Fayetteville, AR - House Price Index (HPI)
Fayetteville Real Estate Market Forecast  (AR)
The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR-MO single family
home prices in
logarithmic scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Real estate forecasts,
analysis, statistics and appreciation rates are provided below.
Fayetteville Real Estate Market: Trend Outlook, Analysis & Statistics
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Commentary  317.56
4th Quarter, 2017 Housing Statistics: Fayetteville, Arkansas


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:        UP
Forecast Accuracy:      81%

LittleBigHomes.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Fayetteville housing market for the 12
months ending with the 4th Quarter of 2018 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend
Projection for Fayetteville is 81%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 81% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Fayetteville is 81% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be higher in the 4th Quarter of 2018 than they were in the 4th
Quarter of 2017. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Fayetteville
Real Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:          DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      83%

The forecast for the trend in the Fayetteville housing market for the 3 years
ending with the 4th Quarter of 2020 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the Trend
Prediction for Fayetteville is 83%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 83% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for falling house prices in
Fayetteville is 83% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home values will be lower in the 4th Quarter of 2020 than they were in the 4th
Quarter of 2017. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Fayetteville
Real Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
4th Quarter, 2017 Housing Data: Fayetteville, Arkansas


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                                     0.51%
Last Year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  6.8%
Last 5 Years                                     28%
Last 10 Years . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
Last 20 Years                                   74%



Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1988      6.75%
1989      8.80%
1990      1.07%
1991      2.22%
1992      4.08%
1993      6.82%
1994      8.58%
1995      3.47%
1996      2.36%
1997      3.19%
1998      2.62%
1999      0.76%
2000      4.74%
2001      5.74%
2002      4.76%
2003      6.23%
2004      11.00%
2005      10.05%
2006      4.84%
2007      -1.52%
2008      -4.93%
2009      -6.97%
2010      -3.39%
2011      -3.14%
2012      1.81%
2013      4.03%
2014      4.69%
2015      4.18%
2016      5.93%
2017      6.77%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              0.51%         Rank: 213 of 381 (44th Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  6.8%           Rank: 134 of 381 (65th Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              28%            Rank: 119 of 381 (68th Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   8%              Rank: 168 of 381 (56th Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            74%            Rank: 210 of 379 (44th Percentile)


The change in home prices for Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR-MO are
shown above for five time periods. For example: Fayetteville appreciated 0.51%
in the Last Quarter. At that rate, the Fayetteville Real Estate Market was ranked
213th out of 381 metropolitan Real Estate Markets. Fayetteville was in the 44th
percentile. So Fayetteville, AR performed better in the Last Quarter than 44%
of the 381 metropolitan areas covered in LittleBigHomes.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
4th Quarter, 2017 Housing Statistics: Fayetteville, Arkansas

The data and analysis on this page pertains to Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers,
AR-MO, hereinafter referred to as "Fayetteville". The all time high in the
Fayetteville Home Price Index was 190.9 in the 4th Quarter, of 2017.  The Home
Price Index indicates that the Fayetteville Market is up 8% over the last 10
years. Home prices in the Fayetteville Real Estate Market have gained 6.77%
over the last 12 months. Over the last thirty years, it is up 175%.

The 4th Quarter index value was 0.96 points higher than the 3rd Quarter, 2017
index value of 189.92, resulting in a 0.51% rise in the 4th Quarter for the
Fayetteville Market.

The Fayetteville Home Price Index has increased for the last 11 consecutive
quarters. The current record holders for consecutive increases in the Home
Price Index are Phoenix, AZ; Houston, TX and Boise City, ID, with increases in
the last 26 consecutive quarters. The current record holders for consecutive
declines in the Home Price Index are Victoria, TX; Topeka, KS; Texarkana,
TX-AR; Springfield, MA and Peoria, IL, with declines in the last 2 consecutive
quarters.

The highest annual change in the value of houses in the Fayetteville Real
Estate Market was 22% in the twelve months ended with the 1st Quarter of
1985. The worst annual change in home values  in the Fayetteville Market was
-10% in the twelve months ended with the 1st Quarter of 1984.

The highest growth in home values in the Fayetteville Real Estate Market over
a three year period was 31% in the three years ended with the 1st Quarter of
2006. The worst performance over a three year period in the Fayetteville
Market was -17% in the three years ended with the 2nd Quarter of 2011.

This page provides a long term graph of the Fayetteville Home Price Index
(above). For information about Arkansas home values, click Real Estate Market
Forecasts in the navigation bar at the top of this page.  You'll see long term
charts and analysis that will provide tremendous insight into the historical trends
of residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then LittleBigHomes.com's
detailed research and statistics about Fayetteville Home Prices will be at your
fingertips when you need them.

All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for
the Fayetteville Market. The terms House Price Index and Home Price Index, as
used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) House
Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Fayetteville Real Estate Market and
hundreds of other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a
number of months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
4th Quarter, 2017 Housing Data: Fayetteville, Arkansas

The trend of Fayetteville Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan areas
is detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities. Five
different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period. The data and analysis on this page pertains
to Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR-MO, hereinafter referred to as
"Fayetteville".

Last Quarter:
During the 4th Quarter of 2017, Fayetteville Home Prices had a rank of 213,
with appreciation of 0.51%. The top performing real estate market during the
4th Quarter was Gadsden, AL, with a rise of 13.11%. The worst market during
that period was Hinesville, GA, with appreciation of -6.79%.
The median for all cities during the 4th Quarter was 0.75%. The average for all
markets during the quarter was 0.69%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Fayetteville Home Prices had a rank of 134, with
appreciation during the year of 6.77%. The top performing market during the
last year was Sebastian, FL, with an increase of 16.4%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Goldsboro, NC, with appreciation of -6.9%.
The median for all markets during this period was 5.37%. The average was
5.53%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 4th Quarter of 2017, Fayetteville Home Prices
ranked 119, with a total appreciation of 28.3%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Reno, NV, with a growth in value of 94%.
The worst market during that period was Goldsboro, NC, with appreciation of
-5%.
The median for all cities during this time period was 19%. The average over the
5 years was 25%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2017, Fayetteville Home Prices
had a rank of 168, with appreciation during the decade of 8%. The top
performing market during the period was Denver, CO, with a rise of 65%. The
worst real estate market during the 10 year time period was Atlantic City, NJ,
with appreciation of -27%.
The median for all markets during the last 10 years was 7%. The average for
the cities over that time frame was 8%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2017, Fayetteville Home Prices
had a rank of 210, with total growth over the 20 year period of 74%. The top
performing real estate market during the period was San Francisco, CA, with an
increase of 280%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Saginaw, MI,
with appreciation of 18%.
The median for all cities during the last 20 years was 79%. The average for the
markets over that time frame was 89%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Fayetteville Real
Estate Market is available back to the 4th Quarter, of 1980. All calculations are
based on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Fayetteville. Real
estate appreciation figures represent total net increase or decrease over each
time period. (Unless specifically stated, the figures do not represent annual or
quarterly rates of change.)



Data Source for Commentary & Charts: Federal Housing Finance Agency
Updated Wednesday, March 21, 2018.
SignalTrend  Inc. 2008 - 2018; All rights reserved.


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