was Goldsboro, NC, with appreciation of
-5%.
The median for all cities during this time period was 19%. The average over the
5 years was 25%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2017, Fresno Home Prices had
a rank of 340, with appreciation during the decade of -10%. The top performing
market during the period was Denver, CO, with a rise of 65%. The worst real
estate market during the 10 year time period was Atlantic City, NJ, with
appreciation of -27%.
The median for all markets during the last 10 years was 7%. The average for
the cities over that time frame was 8%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2017, Fresno Home Prices had
a rank of 79, with total growth over the 20 year period of 117%. The top
performing real estate market during the period was San Francisco, CA, with an
increase of 280%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Saginaw, MI,
with appreciation of 18%.
The median for all cities during the last 20 years was 79%. The average for the
markets over that time frame was 89%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Fresno Real Estate
Market is available back to the 1st Quarter, of 1977. All calculations are based
on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Fresno. Real estate
appreciation figures represent total net increase or decrease over each time
period. (Unless specifically stated, the figures do not represent annual or
quarterly rates of change.)



Data Source for Commentary & Charts: Federal Housing Finance Agency
Updated Tuesday, March 27, 2018.
SignalTrend  Inc. 2008 - 2018; All rights reserved.


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