Ames, IA - House Price Index (HPI)
Ames Real Estate Market Forecast
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1000
The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Ames, IA single family home prices in logarithmic
scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Real estate forecasts, analysis, statistics and
appreciation rates are provided below.
10
Ames Real Estate Market: Trend Outlook, Analysis & Statistics
Commentary  27595
3rd Quarter, 2017 Housing Statistics: Ames, Iowa


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:        UP
Forecast Accuracy:      87%

LittleBigHomes.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Ames housing market for the 12
months ending with the 3rd Quarter of 2018 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend
Projection for Ames is 87%. In other words, when tested against historical data,
the forecasting methodology was correct 87% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Ames is 87% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be higher in the 3rd Quarter of 2018 than they were in the 3rd
Quarter of 2017. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Ames Real
Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:            UP
Forecast Accuracy:      86%

The forecast for the trend in the Ames housing market for the 3 years ending
with the 3rd Quarter of 2020 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend Prediction for
Ames is 86%. In other words, when tested against historical data, the
forecasting methodology was correct 86% of the time. Accordingly,
LittleBigHomes.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Ames is 86% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home values will be higher in the 3rd Quarter of 2020 than they were in the 3rd
Quarter of 2017. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Ames Real
Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
3rd Quarter, 2017 Housing Data: Ames, Iowa


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                                     0.64%
Last Year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  6.6%
Last 5 Years                                     25%
Last 10 Years . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25%
Last 20 Years                                   75%



Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1987        n/a
1988      6.94%
1989      3.68%
1990      5.70%
1991      7.38%
1992      3.82%
1993      7.57%
1994      7.04%
1995      5.26%
1996      2.20%
1997      7.11%
1998      3.82%
1999      2.76%
2000      5.13%
2001      4.42%
2002      2.91%
2003      4.78%
2004      3.01%
2005      4.33%
2006      0.40%
2007      2.08%
2008      -0.77%
2009      0.59%
2010      0.25%
2011      -0.76%
2012      0.34%
2013      6.11%
2014      3.28%
2015      3.63%
2016      3.41%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              0.64%         Rank: 283 of 381 (25th Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  6.6%           Rank: 142 of 381 (62nd Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              25%            Rank: 147 of 381 (61st Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   25%            Rank: 44 of 381 (88th Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            75%            Rank: 215 of 379 (43rd Percentile)


The change in home prices for Ames, IA are shown above for five time periods.
For example: Ames appreciated 0.64% in the Last Quarter. At that rate, the
Ames Real Estate Market was ranked 283rd out of 381 metropolitan Real
Estate Markets. Ames was in the 25th percentile. So Ames, IA performed better
in the Last Quarter than 25% of the 381 metropolitan areas covered in
LittleBigHomes.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
3rd Quarter, 2017 Housing Statistics: Ames, Iowa

The all time high in the Ames Home Price Index was 195.7 in the 3rd Quarter, of
2017.  The Home Price Index indicates that the Ames Market is up 25% over the
last 10 years. Home prices in the Ames Real Estate Market have gained 6.55%
over the last 12 months.

The 3rd Quarter index value was 1.24 points higher than the 2nd Quarter, 2017
index value of 194.45, resulting in a 0.64% rise in the 3rd Quarter for the Ames
Market.

The Ames Home Price Index has increased for the last 2 consecutive quarters.
The current record holders for consecutive increases in the Home Price Index
are Phoenix, AZ; Houston, TX and Boise City, ID, with increases in the last 25
consecutive quarters. The current record holder for consecutive declines in the
Home Price Index is Carbondale, IL, with declines in the last 3 consecutive
quarters.

The highest annual change in the value of houses in the Ames Real Estate
Market was 9% in the twelve months ended with the 2nd Quarter of 1994. The
worst annual change in home values  in the Ames Market was -4% in the twelve
months ended with the 1st Quarter of 2010.

The highest growth in home values in the Ames Real Estate Market over a
three year period was 24% in the three years ended with the 2nd Quarter of
1994. The worst performance over a three year period in the Ames Market was
-4% in the three years ended with the 1st Quarter of 2011.

This page provides a long term graph of the Ames Home Price Index (above).
For information about Iowa home values, click Real Estate Market Forecasts in
the navigation bar at the top of this page.  You'll see long term charts and
analysis that will provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of
residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then LittleBigHomes.com's
detailed research and statistics about Ames Home Prices will be at your
fingertips when you need them.

All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for
the Ames Market. The terms House Price Index and Home Price Index, as used
in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) House Price
Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Ames Real Estate Market and hundreds of
other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
3rd Quarter, 2017 Housing Data: Ames, Iowa

The trend of Ames Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan areas is
detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities. Five
different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period.

Last Quarter:
During the 3rd Quarter of 2017, Ames Home Prices had a rank of 283, with
appreciation of 0.64%. The top performing real estate market during the 3rd
Quarter was Pine Bluff, AR, with a rise of 7.86%. The worst market during that
period was Weirton, OH, with appreciation of -9.33%.
The median for all cities during the 3rd Quarter was 1.52%. The average for all
markets during the quarter was 1.39%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Ames Home Prices had a rank of 142, with
appreciation during the year of 6.55%. The top performing market during the
last year was Seattle, WA, with an increase of 14.2%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Lawton, OK, with appreciation of -7.3%.
The median for all markets during this period was 5.41%. The average was
5.42%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2017, Ames Home Prices
ranked 147, with a total appreciation of 24.5%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Reno, NV, with a growth in value of 95%.
The worst market during that period was Lawton, OK, with appreciation of -7%.
The median for all cities during this time period was 20%. The average over the
5 years was 26%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 3rd Quarter of 2017, Ames Home Prices had
a rank of 44, with appreciation during the decade of 25%. The top performing
market during the period was Denver, CO, with a rise of 63%. The worst real
estate market during the 10 year time period was Atlantic City, NJ, with
appreciation of -28%.
The median for all markets during the last 10 years was 5%. The average for
the cities over that time frame was 7%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 3rd Quarter of 2017, Ames Home Prices had
a rank of 215, with total growth over the 20 year period of 75%. The top
performing real estate market during the period was San Francisco, CA, with an
increase of 283%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Mansfield,
OH, with appreciation of 20%.
The median for all cities during the last 20 years was 80%. The average for the
markets over that time frame was 89%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Ames Real Estate
Market is available back to the 1st Quarter, of 1988. All calculations are based
on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Ames. Real estate
appreciation figures represent total net increase or decrease over each time
period. (Unless specifically stated, the figures do not represent annual or
quarterly rates of change.)



Data Source for Commentary & Charts: Federal Housing Finance Agency
Updated Thursday, December 7, 2017.
SignalTrend  Inc. 2008 - 2017; All rights reserved.


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