Eugene, OR - House Price Index (HPI)
Eugene Real Estate Market Forecast
The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Eugene-Springfield, OR single family home prices in
logarithmic scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Real estate forecasts, analysis, statistics
and appreciation rates are provided below.
Eugene Real Estate Market: Trend Outlook, Analysis & Statistics
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Commentary  311.56
4th Quarter, 2017 Housing Statistics: Eugene, Oregon


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:        UP
Forecast Accuracy:      84%

LittleBigHomes.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Eugene housing market for the 12
months ending with the 4th Quarter of 2018 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend
Projection for Eugene is 84%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 84% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Eugene is 84% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be higher in the 4th Quarter of 2018 than they were in the 4th
Quarter of 2017. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Eugene Real
Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:            UP
Forecast Accuracy:      79%

The forecast for the trend in the Eugene housing market for the 3 years ending
with the 4th Quarter of 2020 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend Prediction for
Eugene is 79%. In other words, when tested against historical data, the
forecasting methodology was correct 79% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Eugene is 79% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home values will be higher in the 4th Quarter of 2020 than they were in the 4th
Quarter of 2017. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Eugene Real
Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
4th Quarter, 2017 Housing Data: Eugene, Oregon


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                                     0.98%
Last Year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  9.4%
Last 5 Years                                     39%
Last 10 Years . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
Last 20 Years                                   105%



Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1988      8.29%
1989      12.43%
1990      11.04%
1991      6.01%
1992      7.29%
1993      9.44%
1994      12.09%
1995      8.23%
1996      5.69%
1997      4.49%
1998      3.35%
1999      2.02%
2000      2.13%
2001      4.27%
2002      2.41%
2003      6.59%
2004      11.81%
2005      20.48%
2006      11.24%
2007      3.02%
2008      -5.59%
2009      -7.99%
2010      -4.55%
2011      -6.35%
2012      0.63%
2013      5.40%
2014      4.46%
2015      5.65%
2016      8.94%
2017      9.44%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              0.98%         Rank: 169 of 381 (55th Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  9.4%           Rank: 56 of 381 (85th Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              39%            Rank: 85 of 381 (77th Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   8%              Rank: 164 of 381 (57th Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            105%          Rank: 109 of 379 (71st Percentile)


The change in home prices for Eugene, OR are shown above for five time
periods. For example: Eugene appreciated 0.98% in the Last Quarter. At that
rate, the Eugene Real Estate Market was ranked 169th out of 381 metropolitan
Real Estate Markets. Eugene was in the 55th percentile. So Eugene, OR
performed better in the Last Quarter than 55% of the 381 metropolitan areas
covered in LittleBigHomes.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
4th Quarter, 2017 Housing Statistics: Eugene, Oregon

The data and analysis on this page pertains to Eugene, OR, hereinafter
referred to as "Eugene". The all time high in the Eugene Home Price Index was
239.1 in the 4th Quarter, of 2017.  The Home Price Index indicates that the
Eugene Market is up 8% over the last 10 years. Home prices in the Eugene
Real Estate Market have gained 9.44% over the last 12 months. Over the last
thirty years, it is up 362%.

The 4th Quarter index value was 2.33 points higher than the 3rd Quarter, 2017
index value of 236.73, resulting in a 0.98% rise in the 4th Quarter for the
Eugene Market.

The Eugene Home Price Index has increased for the last 19 consecutive
quarters. The current record holders for consecutive increases in the Home
Price Index are Phoenix, AZ; Houston, TX and Boise City, ID, with increases in
the last 26 consecutive quarters. The current record holders for consecutive
declines in the Home Price Index are Victoria, TX; Topeka, KS; Texarkana,
TX-AR; Springfield, MA and Peoria, IL, with declines in the last 2 consecutive
quarters.

The highest annual change in the value of houses in the Eugene Real Estate
Market was 24% in the twelve months ended with the 1st Quarter of 1979. The
worst annual change in home values  in the Eugene Market was -18% in the
twelve months ended with the 2nd Quarter of 1982.

The highest growth in home values in the Eugene Real Estate Market over a
three year period was 53% in the three years ended with the 3rd Quarter of
2006. The worst performance over a three year period in the Eugene Market
was -21% in the three years ended with the 2nd Quarter of 2011.

This page provides a long term graph of the Eugene Home Price Index (above).
For information about Oregon home values, click Real Estate Market Forecasts
in the navigation bar at the top of this page.  You'll see long term charts and
analysis that will provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of
residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then LittleBigHomes.com's
detailed research and statistics about Eugene Home Prices will be at your
fingertips when you need them.

All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for
the Eugene Market. The terms House Price Index and Home Price Index, as
used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) House
Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Eugene Real Estate Market and hundreds of
other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
4th Quarter, 2017 Housing Data: Eugene, Oregon

The trend of Eugene Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan areas is
detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities. Five
different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period. The data and analysis on this page pertains
to Eugene, OR, hereinafter referred to as "Eugene".

Last Quarter:
During the 4th Quarter of 2017, Eugene Home Prices had a rank of 169, with
appreciation of 0.98%. The top performing real estate market during the 4th
Quarter was Gadsden, AL, with a rise of 13.11%. The worst market during that
period was Hinesville, GA, with appreciation of -6.79%.
The median for all cities during the 4th Quarter was 0.75%. The average for all
markets during the quarter was 0.69%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Eugene Home Prices had a rank of 56, with
appreciation during the year of 9.44%. The top performing market during the
last year was Sebastian, FL, with an increase of 16.4%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Goldsboro, NC, with appreciation of -6.9%.
The median for all markets during this period was 5.37%. The average was
5.53%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 4th Quarter of 2017, Eugene Home Prices
ranked 85, with a total appreciation of 38.7%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Reno, NV, with a growth in value of 94%.
The worst market during that period was Goldsboro, NC, with appreciation of
-5%.
The median for all cities during this time period was 19%. The average over the
5 years was 25%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2017, Eugene Home Prices
had a rank of 164, with appreciation during the decade of 8%. The top
performing market during the period was Denver, CO, with a rise of 65%. The
worst real estate market during the 10 year time period was Atlantic City, NJ,
with appreciation of -27%.
The median for all markets during the last 10 years was 7%. The average for
the cities over that time frame was 8%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2017, Eugene Home Prices
had a rank of 109, with total growth over the 20 year period of 105%. The top
performing real estate market during the period was San Francisco, CA, with an
increase of 280%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Saginaw, MI,
with appreciation of 18%.
The median for all cities during the last 20 years was 79%. The average for the
markets over that time frame was 89%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Eugene Real Estate
Market is available back to the 4th Quarter, of 1977. All calculations are based
on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Eugene. Real estate
appreciation figures represent total net increase or decrease over each time
period. (Unless specifically stated, the figures do not represent annual or
quarterly rates of change.)



Data Source for Commentary & Charts: Federal Housing Finance Agency
Updated Wednesday, March 21, 2018.
SignalTrend  Inc. 2008 - 2018; All rights reserved.


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