Dallas, TX - House Price Index (HPI)
Dallas Real Estate Market Forecast
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The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Dallas-Plano-Irving, TX single family home prices in
logarithmic scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Updated Friday, June 19, 2015. Real
estate forecasts, analysis, statistics and appreciation rates are provided below.
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Dallas Real Estate Market: Trend Outlook, Analysis & Statistics
Commentary  18526
3rd Quarter, 2014 Housing Statistics: Dallas, Texas


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:        UP
Forecast Accuracy:      82%

LittleBigHomes.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Dallas housing market for the 12
months ending with the 3rd Quarter of 2015 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend
Projection for Dallas is 82%. In other words, when tested against historical data,
the forecasting methodology was correct 82% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Dallas is 82% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be higher in the 3rd Quarter of 2015 than they were in the 3rd
Quarter of 2014. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Dallas Real
Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:            UP
Forecast Accuracy:      76%

The forecast for the trend in the Dallas housing market for the 3 years ending
with the 3rd Quarter of 2017 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend Prediction for
Dallas is 76%. In other words, when tested against historical data, the
forecasting methodology was correct 76% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Dallas is 76% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home values will be higher in the 3rd Quarter of 2017 than they were in the 3rd
Quarter of 2014. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Dallas Real
Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
3rd Quarter, 2014 Housing Data: Dallas, Texas


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                                     1.63%
Last Year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  9.6%
Last 5 Years                                     16%
Last 10 Years . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27%
Last 20 Years                                   89%



Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1984      5.34%
1985      4.17%
1986      1.13%
1987      -7.71%
1988      -5.20%
1989      0.71%
1990      -0.74%
1991      3.06%
1992      2.06%
1993      1.95%
1994      -1.42%
1995      4.13%
1996      1.87%
1997      4.03%
1998      5.86%
1999      5.87%
2000      6.12%
2001      6.51%
2002      3.54%
2003      1.74%
2004      2.68%
2005      3.21%
2006      2.94%
2007      2.42%
2008      0.75%
2009      -1.21%
2010      -0.40%
2011      -1.50%
2012      2.48%
2013      7.12%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              1.63%         Rank: 167 of 381 (56th Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  9.6%           Rank: 50 of 381 (87th Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              16%            Rank: 45 of 381 (88th Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   27%            Rank: 51 of 381 (86th Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            89%            Rank: 122 of 378 (67th Percentile)


The change in home prices for Dallas-Plano-Irving, TX are shown above for five
time periods. For example: Dallas appreciated 1.63% in the Last Quarter. At
that rate, the Dallas Real Estate Market was ranked 167th out of 381
metropolitan Real Estate Markets. Dallas was in the 56th percentile. So Dallas,
TX performed better in the Last Quarter than 56% of the 381 metropolitan
areas covered in LittleBigHomes.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
3rd Quarter, 2014 Housing Statistics: Dallas, Texas

The data and analysis on this page pertains to Dallas-Plano-Irving, TX,
hereinafter referred to as "Dallas". The all time high in the Dallas Home Price
Index was 190.1 in the 3rd Quarter, of 2014.  The Home Price Index indicates
that the Dallas Market is up 27% over the last 10 years. Home prices in the
Dallas Real Estate Market have gained 9.57% over the last 12 months. Over
the last thirty years, it is up 86%.

The 3rd Quarter index value was 3.04 points higher than the 2nd Quarter, 2014
index value of 187.03, resulting in a 1.63% rise in the 3rd Quarter for the Dallas
Market.

The Dallas Home Price Index has increased for the last 11 consecutive
quarters. The current record holders for consecutive increases in the Home
Price Index are Phoenix, AZ; Houston, TX and Boise City, ID, with increases in
the last 13 consecutive quarters. The current record holder for consecutive
declines in the Home Price Index is Terre Haute, IN, with declines in the last 3
consecutive quarters.

The highest annual change in the value of houses in the Dallas Real Estate
Market was 24% in the twelve months ended with the 3rd Quarter of 1978. The
worst annual change in home values  in the Dallas Market was -8% in the twelve
months ended with the 1st Quarter of 1988.

The highest growth in home values in the Dallas Real Estate Market over a
three year period was 46% in the three years ended with the 3rd Quarter of
1981. The worst performance over a three year period in the Dallas Market was
-14% in the three years ended with the 2nd Quarter of 1989.

This page provides a long term graph of the Dallas Home Price Index (above).
For information about Texas home values, click Real Estate Market Forecasts
in the navigation bar at the top of this page.  You'll see long term charts and
analysis that will provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of
residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then LittleBigHomes.com's
detailed research and statistics about Dallas Home Prices will be at your
fingertips when you need them.

All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for
the Dallas Market. The terms House Price Index and Home Price Index, as used
in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) House Price
Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Dallas Real Estate Market and hundreds of
other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
3rd Quarter, 2014 Housing Data: Dallas, Texas

The trend of Dallas Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan areas is
detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities. Five
different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period. The data and analysis on this page pertains
to Dallas-Plano-Irving, TX, hereinafter referred to as "Dallas".

Last Quarter:
During the 3rd Quarter of 2014, Dallas Home Prices had a rank of 167, with
appreciation of 1.63%. The top performing real estate market during the 3rd
Quarter was Johnstown, PA, with a rise of 7.10%. The worst market during that
period was Farmington, NM, with appreciation of -4.09%.
The median for all cities during the 3rd Quarter was 1.44%. The average for all
markets during the quarter was 1.49%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Dallas Home Prices had a rank of 50, with
appreciation during the year of 9.57%. The top performing market during the
last year was Madera, CA, with an increase of 19.4%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Jacksonville, NC, with appreciation of -4.5%.
The median for all markets during this period was 3.94%. The average was
4.71%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2014, Dallas Home Prices
ranked 45, with a total appreciation of 16.4%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Merced, CA, with a growth in value of 45%.
The worst market during that period was Ocala, FL, with appreciation of -16%.
The median for all cities during this time period was 1%. The average over the
5 years was 3%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 3rd Quarter of 2014, Dallas Home Prices had
a rank of 51, with appreciation during the decade of 27%. The top performing
market during the period was Midland, TX, with a rise of 129%. The worst real
estate market during the 10 year time period was Las Vegas, NV, with
appreciation of -27%.
The median for all markets during the last 10 years was 10%. The average for
the cities over that time frame was 11%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 3rd Quarter of 2014, Dallas Home Prices had
a rank of 122, with total growth over the 20 year period of 89%. The top
performing real estate market during the period was San Francisco, CA, with an
increase of 229%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Rockford, IL,
with appreciation of 23%.
The median for all cities during the last 20 years was 75%. The average for the
markets over that time frame was 82%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Dallas Real Estate
Market is available back to the 2nd Quarter, of 1976. All calculations are based
on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Dallas. Real estate
appreciation figures represent total net increase or decrease over each time
period. (Unless specifically stated, the figures do not represent annual or
quarterly rates of change.)





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