Decatur, IL - House Price Index (HPI)
Decatur Real Estate Market Forecast  (IL)
The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Decatur, IL single family home prices in logarithmic
scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Real estate forecasts, analysis, statistics and
appreciation rates are provided below.
Decatur Real Estate Market: Trend Outlook, Analysis & Statistics
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Commentary  293.56
4th Quarter, 2017 Housing Statistics: Decatur, Illinois


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:        UP
Forecast Accuracy:      78%

LittleBigHomes.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Decatur housing market for the 12
months ending with the 4th Quarter of 2018 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend
Projection for Decatur is 78%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 78% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Decatur is 78% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be higher in the 4th Quarter of 2018 than they were in the 4th
Quarter of 2017. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Decatur Real
Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:            UP
Forecast Accuracy:      80%

The forecast for the trend in the Decatur housing market for the 3 years ending
with the 4th Quarter of 2020 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend Prediction for
Decatur is 80%. In other words, when tested against historical data, the
forecasting methodology was correct 80% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Decatur is 80% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home values will be higher in the 4th Quarter of 2020 than they were in the 4th
Quarter of 2017. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Decatur Real
Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
4th Quarter, 2017 Housing Data: Decatur, Illinois


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                                     2.38%
Last Year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  4.3%
Last 5 Years                                     4%
Last 10 Years . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
Last 20 Years                                   40%



Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1988      2.55%
1989      7.38%
1990      0.50%
1991      6.06%
1992      1.65%
1993      4.64%
1994      2.69%
1995      2.12%
1996      2.99%
1997      6.60%
1998      2.38%
1999      2.89%
2000      3.80%
2001      3.98%
2002      3.20%
2003      2.34%
2004      3.59%
2005      5.26%
2006      1.04%
2007      2.82%
2008      -0.77%
2009      -1.97%
2010      2.39%
2011      -1.59%
2012      1.35%
2013      -2.51%
2014      0.43%
2015      -0.09%
2016      1.45%
2017      4.33%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              2.38%         Rank: 48 of 381 (87th Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  4.3%           Rank: 237 of 381 (37th Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              4%              Rank: 363 of 381 (4th Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   3%              Rank: 232 of 381 (39th Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            40%            Rank: 346 of 379 (8th Percentile)


The change in home prices for Decatur, IL are shown above for five time
periods. For example: Decatur appreciated 2.38% in the Last Quarter. At that
rate, the Decatur Real Estate Market was ranked 48th out of 381 metropolitan
Real Estate Markets. Decatur was in the 87th percentile. So Decatur, IL
performed better in the Last Quarter than 87% of the 381 metropolitan areas
covered in LittleBigHomes.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
4th Quarter, 2017 Housing Statistics: Decatur, Illinois

The all time high in the Decatur Home Price Index was 156.0 in the 4th Quarter,
of 2017.  The Home Price Index indicates that the Decatur Market is up 3% over
the last 10 years. Home prices in the Decatur Real Estate Market have gained
4.33% over the last 12 months. Over the last thirty years, it is up 101%.

The 4th Quarter index value was 3.63 points higher than the 3rd Quarter, 2017
index value of 152.34, resulting in a 2.38% rise in the 4th Quarter for the
Decatur Market.

The Decatur Home Price Index increased in the last quarter after falling in the
previous quarter. The current record holders for consecutive increases in the
Home Price Index are Phoenix, AZ; Houston, TX and Boise City, ID, with
increases in the last 26 consecutive quarters. The current record holders for
consecutive declines in the Home Price Index are Victoria, TX; Topeka, KS;
Texarkana, TX-AR; Springfield, MA and Peoria, IL, with declines in the last 2
consecutive quarters.

The highest annual change in the value of houses in the Decatur Real Estate
Market was 8% in the twelve months ended with the 1st Quarter of 1990. The
worst annual change in home values  in the Decatur Market was -3% in the
twelve months ended with the 2nd Quarter of 2014.

The highest growth in home values in the Decatur Real Estate Market over a
three year period was 16% in the three years ended with the 1st Quarter of
1992. The worst performance over a three year period in the Decatur Market
was -4% in the three years ended with the 1st Quarter of 2011.

This page provides a long term graph of the Decatur Home Price Index (above).
For information about Illinois home values, click Real Estate Market Forecasts
in the navigation bar at the top of this page.  You'll see long term charts and
analysis that will provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of
residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then LittleBigHomes.com's
detailed research and statistics about Decatur Home Prices will be at your
fingertips when you need them.

All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for
the Decatur Market. The terms House Price Index and Home Price Index, as
used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) House
Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Decatur Real Estate Market and hundreds of
other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
4th Quarter, 2017 Housing Data: Decatur, Illinois

The trend of Decatur Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan areas is
detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities. Five
different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period.

Last Quarter:
During the 4th Quarter of 2017, Decatur Home Prices had a rank of 48, with
appreciation of 2.38%. The top performing real estate market during the 4th
Quarter was Gadsden, AL, with a rise of 13.11%. The worst market during that
period was Hinesville, GA, with appreciation of -6.79%.
The median for all cities during the 4th Quarter was 0.75%. The average for all
markets during the quarter was 0.69%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Decatur Home Prices had a rank of 237, with
appreciation during the year of 4.33%. The top performing market during the
last year was Sebastian, FL, with an increase of 16.4%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Goldsboro, NC, with appreciation of -6.9%.
The median for all markets during this period was 5.37%. The average was
5.53%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 4th Quarter of 2017, Decatur Home Prices
ranked 363, with a total appreciation of 3.5%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Reno, NV, with a growth in value of 94%.
The worst market during that period was Goldsboro, NC, with appreciation of
-5%.
The median for all cities during this time period was 19%. The average over the
5 years was 25%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2017, Decatur Home Prices
had a rank of 232, with appreciation during the decade of 3%. The top
performing market during the period was Denver, CO, with a rise of 65%. The
worst real estate market during the 10 year time period was Atlantic City, NJ,
with appreciation of -27%.
The median for all markets during the last 10 years was 7%. The average for
the cities over that time frame was 8%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2017, Decatur Home Prices
had a rank of 346, with total growth over the 20 year period of 40%. The top
performing real estate market during the period was San Francisco, CA, with an
increase of 280%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Saginaw, MI,
with appreciation of 18%.
The median for all cities during the last 20 years was 79%. The average for the
markets over that time frame was 89%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Decatur Real Estate
Market is available back to the 4th Quarter, of 1986. All calculations are based
on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Decatur. Real estate
appreciation figures represent total net increase or decrease over each time
period. (Unless specifically stated, the figures do not represent annual or
quarterly rates of change.)



Data Source for Commentary & Charts: Federal Housing Finance Agency
Updated Wednesday, March 21, 2018.
SignalTrend  Inc. 2008 - 2018; All rights reserved.


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