Cincinnati, OH - House Price Index (HPI)
Cincinnati Real Estate Market Forecast
The House Price Index (HPI) changes in Cincinnati-Middletown, OH-KY-IN single family home prices
in
logarithmic scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Real estate forecasts, analysis,
statistics and appreciation rates are provided below.
Cincinnati Real Estate Market: Trend Outlook, Analysis & Statistics
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Commentary  27655
3rd Quarter, 2017 Housing Statistics: Cincinnati, Ohio


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:        UP
Forecast Accuracy:      88%

LittleBigHomes.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Cincinnati housing market for the 12
months ending with the 3rd Quarter of 2018 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend
Projection for Cincinnati is 88%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 88% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Cincinnati is 88% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be higher in the 3rd Quarter of 2018 than they were in the 3rd
Quarter of 2017. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Cincinnati
Real Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:            UP
Forecast Accuracy:      84%

The forecast for the trend in the Cincinnati housing market for the 3 years
ending with the 3rd Quarter of 2020 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend
Prediction for Cincinnati is 84%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 84% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Cincinnati is 84% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home values will be higher in the 3rd Quarter of 2020 than they were in the 3rd
Quarter of 2017. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Cincinnati
Real Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
3rd Quarter, 2017 Housing Data: Cincinnati, Ohio


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                                     1.91%
Last Year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  6.2%
Last 5 Years                                     19%
Last 10 Years . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
Last 20 Years                                   51%



Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1987      8.13%
1988      5.57%
1989      4.45%
1990      3.00%
1991      4.49%
1992      3.22%
1993      3.50%
1994      4.22%
1995      4.29%
1996      3.78%
1997      4.31%
1998      4.59%
1999      3.80%
2000      5.86%
2001      4.16%
2002      3.56%
2003      3.54%
2004      4.74%
2005      3.19%
2006      1.26%
2007      -0.98%
2008      -2.89%
2009      -2.52%
2010      -0.64%
2011      -2.69%
2012      -1.01%
2013      -0.29%
2014      4.03%
2015      3.92%
2016      4.50%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              1.91%         Rank: 151 of 381 (60th Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  6.2%           Rank: 156 of 381 (59th Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              19%            Rank: 201 of 381 (47th Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   8%              Rank: 157 of 381 (58th Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            51%            Rank: 317 of 379 (16th Percentile)


The change in home prices for Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN are shown above for five
time periods. For example: Cincinnati appreciated 1.91% in the Last Quarter. At
that rate, the Cincinnati Real Estate Market was ranked 151st out of 381
metropolitan Real Estate Markets. Cincinnati was in the 60th percentile. So
Cincinnati, OH performed better in the Last Quarter than 60% of the 381
metropolitan areas covered in LittleBigHomes.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
3rd Quarter, 2017 Housing Statistics: Cincinnati, Ohio

The data and analysis on this page pertains to Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN,
hereinafter referred to as "Cincinnati". The all time high in the Cincinnati Home
Price Index was 168.7 in the 3rd Quarter, of 2017.  The Home Price Index
indicates that the Cincinnati Market is up 8% over the last 10 years. Home
prices in the Cincinnati Real Estate Market have gained 6.24% over the last 12
months. Over the last thirty years, it is up 128%.

The 3rd Quarter index value was 3.16 points higher than the 2nd Quarter, 2017
index value of 165.50, resulting in a 1.91% rise in the 3rd Quarter for the
Cincinnati Market.

The Cincinnati Home Price Index has increased for the last 15 consecutive
quarters. The current record holders for consecutive increases in the Home
Price Index are Phoenix, AZ; Houston, TX and Boise City, ID, with increases in
the last 25 consecutive quarters. The current record holder for consecutive
declines in the Home Price Index is Carbondale, IL, with declines in the last 3
consecutive quarters.

The highest annual change in the value of houses in the Cincinnati Real Estate
Market was 16% in the twelve months ended with the 1st Quarter of 1979. The
worst annual change in home values  in the Cincinnati Market was -4% in the
twelve months ended with the 1st Quarter of 2010.

The highest growth in home values in the Cincinnati Real Estate Market over a
three year period was 21% in the three years ended with the 1st Quarter of
1989. The worst performance over a three year period in the Cincinnati Market
was -9% in the three years ended with the 1st Quarter of 2011.

This page provides a long term graph of the Cincinnati Home Price Index
(above). For information about Ohio home values, click Real Estate Market
Forecasts in the navigation bar at the top of this page.  You'll see long term
charts and analysis that will provide tremendous insight into the historical trends
of residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then LittleBigHomes.com's
detailed research and statistics about Cincinnati Home Prices will be at your
fingertips when you need them.

All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for
the Cincinnati Market. The terms House Price Index and Home Price Index, as
used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) House
Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Cincinnati Real Estate Market and hundreds
of other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
3rd Quarter, 2017 Housing Data: Cincinnati, Ohio

The trend of Cincinnati Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan areas is
detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities. Five
different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period. The data and analysis on this page pertains
to Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN, hereinafter referred to as "Cincinnati".

Last Quarter:
During the 3rd Quarter of 2017, Cincinnati Home Prices had a rank of 151, with
appreciation of 1.91%. The top performing real estate market during the 3rd
Quarter was Pine Bluff, AR, with a rise of 7.86%. The worst market during that
period was Weirton, OH, with appreciation of -9.33%.
The median for all cities during the 3rd Quarter was 1.52%. The average for all
markets during the quarter was 1.39%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Cincinnati Home Prices had a rank of 156, with
appreciation during the year of 6.24%. The top performing market during the
last year was Seattle, WA, with an increase of 14.2%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Lawton, OK, with appreciation of -7.3%.
The median for all markets during this period was 5.41%. The average was
5.42%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2017, Cincinnati Home Prices
ranked 201, with a total appreciation of 18.7%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Reno, NV, with a growth in value of 95%.
The worst market during that period was Lawton, OK, with appreciation of -7%.
The median for all cities during this time period was 20%. The average over the
5 years was 26%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 3rd Quarter of 2017, Cincinnati Home Prices
had a rank of 157, with appreciation during the decade of 8%. The top
performing market during the period was Denver, CO, with a rise of 63%. The
worst real estate market during the 10 year time period was Atlantic City, NJ,
with appreciation of -28%.
The median for all markets during the last 10 years was 5%. The average for
the cities over that time frame was 7%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 3rd Quarter of 2017, Cincinnati Home Prices
had a rank of 317, with total growth over the 20 year period of 51%. The top
performing real estate market during the period was San Francisco, CA, with an
increase of 283%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Mansfield,
OH, with appreciation of 20%.
The median for all cities during the last 20 years was 80%. The average for the
markets over that time frame was 89%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Cincinnati Real Estate
Market is available back to the 2nd Quarter, of 1976. All calculations are based
on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Cincinnati. Real estate
appreciation figures represent total net increase or decrease over each time
period. (Unless specifically stated, the figures do not represent annual or
quarterly rates of change.)



Data Source for Commentary & Charts: Federal Housing Finance Agency
Updated Thursday, December 14, 2017.
SignalTrend  Inc. 2008 - 2017; All rights reserved.


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