Bismarck, ND - House Price Index (HPI)
Bismarck Real Estate Market Forecast
The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Bismarck, ND single family home prices in
logarithmic scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Real estate forecasts, analysis, statistics
and appreciation rates are provided below.
Bismarck Real Estate Market: Trend Outlook, Analysis & Statistics
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Commentary  239.56
4th Quarter, 2017 Housing Statistics: Bismarck, North Dakota


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:      DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      92%

LittleBigHomes.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Bismarck housing market for the 12
months ending with the 4th Quarter of 2018 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the
Trend Projection for Bismarck is 92%. In other words, when tested against
historical data, the forecasting methodology was correct 92% of the time.
Accordingly, LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for falling house
prices in Bismarck is 92% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is
correct, home prices will be lower in the 4th Quarter of 2018 than they were in
the 4th Quarter of 2017. Check this page each quarter for updates to the
Bismarck Real Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:          DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      95%

The forecast for the trend in the Bismarck housing market for the 3 years
ending with the 4th Quarter of 2020 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the Trend
Prediction for Bismarck is 95%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 95% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for falling house prices in
Bismarck is 95% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home values will be lower in the 4th Quarter of 2020 than they were in the 4th
Quarter of 2017. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Bismarck
Real Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
4th Quarter, 2017 Housing Data: Bismarck, North Dakota


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                                     -0.82%
Last Year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  0.0%
Last 5 Years                                     25%
Last 10 Years . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 54%
Last 20 Years                                   161%
Decline From All Time High               0.82%


Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1988      -2.42%
1989      2.12%
1990      2.94%
1991      3.15%
1992      4.76%
1993      5.59%
1994      5.81%
1995      5.42%
1996      1.87%
1997      3.11%
1998      5.31%
1999      0.93%
2000      4.94%
2001      4.07%
2002      6.09%
2003      3.34%
2004      8.28%
2005      8.05%
2006      7.13%
2007      6.01%
2008      2.16%
2009      -0.08%
2010      1.82%
2011      4.61%
2012      13.68%
2013      10.94%
2014      6.17%
2015      5.44%
2016      0.69%
2017      -0.05%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              -0.82%        Rank: 316 of 381 (17th Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  0.0%          Rank: 359 of 381 (5th Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              25%            Rank: 138 of 381 (63rd Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   54%            Rank: 7 of 381 (98th Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            161%          Rank: 30 of 379 (92nd Percentile)
Decline From All Time High        0.82%

The change in home prices for Bismarck, ND are shown above for five time
periods. For example: Bismarck appreciated -0.82% in the Last Quarter. At that
rate, the Bismarck Real Estate Market was ranked 316th out of 381
metropolitan Real Estate Markets. Bismarck was in the 17th percentile. So
Bismarck, ND performed better in the Last Quarter than 17% of the 381
metropolitan areas covered in LittleBigHomes.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
4th Quarter, 2017 Housing Statistics: Bismarck, North Dakota

The all time high in the Bismarck Home Price Index was 288.6 in the 3rd
Quarter, of 2017. The 4th Quarter, 2017 index value was 286.2. That's a
decline of 2.38 points or 0.82% below the Bismarck Home Price Index all time
high.  The Home Price Index indicates that the Bismarck Market is up 54% over
the last 10 years. Home Prices in the Bismarck Real Estate Market have lost
0.05% over the last 12 months. Over the last thirty years, it is up 258%.

The 4th Quarter index value was 2.38 points lower than the 3rd Quarter, 2017
index value of 288.62, resulting in a 0.82% decline for the 4th Quarter in the
Bismarck Market.

The Bismarck Home Price Index declined in the last quarter after increasing in
the previous 2 quarters. The current record holders for consecutive declines in
the Home Price Index are Victoria, TX; Topeka, KS; Texarkana, TX-AR;
Springfield, MA and Peoria, IL, with declines in the last 2 consecutive quarters.
The current record holders for consecutive increases in the Home Price Index
are Phoenix, AZ; Houston, TX and Boise City, ID, with increases in the last 26
consecutive quarters.

The highest annual change in the value of houses in the Bismarck Real Estate
Market was 14% in the twelve months ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2013. The
worst annual change in home values  in the Bismarck Market was -4% in the
twelve months ended with the 1st Quarter of 1989.

The highest growth in home values in the Bismarck Real Estate Market over a
three year period was 34% in the three years ended with the 1st Quarter of
2015. The worst performance over a three year period in the Bismarck Market
was -1% in the three years ended with the 3rd Quarter of 1989.

This page provides a long term graph of the Bismarck Home Price Index
(above). For information about North Dakota home values, click Real Estate
Market Forecasts in the navigation bar at the top of this page.  You'll see long
term charts and analysis that will provide tremendous insight into the historical
trends of residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then
LittleBigHomes.com's detailed research and statistics about Bismarck Home
Prices will be at your fingertips when you need them.

All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for
the Bismarck Market. The terms House Price Index and Home Price Index, as
used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) House
Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Bismarck Real Estate Market and hundreds
of other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
4th Quarter, 2017 Housing Data: Bismarck, North Dakota

The trend of Bismarck Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan areas is
detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities. Five
different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period.

Last Quarter:
During the 4th Quarter of 2017, Bismarck Home Prices had a rank of 316, with
appreciation of -0.82%. The top performing real estate market during the 4th
Quarter was Gadsden, AL, with a rise of 13.11%. The worst market during that
period was Hinesville, GA, with appreciation of -6.79%.
The median for all cities during the 4th Quarter was 0.75%. The average for all
markets during the quarter was 0.69%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Bismarck Home Prices had a rank of 359, with
appreciation during the year of -0.05%. The top performing market during the
last year was Sebastian, FL, with an increase of 16.4%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Goldsboro, NC, with appreciation of -6.9%.
The median for all markets during this period was 5.37%. The average was
5.53%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 4th Quarter of 2017, Bismarck Home Prices
ranked 138, with a total appreciation of 25.0%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Reno, NV, with a growth in value of 94%.
The worst market during that period was Goldsboro, NC, with appreciation of
-5%.
The median for all cities during this time period was 19%. The average over the
5 years was 25%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2017, Bismarck Home Prices
had a rank of 7, with appreciation during the decade of 54%. The top
performing market during the period was Denver, CO, with a rise of 65%. The
worst real estate market during the 10 year time period was Atlantic City, NJ,
with appreciation of -27%.
The median for all markets during the last 10 years was 7%. The average for
the cities over that time frame was 8%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2017, Bismarck Home Prices
had a rank of 30, with total growth over the 20 year period of 161%. The top
performing real estate market during the period was San Francisco, CA, with an
increase of 280%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Saginaw, MI,
with appreciation of 18%.
The median for all cities during the last 20 years was 79%. The average for the
markets over that time frame was 89%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Bismarck Real Estate
Market is available back to the 4th Quarter, of 1986. All calculations are based
on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Bismarck. Real estate
appreciation figures represent total net increase or decrease over each time
period. (Unless specifically stated, the figures do not represent annual or
quarterly rates of change.)



Data Source for Commentary & Charts: Federal Housing Finance Agency
Updated Thursday, March 15, 2018.
SignalTrend  Inc. 2008 - 2018; All rights reserved.


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